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Kembla Grange Racing Tips: Thursday, October 15th

The Horse has plucked bets in two races from Kembla Grange on Thursday, with previews for Race 3 and Race 5.

Kembla Grange

The Horse is back with his midweek racing tips from around the country. Today we head to Kembla Grange where The Horse has plucked out his best bets in Race 3 and Race 5 for the meeting on Thursday, October 15th.

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Race 1

Rod Hardwicke (Bm64) (2000m)
1:25pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Rod Hardwicke (Bm64) (2000m)
1:25pm (AEDT)

1. Overthink (8) J: Keagan Latham (58.5kg) T: R S Englebrecht
2.52.452.55
2. Dance Away (6) J: Ms Rachel King (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
54.84.5
3. Upscale (3) J: Koby Jennings (57.5kg) T: J G Sargent
4.23.93.65
4. Sepulchre (5) J: Brock Ryan (55.5kg) T: Joseph Ible
121210.4
5. Old Man's Angel (1) J: Ms Jess Taylor (55kg) T: Ms T Bateup
667.1
6. Doctor Manhattan (2) J: Christian Reith (55kg) T: J C Coyle
10108.7
7. Chicansalade (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: Ms G Markwell
343429
8. Eerised (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: M & D Kearney
181715

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

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Race 2

Tony Marney Mdn Plate (1300m)
2:05pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tony Marney Mdn Plate (1300m)
2:05pm (AEDT)

1. Draconis (7) J: Tyler Schiller (59kg) T: Ms G Markwell
818193
2. Fast Melody (10) J: Ms Winona Costin (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
776.6
3. High Supremacy (4) J: Christian Reith (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
3.133.25
4. Keck (2) J: Lee Magorrian (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
141311.4
5. Laphroaig (3) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
191916.2
6. Mix (8) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Brad Widdup
7. Loretta (1) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: C J Waller
77.57.1
8. Metheglin (6) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: James Cummings
109.58.4
9. Super One Susie (9) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: Clare Cunningham
554.5
10. Xylaroo (5) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: C J Waller
43.74.05

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

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Race 3

Aaron Huke Mdn Hcp (1000m)
2:40pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Aaron Huke Mdn Hcp (1000m)
2:40pm (AEDT)

1. Gave Me You (3) J: Ms Winona Costin (59kg) T: B M Lazzarini
43.84.25
2. Mission Legend (5) J: Tyler Schiller (59kg) T: Mark Newnham
1.851.81.74
3. High Supremacy (8) J: Unknown (58kg) T: R & M Freedman
4. Caesars Palace (10) J: Mitchell Bell (57kg) T: A J Cummings
5. Empowerment (2) J: Serg Lisnyy (56kg) T: T J Bartley
98.59.1
6. Kennedy Choice (7) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: David Payne
212017.8
7. Sonny (1) J: Blake Spriggs (55.5kg) T: Anthony Warren
111113.2
8. Lessing (6) J: Ms Stacey Metcalfe (55kg) T: A J Denham
121213.2
9. Linden (9) J: Keagan Latham (55kg) T: Ms G Markwell
12109.7
10. Princess Zeddy (4) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: Gary & John Moore
131512.2

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

It is looking like a Good track to Kembla Grange and we kick things off in the third race.

A short priced favourite goes around here (2) Mission Legend which looks like one of the surest bets of the day. The Mark Newnham trained gelding ran second to Either Oar at Newcastle over 900 metres and was closing in on the winner. Gets some extra galloping room today and should benefit. I feel he would have won that race if it was over 1000 metres. His trials prior to that race were tidy also—so there is some consistency in his performances if you take the trials into account. Tyler Schiller claims three kegs which will slightly help considering the main danger (1) Gave Me You will be lugging the full 59kg. It’s not an overly generous start but one that can hopefully build the bank.

TIP: (2) Mission Legend – $1.80 at Sportsbet

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Race 4

Mark Newnham Hcp (C1) (1000m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Mark Newnham Hcp (C1) (1000m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

1. Battleground (6) J: Jason Collett (60kg) T: Matthew Dale
2. King's Trust (3) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: T J Robinson
3. Art Cadeau (2) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: T J Robinson
2.92.82.75
4. No Impediment (5) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Ms A Turner
5. Long Weekend (4) J: Unknown (56kg) T: G Portelli
6. Either Oar (7) J: Lee Magorrian (55kg) T: Ms G Markwell
3.33.33.25
7. Zanzidance (1) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Mark Newnham
21.952.05
8. Moinda (8) J: Keagan Latham (55kg) T: Jason & Lucy Attard
212119.2

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

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Race 5

Bill Sorensen Hcp (C1) (1600m)
3:50pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Bill Sorensen Hcp (C1) (1600m)
3:50pm (AEDT)

1. Deadly Impact (9) J: Keagan Latham (61kg) T: Stephen O'halloran
4.23.93.6
2. Nyami (3) J: Tommy Berry (60kg) T: C J Waller
2.32.32.2
3. Tongariro (1) J: Lee Magorrian (58kg) T: Ms G Markwell
887.2
4. Zarzou (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
767.1
5. Clever Man (5) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57.5kg) T: A J Cummings
262122.5
6. Majestic Wings (6) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
786.7
7. Auburn Boy (4) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: R & L Price
141413
8. Just A Hustler (8) J: Yusuke Ichikawa (55kg) T: R & L Price
161920.5
9. Happy Hustler (7) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: Ms E Potowski
465143

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

The Chris Waller trained (2) Nyami goes on top, despite my normal reservations in backing Waller runners for back-to-back wins. Nyami is the only Waller runner in the race so there will be a clear intention to win. We took him at short odds last time he raced (when he won his maiden) over 1350 metres. He won by 1.5 lengths and was pulling away towards the last 200 metres when asked to kick. He was building momentum and was going so well he was essentially slowed down over the line – for me, that’s a sure sign the jump to 1600 metres will be ideal. He will get a good spot from the gate and will show that same turn-of-foot and hopefully surge away. Given he meets a better bunch this time around, but at the current price Nyami is well worth a bet.

The other runners are hard to split with (4) Zarzou every chance after getting the maiden ticked in Canberra at start number nine. (1) Deadly Impact may have a touch more improvement than (3) Tongariro which would explain their price difference.

TIP: (2) Nyami at $2.40 at Sportsbet

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Race 6

Harold Light (Bm64) (1200m)
4:25pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Harold Light (Bm64) (1200m)
4:25pm (AEDT)

1. Worldly Pleasure (11) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (62.5kg) T: D R Mirfin
88.59.1
2. Speed And Style (9) J: Billy Owen (62kg) T: Ms G Markwell
7.566.2
3. Turnstyle (7) J: Tom Sherry (62kg) T: Bjorn Baker
4.644
4. Miss Twilight (8) J: Tyler Schiller (61kg) T: Peter Robl
3.53.63.2
5. The Crimson Idol (5) J: Qin Yong (60kg) T: J N Englebrecht
232121.5
6. Genoveffa (1) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: K J Parker
414136
7. Rocquette (6) J: Jason Collett (58.5kg) T: Clare Cunningham
9.58.59.6
8. Gimme Shelter (4) J: Robbie Brewer (58kg) T: M & D Kearney
10129.7
9. Denmiss (10) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: W A Hudd
171915.6
10. Mookareena (3) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: B Joseph & P & M Jones
6.576.2
11. Designer Dance (2) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: E & L Longmire
232126.5

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

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Race 7

Tracey Bartley (Bm64) (1200m)
5:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Tracey Bartley (Bm64) (1200m)
5:05pm (AEDT)

1. Greenspan (2) J: Tyler Schiller (62kg) T: John Bateman
414143
2. Virgilio (11) J: Brandon Griffiths (61.5kg) T: K J Parker
11108.9
3. El Magnificence (7) J: Tommy Berry (59.5kg) T: R & L Price
876.7
4. Power Of Attorney (8) J: Lee Magorrian (58.5kg) T: Peter Robl
273126.5
5. Dinner Lake (9) J: Koby Jennings (58kg) T: E & L Longmire
617183
6. Thor's Thunder (14) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell
313426.5
7. Verbal Assault (5) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: M J Dunn
4.244.45
8. Ever So Natural (13) J: Serg Lisnyy (57kg) T: T J Bartley
354130
9. Conscript (3) J: Jay Ford (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
3.83.83.95
10. Heza Gentleman (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56.5kg) T: M & D Kearney
353443
11. Long Weekend (4) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: G Portelli
43.83.55
12. Skyray (1) J: Tom Sherry (56.5kg) T: C E Conners
887.2
13. Say Goodbye (12) J: Aaron Sweeney (56kg) T: Anthony Warren
101101151
14. Against The Tide (10) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: R & L Price
515143

Odds Last Updated: October 16, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

The Horse found the thought of placing bets and drinking beers much more appealing once he was married, and that led to an interest in the many intricacies of The Great Game. He enjoys the challenge of predicting what will happen in any given race, but also loves horses themselves, none more so than the mighty mudlark Jungle Edge. His focus lies on metropolitan racing in Victoria and NSW, however isn’t afraid to find one out wide. Away from racing, The Horse is an avid drummer – quite a difficult task with a set of hooves.

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