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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, March 17th

Hong Kong racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday evening and Tim Geers is keen to bet in three races on the card.

Happy Valley Racing Tips

Hong Kong racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday evening, with a nine-race card kicking off at 6.45pm local time (9.45pm AEDT).

Racing tonight is on the C-course (rail out), with inside barriers favoured over the 1200m distance in particular.

Tim Geers is keen to bet in three races on the card, those being Race 4, Race 7 and Race 9.

Find the preview and betting tips for the selected races below!

 

0

Race 1

Wiltshire Hcp (C5) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Wiltshire Hcp (C5) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Nuremberg (4) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
5.55.55.564.4
2. Hay Run (1) J: K C Leung (60kg) T: L Ho
1616161614.6
3. Sky Gem (3) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: C Fownes
4.44.44.44.44.3
4. Can't Touch This (6) J: C Schofield (57.5kg) T: K H Ting
6161616149
5. Amazing Agility (11) J: K Teetan (60kg) T: L Ho
1818171719.8
6. Jolly Forever (10) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: W Y So
3131313120.5
7. Socket Elite (5) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: C H Yip
6.56.5775.8
8. Fortune Patrol (12) J: J Moreira (54.5kg) T: A T Millard
55.5665.4
9. Enjoyable Success (8) J: Alex Lai (52kg) T: Y S Tsui
3431414133
10. The Joy Of Giving (2) J: A Hamelin (52kg) T: C W Chang
65.55.55.58.8
11. Young Glory (7) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris
111211118.8
12. Joy N Fun Legend (9) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: T P Yung
2121212122.5

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 9:46pm (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. A La King (10) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: K H Ting
3.43.63.83.83.5
2. Aca Power (6) J: H T Mo (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
6151515151
3. Orion Patch (8) J: M L Yeung (59kg) T: K W Lui
151151151151141
4. Gratwick (3) J: R Maia (57kg) T: T P Yung
2326262625
5. Melbourne Hall (5) J: A Badel (57kg) T: D J Hall
76.5666.4
6. H Z Tourbillon (1) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: C S Shum
2019161620
7. Off The Reel (4) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: P Yiu
4661515151
8. Raging Blaze (11) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: J J Size
1011121210
9. Red Impact (9) J: C Y Ho (56.5kg) T: D A Hayes
1312121212.6
10. Steel Win (12) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: C W Chang
15181101101111
11. Wins All (2) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: W Y So
2.12.05222
12. Good Luck Money (7) J: M F Poon (52.5kg) T: C H Yip
3541414140

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Just Not Listening (11) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
1921191920
2. Master Albert (12) J: A Hamelin (58kg) T: W Y So
2631313130
3. Fortune Happiness (3) J: C Y Ho (57.5kg) T: K W Lui
3534343433
4. Peak To Peak (4) J: J Moreira (57kg) T: F C Lor
2.52.52.42.42.45
5. Faribault (9) J: M L Yeung (56kg) T: P D O'sullivan
719110110189
6. Inno Legend (7) J: N Callan (56kg) T: K L Man
1211101011
7. Viva Chef (6) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: L Ho
8.57.56.56.57.4
8. Amazing Knight (10) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: C H Yip
919110110187
9. Grand Power (2) J: H N Wong (55kg) T: C W Chang
151151151151141
10. Champion Pride (5) J: Z Purton (54.5kg) T: D Ferraris
555.55.55
11. Land Power (1) J: A K Chan (54.5kg) T: C Fownes
3.93.94.24.23.9
12. Ourgoldenrules (8) J: A Badel (53.5kg) T: D Whyte
4151616147

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 10:46pm (AEDT)

0

Race 4

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Lancashire Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Prince Of Bon Bon (12) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: D Ferraris
126126101126111
2. Telecom Smart (2) J: R Maia (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1718191917.8
3. Good Shot (7) J: C Schofield (58.5kg) T: D J Hall
8.599.59.58.8
4. Spontaneous (11) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
3.53.63.53.53.55
5. Cheeky Prawn (9) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: J J Size
1920181819.4
6. Happy Gathering (6) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: K L Man
4141515139
7. Moonluck (1) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: K W Lui
6.56665.8
8. Sunny Baby (10) J: M L Yeung (56kg) T: D A Hayes
2726313129
9. E Honey (4) J: A K Chan (54.5kg) T: C Fownes
2321191920.5
10. Courageous Dragon (5) J: J Moreira (54kg) T: W Y So
5.55.54.84.85.1
11. Smart Hunter (8) J: M F Poon (54kg) T: D Whyte
1312141412.8
12. Supreme Plus (3) J: A Badel (53kg) T: F C Lor
54.84.84.84.75

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 11:16pm (AEDT)

It’s not easy to draw wide over 1200m on the C-course and win, but I’m going to back (4) Spontaneous here despite drawing barrier 11. He won first up and then ran 2nd to Ever Force, which looks a decent form reference. He sat third in the run but he was without cover chasing a decent speed, so his effort was reasonably good. Tactics from the draw tonight will be interesting but Zac Purton replaces Borges and that could prove the difference.

Tip: (4) Spontaneous $3.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Spontaneous

0

Race 5

Renfrew Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Renfrew Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Bright Kid (7) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: W Y So
65.5665.7
2. Ever Laugh (10) J: A Badel (58kg) T: K L Man
1515141414.2
3. Charizard (3) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: D Ferraris
87.5777.2
4. Superbella (4) J: J Moreira (57.5kg) T: F C Lor
5.55.55.55.55.2
5. Winning Steed (1) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: K H Ting
77.5777
6. California Levee (6) J: N Callan (56kg) T: A S Cruz
64.85.55.55.7
7. Winning Volatility (2) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: K W Lui
87.5776.8
8. Red Brick Fighter (5) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: D J Hall
4.854.84.84.8
9. Mister Arm (12) J: R Maia (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
6761616155
10. Happy Warrior (8) J: A K Chan (54kg) T: C Fownes
6751515149
11. Happy Fortune (11) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: L Ho
126126101126121
12. Cigar Buddies (9) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: P Yiu
101101101101101

Odds Last Updated: March 17, 2021, 11:46pm (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Selkirk Hcp (C4) (1800m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6

Selkirk Hcp (C4) (1800m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Bundle Of Delight (2) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: D J Hall
7.576.56.56.7
2. Brave King (11) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
65665.1
3. Nunchuks (8) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: C Fownes
54.24.44.44.1
4. Divine Unicorn (6) J: M F Poon (57kg) T: W Y So
2116121214.8
5. Red Elysees (1) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: K L Man
56.54.64.65.3
6. Bright Vision (7) J: R Maia (56.5kg) T: P Yiu
7.57666.5
7. Shadow Breaker (12) J: K C Leung (55kg) T: K H Ting
1112101010.8
8. Magnetism (3) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: D Ferraris
9.58888.1
9. Perfect To Play (4) J: M L Yeung (53.5kg) T: C Fownes
5141414141
10. Smart Cousin (10) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: C H Yip
2721202020.5
11. Cheerful Star (5) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: F C Lor
1412121211.6
12. Good Days (9) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C S Shum
8.57887.1

Odds Last Updated: March 18, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Durham Hcp (C3) (1000m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7

Durham Hcp (C3) (1000m)
12:45am (AEDT)

1. Loving A Boom (12) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
5.55.55.55.55.4
2. Mega Heart (10) J: N Callan (60kg) T: C W Chang
2121202021
3. Larson (6) J: M F Poon (59kg) T: F C Lor
776.56.56.8
4. Harmony And Rich (11) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: Y S Tsui
3434313133
5. Sincere Boy (4) J: Alex Lai (54.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
126126151151121
6. Eternal Beauty (3) J: M L Yeung (54kg) T: A S Cruz
10110110110197
7. Nordic Wellstar (5) J: A Badel (54kg) T: D Whyte
2.92.72.82.82.75
8. Happy Good Guys (8) J: C Wong (53kg) T: P Yiu
1920191919
9. Mr Lumieres (2) J: K C Leung (53kg) T: D J Hall
1414151513.8
10. Momentum Galaxy (7) J: A Hamelin (52.5kg) T: K H Ting
2326212123
11. Sky Show (9) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C Fownes
3.63.63.53.53.55
12. Winning Brew (1) J: C Y Ho (52.5kg) T: F C Lor
2126212123

Odds Last Updated: March 18, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

(11) Sky Show resumes from a three-month break tonight and has won a trial up at Conghua in between runs. Joao Moreira is booked straight away for Casper Fownes which looks a good lead, and the horse is still open to improvement having had just the seven starts. He draws a touch awkwardly in barrier 9 but it’s a little bit less of a concern for me over the 1000m trip. Gets in light with 52.5kg and should go very close.

Tip: (11) Sky Show $4.20 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Sky Show

0

Race 8

Hereford Hcp (C3) (1650m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Hereford Hcp (C3) (1650m)
1:15am (AEDT)

1. Naboo Star (6) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
6.56.5776.5
2. Star Performance (12) J: N Callan (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
1920171719
3. Incanto Prepared (9) J: J Moreira (58.5kg) T: J J Size
4.44444.05
4. Talenti (2) J: B Shinn (58kg) T: D Whyte
78.5998.3
5. The Hulk (5) J: C Y Ho (56.5kg) T: C Fownes
6.56776.4
6. Winston's Lad (4) J: K C Leung (56kg) T: K W Lui
6771717169
7. Smoothies (8) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: C S Shum
776.56.57
8. Swift Spirit (1) J: M L Yeung (55kg) T: K H Ting
6791818181
9. Telecom Fighters (7) J: H N Wong (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1517161616
10. Total Power (10) J: M F Poon (54.5kg) T: D J Hall
3561414143
11. Gallant Crown (3) J: K Teetan (54kg) T: A T Millard
3.93.83.73.73.8
12. Right Honourable (11) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
3541343435

Odds Last Updated: March 18, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

0

Race 9

Chester Hcp (C2) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Chester Hcp (C2) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

1. Will Power (3) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: D Whyte
9.59998.9
2. Shining Gem (4) J: K C Leung (58kg) T: P Yiu
3531343432
3. Gold Chest (8) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: Richard Gibson
2621212122.5
4. Racing Fighter (10) J: Z Purton (55.5kg) T: C H Yip
1616161615.8
5. Hong Kong Bet (9) J: C Y Ho (54.5kg) T: K H Ting
2326313125.5
6. Handsome Bo Bo (11) J: A Badel (54kg) T: C S Shum
1821212120
7. Scores Of Fun (7) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: J J Size
2019191918.8
8. We The South (12) J: V Borges (52.5kg) T: F C Lor
2131262626
9. Igniting (6) J: M F Poon (52kg) T: K W Lui
3.13.43.13.13.15
10. Gunnison (2) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
3131313130
11. Kurpany (1) J: J Moreira (51.5kg) T: C Fownes
3.53.23.53.53.3
12. Winning Method (5) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: C S Shum
54.4444.45

Odds Last Updated: March 18, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

I’ve been waiting for (11) Kurpany to return to the races and he pops up in the last race tonight. I write the same comment every time he goes around. He’s absolutely flying this prep and should have more than two wins from his five starts. He bolted in four starts ago by 3.5L, then was an enormous run in defeat when 4th after completely bombing the start. Two runs back he won easily again, and last start was a complete horror show. He got way too far back and Moreira ran into every dead end in the straight. He eventually got out to run 3rd, but it was a very ordinary steer and he probably should have gone close to winning. He steps up in class tonight so drops down to 51.5kg and gets the plum draw of barrier 1. With any sort of a decent ride, I think he can atone for last start. He’s likely going to be chasing down Igniting who maps to lead.

Tip: (11) Kurpany $3.10 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Kurpany

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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