Ascot Racing Tips: Wednesday, March 10th

Race 1 Heineken 3 (Rs0mw) (1000m) 4:44pm (AEDT)
1. Norich (2) J: Chris Graham (57kg) T: Brian Rogers	51	61	61	61	75	61
2. Warpipes (3) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: D L Morton	4.5	4.6	4.6	4.8	4.6	4.8
3. Pilbara Song (7) J: Craig Staples (57kg) T: Brian Rogers	81	81	81	81	99	81
4. Defending (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: D & B Pearce	7	6	5.5	6.5	6.5	5.5
5. I'm Not For Sale (10) J: Jordan Turner (57kg) T: C H Webster	11	11	10	12	10.8	10
6. Magical Gem (1) J: Unknown (57kg) T: V A Brockman
7. Orchilla (8) J: Peter Knuckey (55kg) T: Ms R Lockwood	10	10	10	10	12.2	10
8. Come To Me (6) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: D R Harrison	41	41	34	34	35	34
9. Pat's Got Sass (5) J: Paul Harvey (55kg) T: D R Harrison	2.15	2.1	2.05	2	2.1	2.2
10. Queen's Gift (11) J: Troy Turner (55kg) T: F R Kersley	20	19	19	19	16.8	19
11. Shezaclassychix (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: D R Harrison	12	12	11	12	11.6	11

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 4:46pm (AEDT)

2YO race to kick things off here and we have a short-priced favourite in the form of (9) Pat’s Got Sass, who makes her debut here on the back of a couple of smart trials. Her first trial was over 400m, where she wasn’t quick away but picked up nicely through the line. Then she trialled over 950m, where she ran down the smart Policiere, and they pulled 7L clear of the rest of the field. She’s a big, gangley thing, but she’s clearly got a motor.

(2) Warpipes has been gelded since his debut run behind Pixie Chic, who then got beat a nose in the Supremacy Stakes on the weekend. He gets the blinkers on first time, as well as C Parnham, so there really should be sharp improvement in him.

(4) Defending has trialled once and went well. Tricky draw here from 9.

David Harrison has two other runners outside the favourite, those being (8) Come To Me and (11) Shezaclassychix who can both be included.

Tip: (9) Pat's Got Sass $2.50 Betfair

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Pat's Got Sass

Race 2 Amelia Park Mdn (1000m) 5:19pm (AEDT)
1. Scorpion Stormz (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: Joshua Krispyn	5.5	5.5	5	5.5	5.4	5
2. Gold Friars (10) J: Unknown (57kg) T: D R Harrison
3. The Fibonacci (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: C & M Gangemi
4. Big Screen (13) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
5. Famous Jurney (12) J: Jason Brown (57kg) T: J P Taylor	4.4	4.6	4.6	4.8	4.45	4.6
6. It's Tiff's (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: T N Pike	8	7	6	7.5	8.6	5.5
7. Society's Finest (5) J: Troy Turner (56kg) T: Greg Cave	12	12	11	12	11.6	11
8. Wunderkind (9) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: N D Parnham	4.6	4.5	4.4	4.4	4.45	4.4
9. Blazing Passion (4) J: Ms Lisa Staples (55kg) T: P H Jordan	8	8	8	8	8.4	8.5
10. Ambers Chant (11) J: Steven Parnham (55kg) T: N D Parnham	61	61	51	71	73	51
11. Pouakai (1) J: Peter Knuckey (55kg) T: Ms J Erkelens	7	7.5	7	7	6.7	7.5
12. Glass Off (2) J: Shaun O'donnell (55kg) T: G P Poletti	15	16	15	15	13.4	19
13. Mia Nobile (3) J: Ryan Hill (55kg) T: G N Davies	51	51	41	61	40	41

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 5:21pm (AEDT)

(5) Famous Journey should find this race much easier than the two he contested last preparation. Those races were against the likes of Kissonallforcheeks, Smashing, Alpha And Omega and Nobel Laurence. He’s trialled well this time in, winning both, and should come across to sit right up on speed from barrier 12. Will be in it for a long way.

(8) Wunderkind was good first up behind Cable Boy, but struggled last start at Bunbury. Back to his home track with Chris Parnham going aboard should see him bounce back.

(6) It’s Tiff’s will be right around the mark but has had her fair share of chances.

Tip: (5) Famous Jurney $5.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Famous Jurney

Race 3 Crown Perth (Rs0ly) (1000m) 5:54pm (AEDT)
1. Danny George (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: Brett Pope
2. Stable Secret (2) J: Ms Sasha Starley (57.5kg) T: B P Graham	31	31	34	34	34	31
3. Star Glitter (3) J: Steven Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham	10	10	9.5	10	10	10
4. Miss Conteki (5) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: Simon Miller	1.7	1.7	1.75	1.8	1.72	1.65
5. Lording (4) J: Troy Turner (56kg) T: B P Newnham	3.7	3.8	3.6	3.5	3.9	3.8
6. Dam Ready (7) J: Jason Whiting (55.5kg) T: M W Bairstow	41	34	34	34	34	34
7. Requisition (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: Brett Pope	8	7.5	7	7.5	7	7.5
8. Bos Taurus (8) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: Tameeka Brown	20	21	21	21	20.5	23

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 5:56pm (AEDT)

(4) Miss Conteki looks the obvious horse to be with here but you can leave me out of $1.50. She’s won three from four and resumes from a 43-week break today with one trial under the belt. Chris Parnham is booked and she is the one to beat, but there are one or two others to consider in the race.

I said after last start that (5) Lording will be very hard to beat whenever he draws a gate. Today he draws barrier 4, but he might just have bumped into a smart one here. He’s been huge this prep though. First up he was wide without cover throughout, second up he was under the stick at the 600m before flying home to be beaten a lip, and last start he sat three-wide the trip again. He can be very hard to beat here.

(1) Stable Secret won a similar race to this two starts ago. He’s very hit and miss but he’ll be let run today and he can be hard to run down when he’s at his best. At $21 he’s not the worst.

Tip: (4) Miss Conteki $1.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

Race 4 Autumn Ascot Racing (Rs0ly) (1400m) 6:34pm (AEDT)
1. Castillo Del Lago (5) J: Chris Parnham (60kg) T: M L Lane
2. Mystery Man (8) J: Jordan Turner (59kg) T: G W Dupre	3.9	3.7	3.6	4	3.6	3.4
3. Nobel Laurence (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: J N Pateman	1.8	1.8	1.75	1.75	1.76	1.85
4. Master Moore (4) J: Craig Staples (58kg) T: Rhys Radford	27	26	21	34	31	21
5. Speedbird (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: D & B Pearce	5	5	5	5	5.2	5
6. True Moon (6) J: Ryan Hill (57.5kg) T: S & J Casey	61	81	81	81	79	81
7. Regal Dividend (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham	14	13	13	16	14.6	12
8. Piccola Signora (7) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham	26	26	21	26	22.5	23
9. Redhead Ritchie (9) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: Kallie Monaghan	51	61	61	71	71	61

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 6:36pm (AEDT)

I’m a real big fan of this horse (3) Nobel Laurence, and I think he’ll be extremely hard to beat here. He was sound first up behind Hot Zed, who has since come out and won again to make it four wins in a row. That was a decent little race he resumed in and now he gets up to 1400m second up, which should suit him much better. With even luck, he looks the horse to beat.

(2) Mystery Man hasn’t done much wrong in his five starts. He had his chance last start and gets a tricky map today, and I think over 1400m he’s going to find one stronger.

(5) Speedbird makes her debut for a new stable today and we can probably expect improvement with that. She beat Castillo Del Lago last prep which is good enough form to be competitive in this.

Tip: (3) Nobel Laurence $2.15 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Nobel Laurence

Race 5 Quayclean Hcp (C3) (2400m) 7:10pm (AEDT)
1. Queen Takes King (7) J: Brad Rawiller (60.5kg) T: L Smith	1.95	1.95	1.95	1.9	2.05	2.1
2. Axel 'R' Eight (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe	3.2	3	3.1	3.8	3.05	2.7
3. Final Chill (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh	11	10	10	11	11.4	10
4. Run Like Fire (8) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (58kg) T: Ms J Clements	61	51	61	61	59	61
5. Bonjour Noir (9) J: Troy Turner (57kg) T: F R Kersley	18	17	16	16	17.8	16
6. Regent Star (6) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: Mark Wright
7. Friar Away (2) J: Shaun O'donnell (54.5kg) T: Ms J Erkelens	9.5	9.5	9	9	8	10
8. Doc Friar (1) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: Kallie Monaghan	71	67	51	51	79	61
9. Noble King (5) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: E A Gardiner	26	21	16	14	22.5	21
10. Praying With God (10) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: Ms S L Miller	19	19	18	16	16.8	21

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 7:11pm (AEDT)

(1) Queen Takes King dropped back in distance last start and was plain. Straight up to 2400m today should suit him much better. Brad Rawiller returns to riding after a fall, and this is his only ride of the day. I think he’ll take some beating.

(5) Bonjouir Noir stepped up to 2000m for the first time last start and bolted in. On that performance, you’d think the 2400m would pose no problem. He steps up from a maiden to a class 3, which is a steep rise in grade, but he might be able to give a sight.

(2) Axel ‘R’ Eight next best.

Tip: (1) Queen Takes King $2.50 Sportsbet

Value: (5) Bonjour Noir $21 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Queen Takes King, 0.25 units WIN Bonjour Noir

Race 6 Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1500m) 7:45pm (AEDT)
1. Bruny Island (2) J: Troy Turner (60kg) T: C R Scoby-Smith	23	21	21	26	26.5	21
2. Top Trade (3) J: Ms Victoria Corver (60kg) T: Michael Grantham	41	34	34	51	53	34
3. There's A Chance (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg) T: Darren Taylor	27	26	26	26	27.5	26
4. Belafonte Boy (9) J: Alan Kennedy (59kg) T: D Miller	27	26	20	19	26.5	26
5. Fiery Bay (5) J: Peter Hall (59kg) T: Brian Kersley	4.5	4.5	4.6	4.6	4.85	4.8
6. General Grant (1) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59kg) T: S J Miller	4	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.1	4.2
7. Lucky Heart (8) J: Ms Madi Derrick (59kg) T: Tracey Diederich	4.6	4.5	4	3.8	4.05	4.6
8. Winsalot (4) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: L P Luciani	9.5	8	7.5	8.5	9.1	7
9. Temptacion (10) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: D L Morton	4.8	4.5	4.4	5	4.25	4.4
10. Merivale Magic (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: R W Price	16	15	16	16	16	16

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 7:46pm (AEDT)

I think (10) Merivale Magic is a big price here. She was good in her first three runs back from a spell before being caught four-wide the trip last start. Forget she went around there and go off what she did prior to that. She draws much better in barrier 6 today and can b competitive at big odds.

(5) Fiery Bay has been racing well, placing in every start bar one this campaign, when he sat three-wide the trip. He was held up until the 200m mark last start and then hit the line well when he got out. With more luck today, he should be finishing strongly.

(6) General Grant draws barrier 1 but I think he’s under the odds. He beat Antique Jewel on debut, which I don’t think is much good, and last start he had his chance in the same race as Fiery Bay.

(9) Temptacion gets blinkers on for the first time for Morton and Parnham, but was well beaten at York last start. Needs to improve.

Tip: (10) Merivale Magic $17 Bet365

Also Backing: (5) Fiery Bay $5.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Merivale Magic, 0.5 units WIN Fiery Bay

Race 7 Tabtouch - Better Your Bet-C3 (1400m) 8:25pm (AEDT)
1. Trevello (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg) T: G & A Williams	8	8	8.5	9.5	7.8	8
2. Yulong Earth (11) J: Mitchell Pateman (59kg) T: M W Bairstow	7	7	7	8	7	7
3. King Cruzer (4) J: Shaun O'donnell (58.5kg) T: Ms J Erkelens	6	6	5.5	6	5.9	5.5
4. Artie's Jewels (7) J: Patrick Carbery (57kg) T: Ms K Kersley	31	31	34	51	34	31
5. Dipara (3) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: K J Mifflin	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.1	8.5
6. Great Charade (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: T M Andrews	9.5	9.5	9	9	9.1	9
7. Al Magico (10) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (56.5kg) T: J M Bowtell	31	31	26	26	26.5	34
8. Calag (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: Steele Casey	2.7	2.7	2.6	2.5	2.75	2.8
9. Neat Action (1) J: Steven Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham	13	13	11	11	11.6	13
10. Alluring (8) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54.5kg) T: N D Parnham	23	26	18	16	20.5	23
11. Scarlet Speedster (9) J: Peter Knuckey (54.5kg) T: Cynthia Larson-Robinson	101	101	101	101	131	101

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 8:26pm (AEDT)

(5) Dipara looks a decent each way bet here in the last. She went back to last in her latest run and only picked off the tired horses, but her form before that was good behind the likes of London Miss. She’s undefeated from two starts at this track and distance and draws well in barrier 3, so expecting her to bounce back today.

(1) Trevello was very heavily backed first up but didn’t do much. Gets the winkers on for the first time today. Respecting that SP first up and with the run under his belt he may be hard to beat.

(8) Calag has been good in two starts this prep. Draws well again and can be competitive, but does have just one win from 17 starts.

(3) King Cruzer next best.

Tip: (5) Dipara E/W $7.50 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Dipara