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Canterbury Racing Tips: Friday, January 1st

2021 is here and Canterbury gets the honour of hosting the first Sydney meeting of the new year. Joshua Reed has gone over all eight races and has found some key bets for the punters.

CanterburyRaceCourse

Canterbury gets the honour to bring in the New Year for Sydney Racing with a bumper eight race card to get the punters celebrating.

The rail is in the True and there has been a lot of wet weather around, so let’s hope it doesn’t ruin a brilliant night of racing.

Joshua Reed has analysed all eight races with his best bets below:

Best Bet: Race 7 – (4) Catapult $3.80 Bet365

Next Best: Race 5 – (6) Front Money $3.40 Sportsbet

Best Value: Race 8 – (6) Miss Redoble $9.60/$3.05 Sportsbetting E/W

 

BetDeluxe

0

Race 1

Bowermans Comm. Furniture Mdn (1100m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Bowermans Comm. Furniture Mdn (1100m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

1. Gallant Lad (7) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: David Payne
161516.217
2. Head Legislator (8) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: M J Dunn
3. Comporta (1) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: C J Waller
4.44.44.354.2
4. Egao (2) J: Lee Magorrian (55kg) T: C J Waller
887.78
5. Little White Lies (3) J: Christian Reith (55kg) T: William Freedman
6. Single Tonite (5) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: J A O'shea
54.85.15
7. Tight Ropes (6) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: C J Waller
676.46
8. Virgo (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: James Cummings
2.72.52.72.5

Odds Last Updated: January 31, 2021, 9:06am (AEDT)

Not a race I want to overly bet in with a lot of unknowns, especially with the weather the way it is. (3) Comporta may be unraced, but she has had six trials in total with two of those in the lead up to this race. Both trials this time in she has led, so it is expected she will do the same again from the inside barrier or even sit behind her stablemate who also likes to lead. I thought she was much better suited to her latest trial which was on a soft track which gives me great hope that she will be able to lead here and hold her ground late.

(6) Single Tonite showed first-up last preparation that a soft ground won’t give her much grief and showed in her latest trial on the heavy going that it didn’t overly phase her, though she wasn’t tested. Depending on how the track plays, she could give our top pick a bit of grief.

(8) Virgo is the current favourite and has showed in her last two that she is one-paced. I don’t expect her to be a factor and could be a good lay bet if you like playing on Betfair.

Tip: (3) Comporta $4.25 Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 2

Hyland Race Colours Mdn Hcp (1250m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Hyland Race Colours Mdn Hcp (1250m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

1. Saint Of Katowice (3) J: Christian Reith (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
555.45
2. Kaptive (7) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
8.58.57.78.5
3. April Rain (6) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: C J Waller
1.61.61.561.55
4. The Fossil (1) J: Regan Bayliss (56.5kg) T: Sam Kavanagh
23262426
5. Conspiratrix (4) J: Tom Sherry (56kg) T: C Lundholm
6. Pragmatism (11) J: James Innes Jnr (56kg) T: Claire Lever
131414.214
7. Dane Central (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: M C Vella
91101151101
8. Doppelpunkt (9) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: J A O'shea
131514.413
9. Magical Angel (10) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Matthew Smith
10. Rubielie (8) J: Grant Buckley (54kg) T: Grant Allard
41516141
11. First Fleet (5) J: Ms Winona Costin (54kg) T: Mick Attard
91151161151

Odds Last Updated: January 2, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

I think the Waller/Clipperton connection can take out the first two races here and this girl looks to have above average talent. (3) April Rain got going early in her only run to date almost a year ago and hit the line well behind Quantico here at Canterbury. She comes into this on the back of two trials with the latest on a soft going, where she accelerated nicely. She looks to have come back in good order and should run a bold race with 1250m suiting her better first-up.

Not sure if (4) The Fossil is up to the same grade as (3) April Rain but I do think he can run bold race at big odds. Although he took a shortcut in his debut, I thought he ran well on the heavy going at Scone to warrant some respect here. Probably needs a bigger track but you never know in the big city.

I am very interested to see how (2) Kaptive has returned after his failure first-up. Yes he ran third, but he didn’t live up to the expectation of the race and it was a long third.

Tip: (3) April Rain $2.00 Bluebet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 3

The Agency Real Estate Mdn Hcp (1250m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3

The Agency Real Estate Mdn Hcp (1250m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. For Valour (16) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.24.44.054.6
2. Law Party (11) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
44.24.054.2
3. Better Tomorrow (10) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: C J Waller
4. Major Artie (5) J: Christian Reith (58kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
141413.813
5. Beachhaven (9) J: Lee Magorrian (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
6. Adulting (13) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
7. Blaze Seven (7) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: J A O'shea
4.24.64.454.2
8. Good Omens (15) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
9. Kamea (4) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Lauri Parker
10. Pippali (14) J: Ms Jess Taylor (56.5kg) T: J C Coyle
232123.523
11. Hot Spring Gold (3) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
5.5555
12. Ananagram (6) J: Billy Cray (56kg) T: S I Singleton
27263226
13. Urban Warrior (12) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Peter Robl
14. Annual (1) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: M Petrovic
31264134
15. Gallant Lad (2) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58.5kg) T: David Payne
16. Little White Lies (8) J: Unknown (56kg) T: William Freedman
119.51210

Odds Last Updated: January 2, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Another race and another maiden here at Canterbury, again no confidence in this with the form and conditions. (1) For Valour looks the one early doors at a nice price, who is coming back off a 20 week spell where he was gelded. His two starts last preparation had plenty of merit with the son of Zoustar holding on for a brave second at Kembla Grange first-up behind the talented Private Eye before fighting hard late for fourth at Warwick Farm behind Joviality, despite being wide for the entire trip. He is drawn the widest but comes into barrier 12 with the scratchings as I write this and will no doubt go forward after two fitness building trials.

His stable mate (4) Major Artie poses a big threat after his third placing at Newcastle. He was under the pump from the get-go after he blundered the start and making the rider become unbalanced. He was then stuck behind a wall up the straight and getting out around the 150m mark to finish off well.

Can’t get my head around why (7) Blaze Seven is favourite and I expect her to drift in the market.

Tip: (1) For Valour E/W $6.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 4

Anz Bloodstock News (Bm72) (1900m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Anz Bloodstock News (Bm72) (1900m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

1. Pirate Ben (10) J: Chris Williams (60.5kg) T: D Lane
31413731
2. Merlinite (2) J: Tom Sherry (59kg) T: J A O'shea
3.22.93.253
3. Joigny (3) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (58kg) T: T J Bartley
5.55.55.65.5
4. Main Stage (6) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell
131413.414
5. Amoretti (4) J: Keagan Latham (56.5kg) T: G Portelli
3.73.63.64
6. Savvy Crown (7) J: Christian Reith (56kg) T: J C Deamer
9.5109.99
7. Into The Oblivion (8) J: Jay Ford (54.5kg) T: P M Perry
31343331
8. He's A Given (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54kg) T: C E Conners
9.59.59.310
9. Joe's Joy (11) J: Grant Buckley (54kg) T: Richard Litt
272629.531
10. Temperate (9) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J C Coyle
11. Itasca (1) J: Ms Cejay Graham (54kg) T: S I Singleton
35343934

Odds Last Updated: January 23, 2021, 7:16pm (AEDT)

Happy to have my first bets of the evening around these two over the 1900m. (5) Amoretti was impressive at Wyong just over a fortnight ago and he will look to continue it here. He stalked the leader over the mile in a weaker class before streaking away for a comfortable 3.8 length win. He will get a similar weight here, a favourable draw and with little speed he should be able to do exactly the same as his last outing. If he steps up to the grade, he will be hard to hold out late.

The other I like at massive odds is (1) Pirate Ben who is coming off a nice win at Taree over the mile carrying 61kg. This was no mean feat and he is no stranger to running well in town when brought here. He gets a nice 2kg claim from a brilliant apprentice and will no doubt go forward from the wide barrier due to his racing pattern and the fact there is little speed engaged. If he can reel off some cheap sectionals (which Chris Williams has been known to do in staying races), he will be hard to run down, especially if more rain hits.

(2) Merlinite and (6) Savvy Crown are big dangers and even (8) He’s A Given can run a massive race on a wet track. There is plenty to play out weather wise prior, but all five runners mentioned can run massive races.

Tip: (5) Amoretti $4.60 Bluebet

Value: (1) Pirate Ben $21.50/$4.65 Sportsbetting E/W

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Amoretti FIXED, 0.5 unit EACH WAY Pirate Ben FIXED

0

Race 5

Schweppes (Bm72) (1100m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Schweppes (Bm72) (1100m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

1. Buckin' Beauty (6) J: Chris Williams (61.5kg) T: D Lane
2. Shadow Bridge (14) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: Mark Newnham
192116.421
3. Triple Ace (4) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
4.24.44.254
4. Damaged (15) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: James Cummings
5. Nictock (11) J: Ms Jess Taylor (56.5kg) T: M C Conners
202017.821
6. Front Money (2) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
4.84.64.94.4
7. Belieber (3) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Anthony Mountney
8. Trophies Galore (8) J: Grant Buckley (55.5kg) T: Andrew Robinson
27343334
9. Diva Bella (1) J: Ms Cejay Graham (55kg) T: Claire Lever
4.84.855
10. Unstoppabelle (10) J: Regan Bayliss (54.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
111212.212
11. Hinchbeast (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker
12. Winds Of War (7) J: Unknown (54kg) T: G K White
3.843.753.9
13. Sausalito (12) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: P M Perry
262627.526
14. Pyrmont (13) J: Unknown (54kg) T: David Payne
15. Lord Zoulander (9) J: Unknown (59kg) T: G Portelli

Odds Last Updated: January 10, 2021, 12:55am (AEDT)

Another race, another two-bet race which could go either way depending on the weather. (6) Front Money looked gone first-up in the straight but really picked up late but remaining fourth. She was very strong through the line and I love that they have kept her over 1100m here. She is drawn well here in a similar grade and will be in a forward position throughout. She should handle the conditions whichever way they go.

(1) Buckin’ Beauty is a nice each-way bet as we look for the Lane/Williams connection in back-to-back races. The daughter of Delago Deluxe ran well in her only trial and generally runs very well fresh. She gets in nicely with the 2kg claim of Chris Williams and if more rain comes, they will be rubbing their hands with glee. I think she is drawn well to head forward and may just kick away in the straight.

(3) Triple Ace is aiming for four wins in a row though the query will be the wet ground. You can’t deny his form and if it dries up, he comes even further into play.

(10) Unstoppabelle resumes in Sydney and her return will leave a few punters holding back on other runners.

Tip: (6) Front Money $3.40 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Front Money FIXED

 

Ladbrokes

0

Race 6

Christmas Classic (1200m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Christmas Classic (1200m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

1. Easy Eddie (6) J: Sam Clipperton (59kg) T: Joseph Pride
131312.814
2. Quackerjack (5) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: Mark Newnham
121211.613
3. Spirit Of Valor (7) J: Andrew Gibbons (58kg) T: K A Lees
61818181
4. Athiri (1) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: James Cummings
5. Hightail (3) J: Christian Reith (54.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
888.67.5
6. Southern Lad (9) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: J A O'shea
7. Eleven Eleven (12) J: Keagan Latham (54kg) T: G D Hickman
5.55.55.25
8. Chat (11) J: Tom Sherry (54kg) T: John Thompson
555.25.5
9. Tahitian Dancer (2) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Joseph Pride
41514751
10. Inanup (8) J: Ms Jess Taylor (53kg) T: J M Austin
141616.216
11. Discharged (10) J: Ms Winona Costin (53kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.44.44.354.4
12. Spaceboy (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53kg) T: G Portelli
5.555.85.5

Odds Last Updated: January 2, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

I can never seem to catch him, but I will be hoping (7) Eleven Eleven can make it back to back wins. He was extremely impressive in the Wyong Stakes chasing down the leaders and saluting by just under a length. He is third-up fit here and doesn’t mind a bit of rain but will have to contend with a poor draw. If Keegan Latham can get him into a nice spot from out there, I have no doubt his 5kg weight drop from last start will come in handy late.

I am not convinced (1) Easy Eddie is on his back end and believe he can hit back here with a bit of sting out of the track. He had excuses first-up running wide without cover throughout and his history shows he runs better second-up. I wouldn’t be leaving him out and could get to a big price.

(10) Inanup and (12) Spaceboy don’t mind the sting out of the ground and can run well here as well.

Tip: (7) Eleven Eleven $4.60 Palmerbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

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Race 7

Kia Evening Star (Bm72) (1250m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Kia Evening Star (Bm72) (1250m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

1. General Soho (2) J: Jay Ford (60kg) T: P M Perry
7.577.88
2. Partners (12) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: S I Singleton
3. Lord Zoulander (3) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (59kg) T: G Portelli
141413.814
4. Catapult (4) J: Tom Sherry (58.5kg) T: Richard Litt
3.53.53.553.7
5. Super Contender (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
4.54.44.554.2
6. Let's Rebelle (14) J: Brandon Griffiths (58kg) T: Anthony Mountney
61918381
7. Tepario (5) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.84.84.655
8. All From Scrap (7) J: Chris Williams (56.5kg) T: D I Atkins
171617.216
9. Isorich (1) J: Ms Cejay Graham (56.5kg) T: Wayne Seelin
31313731
10. Nicochet (8) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: J C Coyle
14151314
11. Skyray (11) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: C E Conners
212021.521
12. Weekend Affair (13) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J C Coyle
13. Zidane (9) J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg) T: Lauri Parker
27213026
14. Eden Vale (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Mark De Montfort

Odds Last Updated: January 2, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

On the back of two placings at this track and distance in his last two runs, (4) Catapult is again well into this market and well-drawn to have an impact on this race. Two runs ago, he was too far back as he flashed home to finish less than half a length in third behind Charretera and Liberty Sun before finishing less than half a length in second behind Smart Image. He did beat Liberty Sun on this occasion who has since won in town. He gets all the same favours and a nice draw and I expect him to be in finish.

(3) Lord Zoulander is good odds to run a big race as well as (2) Partners, especially if the track is playing leaderish late in the night.

(5) Super Contender has been disappointing so far in Sydney and I expect that to continue.

Tip: (4) Catapult $3.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Catapult FIXED

 

Palmerbet

0

Race 8

Tab (Bm72) (1550m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Tab (Bm72) (1550m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

1. Invasion Day (11) J: Christian Reith (61kg) T: R & M Freedman
101111.410
2. Baanone (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (60.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
151515.216
3. Bergen (9) J: Tom Sherry (60kg) T: J A O'shea
4. Dylan's Romance (7) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: M C Conners
35414341
5. Foxborough (15) J: Chris Williams (59kg) T: J G Sargent
6. Miss Redoble (2) J: Jay Ford (58.5kg) T: T J Bartley
76.57.16.5
7. Oakfield Captain (13) J: Grant Buckley (58.5kg) T: D Lane
8. Majella (5) J: Keagan Latham (58kg) T: Matthew Smith
888.68
9. Maui Girl (8) J: Ms Jess Taylor (57.5kg) T: J C Coyle
4.64.855
10. Bob's Your Uncle (14) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57.5kg) T: Craig Carmody
6.56.56.16.5
11. Mubariz (10) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: C J Waller
12. Strange Charm (1) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: A J Cummings
555.15
13. Great Danger (16) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: K A Lees
14. Miss Jenny (4) J: Ms Winona Costin (54kg) T: Ms G Markwell
26343131
15. Sam Spade (12) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis
8.58.56.77.5
16. Yukon (3) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

Tough race to finish the night on but I think we have found some nice value with (6) Miss Redoble. She missed the kick by two lengths last start and was immediately on the back foot before finishing off the race well, finishing third by 2.7 lengths behind Dame Kiri and just 0.2 lengths behind Pitchfork. The visors have been applied to her for this start which hopefully will help her start well enough to obtain a better position from barrier two. She handles all ground and will handle the extra 150m.

(5) Foxborough will love the rain turning up and if it does, her draw will mean little as all ground will no doubt be tested.

(3) Bergen came from a fair way back last start and will be hoping the rain doesn’t come so he can give this race a fair shake-up.

Tip: (6) Miss Redoble $9.60/$3.05 Sportsbetting E/W

Betting Strategy: 0.5 unit WIN Miss Redoble FIXED, 1 unit PLACE Miss Redoble FIXED

 

Sportsbetting

Josh has been a racing fan for over 12 years and was down the local as soon as he was legal, blackbooking runners and having a punt most Saturdays. Since taking his racing more seriously, he has gone on to make his name known with goals of one day being apart of the game full-time. All of Josh’s work is proudly Powered by ratings2win.com.au

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