Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, March 17th

Hong Kong racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday evening and Tim Geers is keen to bet in three races on the card.

by
Tim Geers
16 March 2021

Hong Kong racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday evening, with a nine-race card kicking off at 6.45pm local time (9.45pm AEDT).

Racing tonight is on the C-course (rail out), with inside barriers favoured over the 1200m distance in particular.

Tim Geers is keen to bet in three races on the card, those being Race 4, Race 7 and Race 9.

Find the preview and betting tips for the selected races below!

Race 1

Wiltshire Hcp (C5) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Wiltshire Hcp (C5) (2200m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Nuremberg (4) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz	5.5	5.5	5.5	6	4.4
2. Hay Run (1) J: K C Leung (60kg) T: L Ho	16	16	16	16	14.6
3. Sky Gem (3) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: C Fownes	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.3
4. Can't Touch This (6) J: C Schofield (57.5kg) T: K H Ting	61	61	61	61	49
5. Amazing Agility (11) J: K Teetan (60kg) T: L Ho	18	18	17	17	19.8
6. Jolly Forever (10) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: W Y So	31	31	31	31	20.5
7. Socket Elite (5) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: C H Yip	6.5	6.5	7	7	5.8
8. Fortune Patrol (12) J: J Moreira (54.5kg) T: A T Millard	5	5.5	6	6	5.4
9. Enjoyable Success (8) J: Alex Lai (52kg) T: Y S Tsui	34	31	41	41	33
10. The Joy Of Giving (2) J: A Hamelin (52kg) T: C W Chang	6	5.5	5.5	5.5	8.8
11. Young Glory (7) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris	11	12	11	11	8.8
12. Joy N Fun Legend (9) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: T P Yung	21	21	21	21	22.5

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 9:46pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. A La King (10) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: K H Ting	3.4	3.6	3.8	3.8	3.5
2. Aca Power (6) J: H T Mo (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	61	51	51	51	51
3. Orion Patch (8) J: M L Yeung (59kg) T: K W Lui	151	151	151	151	141
4. Gratwick (3) J: R Maia (57kg) T: T P Yung	23	26	26	26	25
5. Melbourne Hall (5) J: A Badel (57kg) T: D J Hall	7	6.5	6	6	6.4
6. H Z Tourbillon (1) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: C S Shum	20	19	16	16	20
7. Off The Reel (4) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: P Yiu	46	61	51	51	51
8. Raging Blaze (11) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: J J Size	10	11	12	12	10
9. Red Impact (9) J: C Y Ho (56.5kg) T: D A Hayes	13	12	12	12	12.6
10. Steel Win (12) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: C W Chang	151	81	101	101	111
11. Wins All (2) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: W Y So	2.1	2.05	2	2	2
12. Good Luck Money (7) J: M F Poon (52.5kg) T: C H Yip	35	41	41	41	40

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Just Not Listening (11) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: T P Yung	19	21	19	19	20
2. Master Albert (12) J: A Hamelin (58kg) T: W Y So	26	31	31	31	30
3. Fortune Happiness (3) J: C Y Ho (57.5kg) T: K W Lui	35	34	34	34	33
4. Peak To Peak (4) J: J Moreira (57kg) T: F C Lor	2.5	2.5	2.4	2.4	2.45
5. Faribault (9) J: M L Yeung (56kg) T: P D O'sullivan	71	91	101	101	89
6. Inno Legend (7) J: N Callan (56kg) T: K L Man	12	11	10	10	11
7. Viva Chef (6) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: L Ho	8.5	7.5	6.5	6.5	7.4
8. Amazing Knight (10) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: C H Yip	91	91	101	101	87
9. Grand Power (2) J: H N Wong (55kg) T: C W Chang	151	151	151	151	141
10. Champion Pride (5) J: Z Purton (54.5kg) T: D Ferraris	5	5	5.5	5.5	5
11. Land Power (1) J: A K Chan (54.5kg) T: C Fownes	3.9	3.9	4.2	4.2	3.9
12. Ourgoldenrules (8) J: A Badel (53.5kg) T: D Whyte	41	51	61	61	47

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 10:46pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Prince Of Bon Bon (12) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: D Ferraris	126	126	101	126	111
2. Telecom Smart (2) J: R Maia (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	17	18	19	19	17.8
3. Good Shot (7) J: C Schofield (58.5kg) T: D J Hall	8.5	9	9.5	9.5	8.8
4. Spontaneous (11) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	3.5	3.6	3.5	3.5	3.55
5. Cheeky Prawn (9) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: J J Size	19	20	18	18	19.4
6. Happy Gathering (6) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: K L Man	41	41	51	51	39
7. Moonluck (1) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: K W Lui	6.5	6	6	6	5.8
8. Sunny Baby (10) J: M L Yeung (56kg) T: D A Hayes	27	26	31	31	29
9. E Honey (4) J: A K Chan (54.5kg) T: C Fownes	23	21	19	19	20.5
10. Courageous Dragon (5) J: J Moreira (54kg) T: W Y So	5.5	5.5	4.8	4.8	5.1
11. Smart Hunter (8) J: M F Poon (54kg) T: D Whyte	13	12	14	14	12.8
12. Supreme Plus (3) J: A Badel (53kg) T: F C Lor	5	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.75

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 11:16pm (AEDT)

It’s not easy to draw wide over 1200m on the C-course and win, but I’m going to back (4) Spontaneous here despite drawing barrier 11. He won first up and then ran 2nd to Ever Force, which looks a decent form reference. He sat third in the run but he was without cover chasing a decent speed, so his effort was reasonably good. Tactics from the draw tonight will be interesting but Zac Purton replaces Borges and that could prove the difference.

Tip: (4) Spontaneous $3.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Spontaneous

Race 5

Renfrew Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Renfrew Hcp (C4) (1650m) 11:45pm (AEDT)
1. Bright Kid (7) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: W Y So	6	5.5	6	6	5.7
2. Ever Laugh (10) J: A Badel (58kg) T: K L Man	15	15	14	14	14.2
3. Charizard (3) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: D Ferraris	8	7.5	7	7	7.2
4. Superbella (4) J: J Moreira (57.5kg) T: F C Lor	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.2
5. Winning Steed (1) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: K H Ting	7	7.5	7	7	7
6. California Levee (6) J: N Callan (56kg) T: A S Cruz	6	4.8	5.5	5.5	5.7
7. Winning Volatility (2) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: K W Lui	8	7.5	7	7	6.8
8. Red Brick Fighter (5) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: D J Hall	4.8	5	4.8	4.8	4.8
9. Mister Arm (12) J: R Maia (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	67	61	61	61	55
10. Happy Warrior (8) J: A K Chan (54kg) T: C Fownes	67	51	51	51	49
11. Happy Fortune (11) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: L Ho	126	126	101	126	121
12. Cigar Buddies (9) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: P Yiu	101	101	101	101	101

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 11:46pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Selkirk Hcp (C4) (1800m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6 Selkirk Hcp (C4) (1800m) 12:15am (AEDT)
1. Bundle Of Delight (2) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: D J Hall	7.5	7	6.5	6.5	6.7
2. Brave King (11) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz	6	5	6	6	5.1
3. Nunchuks (8) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: C Fownes	5	4.2	4.4	4.4	4.1
4. Divine Unicorn (6) J: M F Poon (57kg) T: W Y So	21	16	12	12	14.8
5. Red Elysees (1) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: K L Man	5	6.5	4.6	4.6	5.3
6. Bright Vision (7) J: R Maia (56.5kg) T: P Yiu	7.5	7	6	6	6.5
7. Shadow Breaker (12) J: K C Leung (55kg) T: K H Ting	11	12	10	10	10.8
8. Magnetism (3) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: D Ferraris	9.5	8	8	8	8.1
9. Perfect To Play (4) J: M L Yeung (53.5kg) T: C Fownes	51	41	41	41	41
10. Smart Cousin (10) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: C H Yip	27	21	20	20	20.5
11. Cheerful Star (5) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: F C Lor	14	12	12	12	11.6
12. Good Days (9) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C S Shum	8.5	7	8	8	7.1

Odds Last Updated: March 18, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

Race 7

Durham Hcp (C3) (1000m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7 Durham Hcp (C3) (1000m) 12:45am (AEDT)
1. Loving A Boom (12) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.4
2. Mega Heart (10) J: N Callan (60kg) T: C W Chang	21	21	20	20	21
3. Larson (6) J: M F Poon (59kg) T: F C Lor	7	7	6.5	6.5	6.8
4. Harmony And Rich (11) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: Y S Tsui	34	34	31	31	33
5. Sincere Boy (4) J: Alex Lai (54.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	126	126	151	151	121
6. Eternal Beauty (3) J: M L Yeung (54kg) T: A S Cruz	101	101	101	101	97
7. Nordic Wellstar (5) J: A Badel (54kg) T: D Whyte	2.9	2.7	2.8	2.8	2.75
8. Happy Good Guys (8) J: C Wong (53kg) T: P Yiu	19	20	19	19	19
9. Mr Lumieres (2) J: K C Leung (53kg) T: D J Hall	14	14	15	15	13.8
10. Momentum Galaxy (7) J: A Hamelin (52.5kg) T: K H Ting	23	26	21	21	23
11. Sky Show (9) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C Fownes	3.6	3.6	3.5	3.5	3.55
12. Winning Brew (1) J: C Y Ho (52.5kg) T: F C Lor	21	26	21	21	23

Odds Last Updated: March 18, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

(11) Sky Show resumes from a three-month break tonight and has won a trial up at Conghua in between runs. Joao Moreira is booked straight away for Casper Fownes which looks a good lead, and the horse is still open to improvement having had just the seven starts. He draws a touch awkwardly in barrier 9 but it’s a little bit less of a concern for me over the 1000m trip. Gets in light with 52.5kg and should go very close.

Tip: (11) Sky Show $4.20 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Sky Show

Race 8

Hereford Hcp (C3) (1650m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8 Hereford Hcp (C3) (1650m) 1:15am (AEDT)
1. Naboo Star (6) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes	6.5	6.5	7	7	6.5
2. Star Performance (12) J: N Callan (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz	19	20	17	17	19
3. Incanto Prepared (9) J: J Moreira (58.5kg) T: J J Size	4.4	4	4	4	4.05
4. Talenti (2) J: B Shinn (58kg) T: D Whyte	7	8.5	9	9	8.3
5. The Hulk (5) J: C Y Ho (56.5kg) T: C Fownes	6.5	6	7	7	6.4
6. Winston's Lad (4) J: K C Leung (56kg) T: K W Lui	67	71	71	71	69
7. Smoothies (8) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: C S Shum	7	7	6.5	6.5	7
8. Swift Spirit (1) J: M L Yeung (55kg) T: K H Ting	67	91	81	81	81
9. Telecom Fighters (7) J: H N Wong (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	15	17	16	16	16
10. Total Power (10) J: M F Poon (54.5kg) T: D J Hall	35	61	41	41	43
11. Gallant Crown (3) J: K Teetan (54kg) T: A T Millard	3.9	3.8	3.7	3.7	3.8
12. Right Honourable (11) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	35	41	34	34	35

Odds Last Updated: March 18, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

Race 9

Chester Hcp (C2) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9 Chester Hcp (C2) (1200m) 1:50am (AEDT)
1. Will Power (3) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: D Whyte	9.5	9	9	9	8.9
2. Shining Gem (4) J: K C Leung (58kg) T: P Yiu	35	31	34	34	32
3. Gold Chest (8) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: Richard Gibson	26	21	21	21	22.5
4. Racing Fighter (10) J: Z Purton (55.5kg) T: C H Yip	16	16	16	16	15.8
5. Hong Kong Bet (9) J: C Y Ho (54.5kg) T: K H Ting	23	26	31	31	25.5
6. Handsome Bo Bo (11) J: A Badel (54kg) T: C S Shum	18	21	21	21	20
7. Scores Of Fun (7) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: J J Size	20	19	19	19	18.8
8. We The South (12) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: F C Lor	21	31	26	26	26
9. Igniting (6) J: M F Poon (52kg) T: K W Lui	3.1	3.4	3.1	3.1	3.15
10. Gunnison (2) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	31	31	31	31	30
11. Kurpany (1) J: J Moreira (51.5kg) T: C Fownes	3.5	3.2	3.5	3.5	3.3
12. Winning Method (5) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: C S Shum	5	4.4	4	4	4.45

Odds Last Updated: March 18, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

I’ve been waiting for (11) Kurpany to return to the races and he pops up in the last race tonight. I write the same comment every time he goes around. He’s absolutely flying this prep and should have more than two wins from his five starts. He bolted in four starts ago by 3.5L, then was an enormous run in defeat when 4th after completely bombing the start. Two runs back he won easily again, and last start was a complete horror show. He got way too far back and Moreira ran into every dead end in the straight. He eventually got out to run 3rd, but it was a very ordinary steer and he probably should have gone close to winning. He steps up in class tonight so drops down to 51.5kg and gets the plum draw of barrier 1. With any sort of a decent ride, I think he can atone for last start. He’s likely going to be chasing down Igniting who maps to lead.

Tip: (11) Kurpany $3.10 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Kurpany

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.