Race 1
Love & Thoughts For Cleo Mdn (1000m)
4:20pm (AEDT)
Race 1Love & Thoughts For Cleo Mdn (1000m) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Bayzel
J: Chris Parnham (56kg)
T: Brian Kersley |
18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19.2 | 18 |
2. Spiced Delight
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg)
T: Martin Allan |
9 | 8 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.2 | 9.5 |
3. Thomas Magnum
J: Brad Parnham (56kg)
T: C & M Gangemi |
1.75 | 1.75 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.68 | 1.7 |
4. Chad's Me Dad
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg)
T: Ms P Kenney |
14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
5. Jalinda Bay
J: Jason Whiting (56kg)
T: B V Watkins |
23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
6. Yes Man
J: Chris Graham (56kg)
T: M Knox |
51 | 41 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 |
7. Hola Marea
J: Jordan Turner (56kg)
T: S & J Casey |
||||||
8. Dance Session
J: Jason Brown (54kg)
T: J P Taylor |
6.5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6.2 | 7 |
9. Winning Pia
J: Peter Knuckey (54kg)
T: S & J Casey |
26 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 28 | 31 |
10. Beauty In Me
J: William Pike (54kg)
T: J F Miller |
10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10.2 | 9 |
11. Yakyak
J: Laqdar Ramoly (54kg)
T: N D Parnham |
31 | 26 | 31 | 31 | 29.5 | 34 |
Odds Last Updated: November 4, 2021, 4:24pm (AEDT)
I was only interested in two horses here and one of them has been scratched this morning, which leaves me very confident with (3) Thomas Magnum. This horse ran well without much luck on debut as a two-year-old before being put away for a spell. He returns as a three-year-old today coming off a very, very stylish trial. Brad Parnham barely flinched a muscle on him as he went to the line under a complete stranglehold. Drawn well and looks awfully hard to beat.
Tip: (3) Thomas MAgnum $1.85 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 4 units WIN Thomas Magnum
Race 2
Tabtouch - Better Your Bet Mdn (1400m)
4:59pm (AEDT)
Race 2Tabtouch - Better Your Bet Mdn (1400m) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Disengo
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg)
T: A G Durrant |
11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10.8 | 11 |
2. Total Lockdown
J: William Pike (57kg)
T: Simon Miller |
13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
3. He'sgotwings
J: Brad Parnham (57kg)
T: Martin Allan |
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3 | 3.05 | 2.8 |
4. Catalpa
J: Chris Parnham (57kg)
T: D L Morton |
8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8 | 8.5 |
5. Cobbanco
J: Jason Whiting (57kg)
T: B G Lucas |
7 | 7 | 7 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7 |
6. Jackemjames
J: Joseph Azzopardi (57kg)
T: B P Fitzgerald |
||||||
7. Liber Archie
J: Jordan Turner (57kg)
T: Ms M Tyson |
81 | 81 | 81 | 91 | 79 | 81 |
8. Bell Lap
J: Ms Nicole Hopwood (57kg)
T: S J Miller |
35 | 34 | 34 | 41 | 32 | 34 |
9. Flower In The Wind
J: Steven Parnham (55kg)
T: N D Parnham |
7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 7.5 |
10. Nutwood
J: Ms Lisa Staples (55kg)
T: P H Jordan |
35 | 34 | 34 | 51 | 45 | 34 |
11. Snip Of Glory
J: Patrick Carbery (55kg)
T: Simon Miller |
5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.8 |
12. Kempy Gold
J: Laqdar Ramoly (55kg)
T: Michael Grantham |
91 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 99 | 101 |
13. My Norina
J: Taj Dyson (55kg)
T: F R Kersley |
35 | 34 | 34 | 41 | 33 | 34 |
Odds Last Updated: November 4, 2021, 4:59pm (AEDT)
Good little race this.
(5) Cobbanco was a big run on debut coming from back in the field over 1100m, recording the fastest final 400m of the entire meeting. That was after sitting three-wide without cover for the entire race. The step up to 1400m looks to really suit him based on that and provided they are able to run on, he’ll run a big race at each way odds.
(3) He’sgotwings is in a similar boat. He was also a good run on debut after overracing throughout, before finally getting his act together and finishing off well to run 2nd. He’s another that will appreciate the step up to 1400m but that means a slower tempo and he needs to settle better than he did on debut.
(11) Snip Of Glory has been good coming from the back of the field in both career starts. Likely to be back there again from the wide gate.
(9) Flower In The Wind was well supported first up but disappointing. Respect the market from that run though.
Tip: (5) Cobbanco $7.10/$2.40 BoomBet
Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Cobbanco
Race 3
Seacorp Mdn (1400m)
5:42pm (AEDT)
Race 3Seacorp Mdn (1400m) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Keep It Hush
J: Taj Dyson (58kg)
T: Daniel O'connor |
27 | 26 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 |
2. Melwood Coast
J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg)
T: B S Seinor |
26 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 26.5 | 23 |
3. North Lane
J: Steven Parnham (58kg)
T: F R Kersley |
51 | 61 | 51 | 61 | 59 | 61 |
4. Market Stryke
J: Patrick Carbery (58kg)
T: Simon Miller |
2.7 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
5. Marty's Party
J: Ms Emma Stent (58kg)
T: A D Mathews |
91 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 101 |
6. Our Escape
J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg)
T: Misty Bazeley |
81 | 81 | 81 | 101 | 101 | 81 |
7. Just Dennis
J: Brad Rawiller (58kg)
T: K J Reeves |
81 | 81 | 81 | 101 | 101 | 81 |
8. Westriver Miracle
J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (58kg)
T: Ms A King |
11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11.2 | 10 |
9. Petite La Femme
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg)
T: C G Willis |
20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 |
10. Pray Again
J: Brad Parnham (56kg)
T: N D Parnham |
2.9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2.85 | 3 |
11. Luke's Pierro
J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg)
T: D R Harrison |
34 | 34 | 34 | 41 | 34 | 34 |
12. False Evidence
J: Ryan Hill (56kg)
T: Jade Tangaroa |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26.5 | 26 |
13. Elusive Dream
J: William Pike (56kg)
T: G & A Williams |
9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.9 | 9.5 |
14. King Kashoo
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg)
T: A G Durrant |
16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 14.2 | 14 |
Odds Last Updated: November 4, 2021, 5:44pm (AEDT)
Looks a race between (4) Market Stryke and (10) Pray Again.
Market Stryke will jump and lead from barrier 13. He sat outside the leader on debut at Northam and was only run down late to be narrowly beaten by Success Play, which then came out and won again at its next start.
Pray Again was well backed first up and ran home strongly to be beaten just over half-a-length. The race was run to suit those on speed. Belle’s Fantasy won that race and then came out and ran 2nd to Airlie Queen at her next start, so the form isn’t horrible.
(8) Westriver Miracle was a terrific trial when last seen but then never went to the races and has since been transferred to another stable. Reeks of something going wrong since that trial so will be happy to avoid today.
Backing Market Stryke who ran a much faster time than Pray Again on the same day and should take catching from the front.
Tip: (4) Market Stryke $2.40 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Market Stryke
Race 4
Free Entry To Belmont Park Mdn (1650m)
6:15pm (AEDT)
Race 4Free Entry To Belmont Park Mdn (1650m) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Rocaroyale
J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg)
T: Anthony Oram |
34 | 26 | 51 | 41 | 33 | 34 |
2. Hear Me
J: William Pike (58kg)
T: Luke Fernie |
12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11.2 | 12 |
3. Pick And Pay
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg)
T: Meryl Hayley |
18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19.2 | 18 |
4. Meritia
J: Ms Kristy Bennett (58kg)
T: D R Harrison |
21 | 19 | 31 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
5. Kolchino
J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg)
T: Darren Taylor |
1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.85 | 1.86 | 1.85 |
6. Arnray
J: Jason Whiting (58kg)
T: Kirryn Scallan |
16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18.2 | 16 |
7. Duchees Demerit
J: Ms Kate Witten (58kg)
T: P E Roberts |
46 | 34 | 41 | 71 | 51 | 51 |
8. Jolly Odd
J: Keshaw Dhurun (56kg)
T: J P Johnston |
101 | 126 | 101 | 101 | 141 | 151 |
9. Almaher Man
J: Brad Parnham (56kg)
T: F R Kersley |
4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 4.6 |
10. Mia Nobile
J: Troy Turner (56kg)
T: G N Davies |
17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
11. Aztec Gold
J: Patrick Carbery (56kg)
T: B A Miller |
14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14.8 | 15 |
12. Lady Of Babylon
J: Ryan Hill (56kg)
T: V A Brockman |
||||||
13. Miss Rona
J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg)
T: Ray Miller |
91 | 126 | 101 | 101 | 121 | 126 |
14. Arrow Song
J: Peter Knuckey (54kg)
T: F R Kersley |
||||||
15. King Lucifer
J: Steven Parnham (58kg)
T: Ms K Kersley |
101 | 126 | 101 | 101 | 111 | 126 |
16. Our Escape
J: Unknown (58kg)
T: Misty Bazeley |
Odds Last Updated: November 4, 2021, 6:19pm (AEDT)
The key to this race is (5) Kolchino jumping. He was a complete slug out of the gates in all his trials and on debut at Geraldton, but ran the fastest final 400m in defeat. Shaun McGruddy then went on last start and got him out of the gates to lead, and he was only run down very late by a horse with some talent in Mahaleo. Gets up to 1650m today and draws ideally in barrier 3. McGruddy is suspended so Shaun O’Donnell picks up the ride and if he can get him out, he’ll take plenty of beating, especially on a track that I expect to favour those on speed.
(9) Almaher Man looks the danger from the good draw after running 3rd to Advanced first up.
The early price for Kolchino is gone – he opened $4.00 – and now at $2.45 I have to sit out as there’s the risk he doesn’t jump well.
Tip: (5) Kolchino $2.45 TopSport
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 5
Schweppes Hcp (C1) (2200m)
6:50pm (AEDT)
Race 5Schweppes Hcp (C1) (2200m) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Ace Place
J: Troy Turner (60kg)
T: Ms P Wagg |
12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11.8 | 12 |
2. Sunday Gin
J: Keshaw Dhurun (60kg)
T: Raymond Vincent |
31 | 31 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 34 |
3. Rogues Point
J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg)
T: M W Bairstow |
10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 8.8 | 9.5 |
4. Antique Jewel
J: William Pike (58kg)
T: A G Durrant |
2.15 | 2.15 | 2.2 | 2.25 | 2.2 | 2.15 |
5. Circle The Sun
J: Jett Stanley (58kg)
T: A G Durrant |
4.4 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.35 | 4.4 |
6. Yulong Wall
J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58kg)
T: Joshua Krispyn |
20 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 18 | 23 |
7. Nick Of Time
J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg)
T: G J Evans |
19 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 19.2 | 19 |
8. Dance Of The South
J: Ms Kate Witten (57kg)
T: Greg Cave |
31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 31 |
9. Dancing Jack
J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg)
T: Anthony Oram |
9 | 8.5 | 9 | 8.5 | 9.1 | 8.5 |
10. Bryce Road
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56.5kg)
T: K J Reeves |
71 | 81 | 81 | 91 | 91 | 81 |
11. Time Stands Still
J: Steven Parnham (55.5kg)
T: Deborah Hagan |
31 | 31 | 26 | 26 | 35 | 31 |
Odds Last Updated: November 4, 2021, 6:54pm (AEDT)
If there is ever a no-bet race, this is it.
(4) Antique Jewel finds her race but she’s also gone down as favourite in her past two starts. Gets barrier 1 today and gets back onto firm ground, but she’s no good thing.
(5) Circle The Sun comes out of the same race as Antique Jewel and meets it 3kg better at the weights.
(2) Sunday Gin broke its maiden when he was lame two starts ago and was fair resuming from seven weeks off over the mile last start. Up in distance suits today.
(3) Rogues Point will run his usual honest race but always finds a couple better.
(8) Dance Of The South isn’t completely hopeless at big odds if she can jump better and settle handy. There’s no speed in the race.
Tip: (4) Antique Jewel $2.80 TAB
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 6
Western Racepix Hcp (C1) (1200m)
7:25pm (AEDT)
Race 6Western Racepix Hcp (C1) (1200m) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Skater Boy
J: Ms Holly Watson (60kg)
T: Hayden Ballantyne |
23 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 21.5 | 26 |
2. War Warrior
J: Brad Rawiller (60kg)
T: D L Morton |
1.85 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.95 | 1.86 | 1.75 |
3. Don't Argue Buster
J: Ms Kristy Bennett (59kg)
T: D R Harrison |
11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10.4 | 12 |
4. Dais
J: Unknown (58kg)
T: D & B Pearce |
||||||
5. Ellie'n'pink
J: Chris Graham (58kg)
T: Brian Rogers |
14 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 14.2 | 13 |
6. Ginger Mack
J: Troy Turner (58kg)
T: Greg Cave |
18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16.8 | 19 |
7. My Hidden Journey
J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg)
T: John Doyle |
18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 17.2 | 21 |
8. Bourbon Beau
J: Mitchell Pateman (57.5kg)
T: Ms A King |
4.2 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 4 |
9. Domineer
J: Brad Parnham (56kg)
T: N D Parnham |
18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17.8 | 21 |
10. Ninetyone Dwyer
J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg)
T: Michael Hackett |
21 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 26 |
11. Vicinity
J: Ms Victoria Corver (55kg)
T: C G Willis |
101 | 126 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 151 |
Odds Last Updated: November 4, 2021, 7:29pm (AEDT)
(2) War Warrior looks to have found a very nice race to resume in today. He was last seen running against the likes of Bragwell and Tri For Us, which reads well for a midweek Class 1. Dan Morton has trained 10 winners from his past 28 starters and four from his last 10. The stable is absolutely flying.
(8) Bourbon Beau showed a little bit of talent earlier in its career and now has a stable switch from Simon Miller to Anne King. Watch the market.
(1) Skater Boy will roll forward and could give some cheek.
Tip: (2) War Warrior $2.20 BlueBet
Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN War Warrior
Race 7
Morley Growers Market Hcp (C5) (1200m)
8:00pm (AEDT)
Race 7Morley Growers Market Hcp (C5) (1200m) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Captain Kink
J: Taj Dyson (63.5kg)
T: Brett Pope |
19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
2. Vane Tempest
J: Ms Holly Watson (62kg)
T: Ms P Kenney |
3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.65 | 3.7 |
3. Ay Tee Emm
J: Troy Turner (60kg)
T: Greg Cave |
34 | 41 | 34 | 41 | 37 | 34 |
4. Double Jeopardy
J: Jett Stanley (60kg)
T: Tiarnna Robertson |
||||||
5. Island Missile
J: Brad Rawiller (58kg)
T: C & M Gangemi |
8 | 8 | 8 | 8.5 | 7.7 | 8 |
6. Beat The Bro
J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57.5kg)
T: Ms S L Miller |
7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.5 |
7. Ghost Who Walks
J: Laqdar Ramoly (56.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
8. Enticing
J: Jason Brown (56kg)
T: J P Taylor |
27 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 29.5 | 26 |
9. Absolute
J: Shaun O'donnell (55.5kg)
T: Luke Fernie |
17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16.4 | 18 |
10. Storm Commander
J: Chris Parnham (55kg)
T: N D Parnham |
3.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
11. Altani
J: William Pike (54.5kg)
T: D & B Pearce |
14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13.4 | 14 |
12. Fair Joy
J: Steven Parnham (54.5kg)
T: Jade Tangaroa |
||||||
13. Shock Result
J: Craig Staples (54.5kg)
T: P H Jordan |
17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16.8 | 17 |
Odds Last Updated: November 4, 2021, 8:04pm (AEDT)
(2) Vane Tempest was ridden cold first up behind rising star Wilchino in 66+ Saturday grade. Back to a Class 5 here, gets a gun run should they ride her more positive today, which I expect they will.
(10) Storm Commander was beaten 1.8L by Treasured Star first up, and Treasured Star started favourite (and was incredibly unlucky) in Tuesday’s Burgess Queen Stakes. Gets a great run from barrier 3 and will be right thereabouts. Racing out of his grade in a Class 5 though.
(6) Beat The Bro and (5) Island Missile next best.
Tip: (2) Vane Tempest $3.60 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 8
Furphy Hcp (C1) (1200m)
8:37pm (AEDT)
Race 8Furphy Hcp (C1) (1200m) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Pick Your Battles
J: Jason Whiting (60kg)
T: G C Ballantyne |
||||||
2. Talk It Up
J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg)
T: Luke Fernie |
9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 10 | 9.5 |
3. Natural Spice
J: Troy Turner (59kg)
T: P E Roberts |
19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19.8 | 19 |
4. Above The Peg
J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg)
T: Simon Miller |
27 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 30 | 26 |
5. Memorable Miss
J: William Pike (58kg)
T: G & A Williams |
4.5 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.2 |
6. Mightiness
J: Jarrad Noske (58kg)
T: Hayden Ballantyne |
31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 34 |
7. Rock Hard Omaru
J: Taj Dyson (57kg)
T: Kirsten Melis |
19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19.6 | 19 |
8. Belle's Fantasy
J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56.5kg)
T: D R Harrison |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3.9 | 4 |
9. Powerful
J: Keshaw Dhurun (56.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10.6 | 13 |
10. God's Blue Skye
J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg)
T: Darren Taylor |
||||||
11. Safety Fuse
J: Chris Parnham (56kg)
T: D L Morton |
2.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.65 | 2.9 |
12. Tabella
J: Ms Victoria Corver (54kg)
T: A H Mortimer |
61 | 61 | 67 | 81 | 83 | 61 |
Odds Last Updated: November 4, 2021, 8:39pm (AEDT)
(11) Safety Fuse is another runner for the red-hot Danny Morton stable that should be going very close today. Won two starts ago and was only beaten 2.45L by Treasured Star last start after sitting three-wide without cover throughout. Keshaw Dhurun is replaced by Chris Parnham today and with even luck she is a great winning chance.
(5) Memorable Miss is first up today and likely to be back in the field from barrier 8. She might be better suited up over the mile and she’ll have some ground to make up, but you can never dismiss these Peters horses.
(8) Belle’s Fantasy should jump and lead from the wide gate. She’ll take beating on a track that could favour those on speed.
Tip: (11) Safety Fuse $3.40 TAB
Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Safety Fuse