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Muswellbrook Racing Tips: Monday, October 19th

Joshua Reed is heading to Muswellbrook on Monday afternoon where he’s covered five races on the card, with his best bet coming in Race 8.

Muswellbrook

Joshua Reed heads to Muswellbrook on Monday afternoon where he brings us his preview and betting tips for five races on the card. He takes a closer look at Race 2, Race 3, Race 4 and Race 7, before saving his best for last with his best bet coming up in Race 8.

 

Sportsbet Sky Racing  TAB Sky Racing

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Race 1

M.M. 2Yos In Training Sale Mdn (900m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

M.M. 2Yos In Training Sale Mdn (900m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

1. Triple Ace (9) J: Unknown (59kg) T: K A Lees
2. Upside (12) J: Greg Ryan (59kg) T: Justin Bowen
6.56.55.96.5
3. Rar Rar (6) J: Aaron Bullock (58.5kg) T: T S Howlett
3.43.73.353.5
4. Mandalong Roman (14) J: Bobby El-Issa (58kg) T: G R Nickson
5. Jekyll (3) J: Jeff Penza (57.5kg) T: Ms J Bowen
141412.815
6. Alexeyeva (7) J: Andrew Gibbons (57kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
273127.531
7. Free Dawn (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: K A Lees
8. Martian Queen (10) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57kg) T: S C Jones
51516751
9. Old Town Road (5) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (57kg) T: P M Perry
61678361
10. Our Award (8) J: Dylan Gibbons (57kg) T: B F Cavanough
555.15
11. Our Vera (13) J: Daniel Northey (57kg) T: D Wagstaff
71101111101
12. Silver Lass (2) J: Darryl Mclellan (57kg) T: Luke A Thomas
131211.610
13. Sparky Girl (4) J: Serg Lisnyy (57kg) T: P M Farrell
141215.214
14. Winside (1) J: Koby Jennings (57kg) T: Mark Schmetzer
4.443.94

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Saxon Warrior @ Coolmore-Bm58 (1000m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Saxon Warrior @ Coolmore-Bm58 (1000m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

1. Aytobe (8) J: Dylan Gibbons (63.5kg) T: B A Partelle
443.94
2. Step On Fire (10) J: Reece Jones (61kg) T: Cameron Crockett
1.9521.922
3. Never Talk (9) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: K A Lees
4. Eleazar (3) J: Adrian Layt (58.5kg) T: J R Gask
7.576.96.5
5. Gold Codes (6) J: Aaron Bullock (58.5kg) T: S C Jones
7.58.56.47.5
6. Mac's Reward (1) J: Daniel Northey (57kg) T: Andrew Robinson
151714.615
7. Pip's Pick (5) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57kg) T: Connie Greig
101151141101
8. Call Me Trinity (7) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Connie Greig
9. Alchera (4) J: Greg Ryan (55kg) T: Justin Bowen
191615.615
10. Billy Bent Ear (2) J: Ms Rachael Murray (55kg) T: Connie Greig
41675741

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

This race doesn’t have a lot of depth and I think (2) Steps On Fire can start this preparation off with a win. Coming back after a five-month break, the Sidestep gelding showed he is a nice free-running horse with solid runs in all bar one of his races. He ended last preparation with a solid run at Tamworth where he was beaten 0.2 lengths behind Bit Of A Beauty, though our bloke had to carry 59kg, it was very credible. The form from that race stood up well over the coming weeks and months after with Ronan’s Rock, More Than A Samba and Policy all winning. From the wide draw, apprentice Reece Jones will push forward with his 1.5kg claim and ensure he is the one to catch in the concluding stages.

Tip: (2) Steps On Fire – $2.60 at Sportsbetting

Sportsbetting

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Race 3

Bengalla Mining Company Mdn (1500m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Bengalla Mining Company Mdn (1500m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

1. Prodigal Prince (13) J: Anthony Cavallo (59kg) T: Kody Nestor
4.855.15
2. Al Sahara (4) J: Lee Magorrian (58.5kg) T: J G Sargent
2.52.52.42.5
3. Media Man (15) J: Dylan Gibbons (58.5kg) T: M S Minervini
4. Nu Jiang (10) J: Unknown (58kg) T: P & P Snowden
5. Intercept (16) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: B F Cavanough
6. Surf (11) J: Aaron Bullock (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
139.510.210
7. Discreet Star (6) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
31342831
8. Forever Spotted (14) J: Adrian Layt (56.5kg) T: J R Gask
9. Galligants (2) J: Jeff Penza (56.5kg) T: N F Boland
201201241151
10. Grey Mantra (12) J: Ashley Morgan (56.5kg) T: Richard Litt
14151515
11. Morwella (5) J: Daniel Northey (56.5kg) T: R P Northam
41515351
12. Superb Time (7) J: Ms Louise Day (56.5kg) T: Grant Allard
35413134
13. The Irish Rover (17) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: P M Perry
14. Visenya (8) J: Christian Reith (56.5kg) T: Paul Messara
109.510.29
15. Spring Secret (1) J: Blake Spriggs (56.5kg) T: P Niceforo
6.56.56.17
16. Clogs (9) J: Greg Ryan (56.5kg) T: Justin Bowen
12131112
17. Ellas Joy (18) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Ms J Bowen
126201191151
18. Master Marley (3) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Ms R Dunn
101151131126

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

I will put my hand up and say, I backed this bloke last start and I thought we were going to knock off the short-priced favourite at Orange, but alas we just missed. (1) Prodigal Prince stepped up to the mile for the first time which I did believe he would handle, and I think he is going to handle the 1500m here at Muswellbrook. Although he doesn’t have a kind draw, there doesn’t look like there is a lot of pace in this race, so if he can begin well enough, he should be able to get across from the wide barrier before they hit the back straight. He is going to be third-up fit and hopefully be in a nice position to utilize the turn of foot he showed last start. I think he is currently over the odds.

Tip: (1) Prodigal Prince – $4.50 at Sportsbetting

0

Race 4

Gold Sponsors Club On Sale Mdn (1280m)
3:05pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Gold Sponsors Club On Sale Mdn (1280m)
3:05pm (AEDT)

1. Faethm (14) J: Darryl Mclellan (59kg) T: P & P Snowden
2. Forbidden Palace (17) J: Robert Thompson (59kg) T: S J Gleeson
171814.817
3. Ghilemear (10) J: Aaron Bullock (59kg) T: K A Lees
129.510.210
4. Oakfield Cherokee (16) J: Lee Magorrian (59kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
81201101101
5. Revojet (2) J: Ms Julia Presits (59kg) T: B A Perrett
9110111181
6. Candy Pants (11) J: Ms Rachael Murray (57kg) T: D Lane
19211923
7. Inducement (12) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (57kg) T: S C Jones
6.566.16.5
8. Pirrama (5) J: Chad Lever (57kg) T: Adam Duggan
101010.210
9. Bullet Hero (15) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
10. Earl Of Sandwich (1) J: Koby Jennings (56.5kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
3.53.53.43.6
11. Mindreader (4) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56.5kg) T: P M Perry
151714.617
12. Pianosa (6) J: Adrian Layt (56.5kg) T: P M Farrell
35413741
13. Lionsteps (7) J: Greg Ryan (55kg) T: Ms J Bowen
3.53.63.43.4
14. Treaties (8) J: Christian Reith (55kg) T: Paul Messara
15. Crackalacka (13) J: Andrew Gibbons (55kg) T: K A Lees
41515351
16. Hillbilly (3) J: Reece Jones (59kg) T: P N Mills
41414341
17. Flying Cosmos (18) J: Unknown (57kg) T: L K Roberts
18. Toni Theyugoslav (9) J: Unknown (59kg) T: N F Boland
251201481151

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

This is a pretty weak maiden with very little depth, so I think (13) Lionsteps is up to her ears here and can finally break the maiden status. Greg Ryan has ridden her in the past two outings and has gone down by less than two lengths both times. Last start here at Muswellbrook, she had to go back from the poor barrier but flew home into third by less than 1.5 lengths. They have drawn much better here to be able to sit much closer in the run and with two rides on the filly, Greg Ryan will know when to get her going in the straight. I think she is the better bet of the two favourites.

Tip: (13) Lionsteps – $3.30 at PlayUp

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Race 5

Godolphin (Bm58) (1280m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Godolphin (Bm58) (1280m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

1. Pluck And Lucky (13) J: Greg Ryan (61.5kg) T: A J Denham
54.84.54.8
2. Pink Beau (6) J: Dylan Gibbons (61kg) T: Ms K Waugh
2.82.82.652.9
3. Pizzly (9) J: Ms Louise Day (61kg) T: K A Lees
55.54.64.8
4. Encostar Glory (5) J: Ms Alysha Collett (60kg) T: P M Perry
212121.521
5. Fox Spirit (12) J: Reece Jones (60kg) T: Cameron Crockett
777.67
6. Taldora Miss (7) J: Unknown (59kg) T: J A Berry
7. Yulong Monoceros (8) J: Andrew Gibbons (59kg) T: Jay Hopkins
8. Mahervellous (10) J: Qin Yong (58.5kg) T: Ben Hill
41615341
9. She's Independent (3) J: Aaron Bullock (57.5kg) T: P M Perry
11119.410
10. Luvdisc (11) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: D Wagstaff
23342517
11. Rebel Lilly (4) J: Ashley Morgan (55kg) T: Mark Cross
35514334
12. Peggy's Time (2) J: Darryl Mclellan (55kg) T: Ms J Bowen
232622.526
13. Laranta (1) J: Anthony Cavallo (55kg) T: M Boland
151201241151

Odds Last Updated: February 16, 2021, 6:17pm (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Mt Arthur Coal (Bm58) (1280m)
4:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Mt Arthur Coal (Bm58) (1280m)
4:15pm (AEDT)

1. Brother Bassy (6) J: Unknown (62.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett
2. Berruti (12) J: Aaron Bullock (60kg) T: K A Lees
3. Kotinos (4) J: Ms Stacey Metcalfe (60kg) T: Nick Mitchell
4. Wicked Willy (7) J: Ashley Morgan (60kg) T: Richard Litt
9.59.58.38
5. Roy's Command (2) J: Dylan Gibbons (59kg) T: T S Howlett
3.73.63.453.8
6. Call Me Brad (10) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (58kg) T: L J Jeffriess
7. Aerobatic Warrior (11) J: Jeff Penza (57.5kg) T: J G Sargent
2.92.72.72.6
8. Poet Lad (1) J: Andrew Gibbons (57.5kg) T: C K Martin
141417.213
9. Sundayinmanhattan (8) J: Qin Yong (57kg) T: D Lane
61818371
10. The Grandson (13) J: Darryl Mclellan (55.5kg) T: Darryl Roberts
91151131101
11. Euroaire (9) J: Greg Ryan (55kg) T: P M Farrell
11109.311
12. Apache Dude (5) J: Reece Jones (55kg) T: Wayne Seelin
3.73.93.653.7
13. King Kestrel (3) J: Ms Kath Bell-Pitomac (55kg) T: L K Roberts
101151161126

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Tab.Com.Au (Bm66) (1500m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Tab.Com.Au (Bm66) (1500m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

1. Time Of Glory (1) J: Ashley Morgan (60.5kg) T: Adam Duggan
121313.211
2. Sensacova (3) J: Shaun Guymer (60kg) T: M C Conners
4.64.65.15
3. Belle De Vega (8) J: Serg Lisnyy (59.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
3.23.32.953.2
4. Amanito (11) J: Chad Lever (58.5kg) T: Ms K Gavenlock
161815.418
5. Brother Bassy (6) J: Reece Jones (58.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett
6. Opinions (9) J: Aaron Bullock (58.5kg) T: P M Perry
129.510.212
7. Stampede Warrior (14) J: Dylan Gibbons (58kg) T: L C Morgan
101010.210
8. Kowloon Treasure (4) J: Koby Jennings (56kg) T: J G Sargent
9. Spirit Of Elijah (7) J: Adrian Layt (56kg) T: J R Gask
10. Manhattan Whirl (10) J: Unknown (55kg) T: D I Atkins
11. Predictable Miss (2) J: Andrew Gibbons (55kg) T: K A Lees
9108.17.5
12. My Desire (5) J: Christian Reith (55kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
5.565.15.5
13. Bills A Goodie (12) J: Darryl Mclellan (55kg) T: Darryl Roberts
126201161126
14. St Luke (13) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: Michelle Fleming
41514341

Odds Last Updated: February 22, 2021, 2:23am (AEDT)

I think I have found one at bigger odds that may improve off their last start performance. (3) Belle De Vega was very poor last start and they initially couldn’t figure out why. The rider claimed he heard a respiratory noise and pulled her up prior to the 600m mark, though they didn’t find anything in the post-race examination. Kim Waugh advised that she may have displaced it’s soft palate and that it could explain the poor performance. She has since trialled to the stewards satisfaction and I think will be ready to go here. She will technically be fourth-up over 1500m which is ideal and Serg Lisnyy jumps back aboard, and he knows her well. I expect her to sit midfield and be really letting down late in the piece. This is a flip of the coin job based on her last performance.

Tip: (3) Belle De Vega – $8.50 at Sportsbet

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Race 8

Horsepower Hcp (C1) (1000m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Horsepower Hcp (C1) (1000m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

1. Dreaming For More (7) J: Reece Jones (60kg) T: P N Mills
3.73.83.653.9
2. Step On Fire (5) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett
3. Lady Patricia (1) J: Christian Reith (58kg) T: Paul Messara
32.92.853
4. Married (3) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (58kg) T: Ben Blay
10118.810
5. Go Gadget (8) J: Robert Thompson (57.5kg) T: A J Denham
5.55.55.15.5
6. Cozhecancan (6) J: Dylan Gibbons (57kg) T: M K Mason
11109.210
7. Skye Banner (10) J: Bobby El-Issa (55.5kg) T: B A Partelle
8. Taldora Miss (9) J: Ms Stacey Metcalfe (55.5kg) T: J A Berry
27313531
9. Trelise (14) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: C K Martin
10. Very Sharp (2) J: Greg Ryan (55kg) T: R P Northam
8.57.58.67
11. Josie's Jet (4) J: Ashley Morgan (55kg) T: T J Wicks
23343231
12. Dawnstar (12) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: P M Farrell
126151141101
13. Peggy's Time (11) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Ms J Bowen
14. Fonda (13) J: Ms Kath Bell-Pitomac (55kg) T: L K Roberts
126151191151

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

I think this is the best bet of the day and I expect his mare to go through this grade with relative ease. (3) Lady Patricia showed how good she was last start at this track and trip, and I expect something similar today. She is ideally drawn in barrier one and regular jockey Christian Reith stays aboard. She only goes up 1kg of her 3.3L maiden win and she will sit nice and handy throughout the entire run. It will not matter if she is stuck on the fence behind the leaders or not as the cutaway will come into effect at the 300m mark. She will be much to good for these and you are getting a nice price also.

Tip: (3) Lady Patricia – $3.90 at PlayUp (BEST BET)

PlayUp

Josh has been a racing fan for over 12 years and was down the local as soon as he was legal, blackbooking runners and having a punt most Saturdays. Since taking his racing more seriously, he has gone on to make his name known with goals of one day being apart of the game full-time. All of Josh’s work is proudly Powered by ratings2win.com.au

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