Racing Tips

Muswellbrook Racing Tips: Tuesday, January 5th

Muswellbrook hosts a solid nine race card this Tuesday and Joshua Reed has analysed the card, finding four races for the punters to dive in.

by
Joshua Reed
4 January 2021

There is a big nine race card at Muswellbrook this Tuesday as they have their first meeting of the new year.

Joshua Reed has assessed the form and found four races with solid betting opportunities – Race 4, Race 5, Race 6 and Race 7.

Race 1

Horsepower Mdn Hcp (900m)
12:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Horsepower Mdn Hcp (900m) 12:45pm (AEDT)
1. Greenheart (3) J: Andrew Gibbons (58kg) T: D I Atkins	2.5	2.5	2.65	2.6
2. Vista Oriental (8) J: Darryl Mclellan (58kg) T: S J Gleeson	61	61	65	61
3. Our Boy Malcolm (5) J: Mitchell Bell (57.5kg) T: M & D Kearney	81	71	95	81
4. The Night Train (11) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (57.5kg) T: P M Perry	13	12	13	12
5. War Heart (13) J: Chad Lever (57.5kg) T: P H Bloomfield	31	31	33	31
6. Foxstorm (14) J: Adrian Layt (57kg) T: Cameron Crockett
7. The Gossiper (7) J: Dylan Gibbons (57kg) T: N Stagg	7	6.5	7.1	7
8. Enamour (10) J: Serg Lisnyy (56.5kg) T: T J Bartley	5	5	5.1	5
9. Lady In May (2) J: Reece Jones (56kg) T: T E Ollerton	16	16	16.2	16
10. Fox On The Rocks (18) J: Christian Reith (55.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett
11. Horse Dreamer (16) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: N F Boland	126	151	141	151
12. Look Out Lee (1) J: Qin Yong (55.5kg) T: Ms T Williams	20	19	21	19
13. Asherla (9) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: K A Lees	3.5	3.5	3.6	3.5
14. Superior One (4) J: Unknown (55kg) T: D Lane	51	41	59	61
15. Magic On Ice (17) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Grant Allard
16. Magic Sally (6) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Ms J Shapter
17. Pep (12) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: Ms J Bowen
18. More Joie (15) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Jason & Lucy Attard

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Race 2

Gt Nrthn Super Crisp Lager Mdn (1280m)
1:20pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Gt Nrthn Super Crisp Lager Mdn (1280m) 1:20pm (AEDT)
1. Mother's Day (17) J: Reece Jones (59kg) T: R P Northam	2.45	2	2.55	2.4
2. The Fossil (9) J: Simon Price (59kg) T: Sam Kavanagh
3. Oakfield Prince (1) J: Darryl Mclellan (57.5kg) T: D Lane	10	9.5	10.8	10
4. Too Good To Be Tru (16) J: Grant Buckley (57.5kg) T: D Lane
5. Wiki (5) J: Chad Lever (57.5kg) T: D I Atkins	8	10	8.5	7.5
6. Super Solar (2) J: James Innes Jnr (57kg) T: J G Sargent
7. Loniesha (18) J: Christian Reith (56.5kg) T: J C Deamer	3.5	2.8	3.65	3.4
8. Bondi Bikini (12) J: Brenton Avdulla (55.5kg) T: K A Lees
9. Buckin' Lucky (19) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: D Lane	13	13	14.6	14
10. Ciccina (6) J: Andrew Gibbons (55.5kg) T: K A Lees	11	11	12	12
11. Deep Thrillz (20) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: A Newing
12. L'esperance Rock (7) J: Qin Yong (55.5kg) T: A J Denham	9.5	8.5	9.9	10
13. Sasogenes (3) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55kg) T: Leigh Desreaux	21	18	21	21
14. Wicked (8) J: Ashley Morgan (55kg) T: Sam Kavanagh	19	16	20.5	19
15. Allblack Roman (11) J: Robert Wilcox (56.5kg) T: S Sampson
16. Mondaze (14) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: P H Bloomfield
17. Wanmei (15) J: Unknown (56kg) T: D Lane
18. Endorphins (4) J: Unknown (55kg) T: K A Lees
19. Temptations (10) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: M C Dobie
20. Nana Neddy (13) J: Serg Lisnyy (55kg) T: S C Jones

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Race 3

Tab Rewards Mdn Plate (1500m)
1:55pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Tab Rewards Mdn Plate (1500m) 1:55pm (AEDT)
1. Clogs (14) J: Daniel Northey (59kg) T: Justin Bowen	10	9	12	12
2. Laino (2) J: Unknown (59kg) T: Lyle Chandler
3. Zouspectre (16) J: Christian Reith (59kg) T: David Pfieffer
4. Horshack (3) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (57.5kg) T: P M Perry	14	14	17.6	18
5. Mandalorian (17) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: J C Coyle
6. Winter Moon (18) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Brett Thompson
7. Charlie Flyer (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: David J Smith
8. Currency Queen (5) J: Darryl Mclellan (57kg) T: R E Ollerton	19	26	25.5	26
9. Fu Ni (8) J: Andrew Gibbons (57kg) T: K A Lees	5.5	5	6	6.5
10. Lasting Grace (12) J: Grant Buckley (57kg) T: Ms K Buchanan	4.5	4.8	5	5
11. Miss Twenty Twenty (6) J: Ashley Morgan (57kg) T: Grant Allard	6	6.5	6.5	6.5
12. Danzette (15) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
13. Ita (1) J: Chad Lever (55.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	2	2.05	2.05	2
14. Maternal Gift (9) J: Mitchell Bell (55.5kg) T: Matthew Vella
15. Galligants (4) J: Unknown (59kg) T: N F Boland
16. Aurelian (7) J: Luke Rolls (57.5kg) T: P M Perry
17. It's A Possibility (10) J: Unknown (57kg) T: A J Denham
18. Strelsa One (13) J: Reece Jones (55.5kg) T: A M Boyle

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Race 4

Tab.Com.Au Mdn Plate (1500m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Tab.Com.Au Mdn Plate (1500m) 2:35pm (AEDT)
1. Capital Venture (7) J: Adrian Layt (59kg) T: Cameron Crockett	18	20	18.2	19
2. Don Salvatore (6) J: Robert Wilcox (59kg) T: Ms J Shapter	101	151	111	101
3. Right Bower (11) J: Serg Lisnyy (59kg) T: Ms K Waugh	8.5	8.5	8.1	8
4. Baxter (9) J: Andrew Gibbons (57.5kg) T: R & M Freedman	14	15	14	14
5. Jingxi (18) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: D Lane	51	51	59	61
6. Still In Fashion (4) J: Mitchell Bell (57.5kg) T: Paul Messara	2	2.1	2.1	2
7. Chilli Chilli (16) J: Vad Bolozhinskyi (57kg) T: R E Ollerton	23	26	21.5	23
8. Confined Thoughts (13) J: Unknown (57kg) T: J C Coyle
9. Elphame (3) J: Daniel Northey (57kg) T: Simon Casey	35	34	40	41
10. Jazirat (12) J: Christian Reith (57kg) T: J C Deamer	4.4	3.7	4.4	4.2
11. Lime And Sugar (8) J: Ashley Morgan (57kg) T: Jay Hopkins	15	17	14.2	14
12. Kansai Blossom (2) J: Blake Spriggs (55.5kg) T: M C Conners	51	67	61	61
13. Medician Miss (10) J: Dylan Gibbons (55.5kg) T: Cody Morgan	7.5	7.5	8	8
14. Nouvelle (17) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: K A Lees
15. Tiger On Fire (14) J: Unknown (59kg) T: Ms D Lumsden
16. Romper Stomper (15) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Wayne Seelin
17. Old Town Road (1) J: Reece Jones (55.5kg) T: P M Perry
18. Ayliffe (5) J: Unknown (59kg) T: A J Denham

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

This is his race to lose in my opinion and hopefully they can come away with the win and break that maiden status. (6) Still In Fashion solid in both career runs with the latest being a 1.5 length second to a talented one. He beat the rest of the field well, so I am willing to stay with him, especially stepping up to the 1500m. He will be fighting fit for this assignment and hopefully Mitchell Bell can get him into a nice position from barrier four and really give these a lesson late in the race.

Tip: (6) Still In Fashion $2.25 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Still In Fashion B3TSP

Race 5

Bengalla Mining Hcp (C2) (1750m)
3:10pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Bengalla Mining Hcp (C2) (1750m) 3:10pm (AEDT)
1. Sonic Tycoon (13) J: James Innes Jnr (59.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	2.25	2.3	2.3	2.3
2. Will To Excel (7) J: Mitchell Bell (59kg) T: M D Griffith	7.5	6	7.9	8.5
3. Ivira (4) J: Andrew Gibbons (55.5kg) T: C E Conners	12	14	12.2	12
4. Noble Cause (6) J: Grant Buckley (55.5kg) T: T S Howlett
5. Birdonawinningpost (5) J: Christian Reith (55kg) T: William Freedman	5.5	6.5	5.6	5.5
6. Ludivine (14) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55kg) T: T S Howlett	13	14	13.2	13
7. Intercept (8) J: Blake Spriggs (55kg) T: Justin Bowen	16	16	17	17
8. Ellia (11) J: Daniel Northey (55kg) T: Simon Casey	7.5	8	7.1	6.5
9. Southern Cloud (12) J: Reece Jones (55kg) T: Lou Mary	21	20	21	21
10. Zakalicious (9) J: Chad Lever (55kg) T: Richard Litt
11. Barellan Bandit (10) J: Darryl Mclellan (55kg) T: John W Ramsey	26	31	26	26
12. Ego Dancer (1) J: Dylan Gibbons (55kg) T: K A Lees	21	21	21	21
13. Kings Row (2) J: Serg Lisnyy (55kg) T: P M Perry	51	61	51	51
14. Zizania (3) J: Luke Rolls (55kg) T: P M Perry	31	31	34	34

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Coming back to her home track, (6) Ludivine should get a much kinder run then the one that was dished up to her last start. At Tuncurry, she was blocked all the way up the straight and when she looked to get clear and start to accelerate, she was again blocked. She comes back in distance which is okay, and she gives me the indication that the soft/heavy going won’t worry her. Mikayla Weir will have to go back from that wide barrier, and she will need luck, so hopefully with a fair track and Mikayla on her bike early, she can run a slashing race.

Tip: (6) Ludivine $15.00 TAB E/W

Betting Strategy: 0.5 unit WIN Ludivine B3TSP, 1 unit PLACE Ludivine B3TSP

Race 6

Happy N.Year Pammy & Gaz-Bm66 (1500m)
3:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Happy N.Year Pammy & Gaz-Bm66 (1500m) 3:45pm (AEDT)
1. Disgraceful (5) J: Reece Jones (61kg) T: D Riley	51	51	49	51
2. Mother's Mercy (12) J: Unknown (60kg) T: Paul Messara
3. Shamamour (7) J: Ashley Morgan (60kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
4. Dashing 'N' Daring (6) J: Grant Buckley (59.5kg) T: Ms K Gavenlock	4.4	3.9	4.45	4.4
5. Ready By Design (1) J: Dylan Gibbons (59.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle	7.5	7.5	7.4	8.5
6. Velaro (14) J: Adrian Layt (58.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett	9	9.5	9.6	9
7. Go Gadget (3) J: Robert Thompson (58kg) T: A J Denham	6	6.5	5.3	5.5
8. Thiswilldous (2) J: Unknown (58kg) T: D Lane	10	11	10	10
9. Whitchety Grub (10) J: Mitchell Bell (58kg) T: Matthew Vella
10. Brother Bassy (8) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett	12	13	13	14
11. Larynx (9) J: Andrew Gibbons (57.5kg) T: Brett Thompson	10	11	9.4	9.5
12. Lochita (4) J: Christian Reith (57.5kg) T: J C Deamer	3.2	3	3.25	3.2
13. Time To Dazzle (13) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55.5kg) T: William Freedman	23	26	26.5	23
14. Lucky Siren (11) J: Daniel Northey (55kg) T: Ms J Shapter

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Betting around two in this race and the prices will change with a couple to come out, but I am confident we have a winner between the two. (4) Dashing ‘N’ Daring ran good first-up, which is out of his ordinary as that was the first time he has won first-up in six attempts. His record second-up is immaculate and the conditions will suit him down to the ground. He runs well at this track in which both runs were over this distance. He will go close from the barrier. (7) Go Gadget is up to the 1500m for the first time, but he gives me the indication that it won’t be an issue. The last two runs he had drawn poorly and went back which is against his usual pattern. The draw is much kinder to him here and he relishes the conditions, so with the legend Robert Thompson aboard, I expect a much better run that what he produced in his last two.

Tip: (4) Dashing ‘N’ Daring $4.50 Bet365

Also Tipping: (7) Go Gadget $5.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Dashing ‘N’ Daring B3TSP, 1 unit WIN Go Gadget B3TSP

Race 7

Two Rivers Wines Hcp (C1) (1280m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Two Rivers Wines Hcp (C1) (1280m) 4:20pm (AEDT)
1. Duclair (3) J: Dylan Gibbons (59.5kg) T: Cody Morgan	20	21	21.5	21
2. Crazy Train (6) J: Ms Alysha Collett (58kg) T: David Pfieffer	8.5	7.5	8.7	9
3. Frontline (7) J: Daniel Northey (58kg) T: R P Northam	4.2	4.4	4.35	3.9
4. Harley Fat Boy (5) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes (57.5kg) T: M A Milton	14	12	14.2	14
5. Commando Hunt (1) J: Christian Reith (56.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett	4	4.2	4.2	3.9
6. Solva (4) J: Mitchell Bell (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	4.6	4.4	5.1	5
7. Royal Charge (15) J: Andrew Gibbons (56kg) T: A J Denham	23	31	16.8	23
8. Sparky Girl (8) J: Reece Jones (56kg) T: P M Farrell	12	15	13	13
9. Reuben James (11) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55.5kg) T: P M Perry	19	17	15.4	19
10. Chuisle (14) J: Darryl Mclellan (55kg) T: Luke A Thomas
11. Fearless Mila (12) J: Unknown (55kg) T: D Lane	34	34	29	34
12. Magic Palace (2) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: K A Lees	17	20	14	18
13. Moinda (9) J: Ashley Morgan (55kg) T: Jason & Lucy Attard	51	61	35	51
14. Stellar Blaze (13) J: Billy Cray (55kg) T: S I Singleton	16	16	13.8	16
15. Ready's Queen (10) J: Unknown (55kg) T: A C Palmer

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Another race where I want to bet around two. (3) Frontline was impressive in terrible conditions at Scone last start, saluting by just under a length. I feel he could have won by more had it been longer, but he does get that extra 180m today and a decent draw to boot. He beat home Foxstorm that day by almost two lengths and he come out and won nicely at Gilgandra on Sunday. Providing he gets a luckless run, he should be right in the finish. (5) Commando Hunt also ran in those conditions at Scone on the same day, putting it all together to win impressively over this distance by 1.5 lengths. Still In Fashion ran second that day but a decent margin, which makes his run even better. He will have a nice fitness advantage on the track conditions that he doesn’t mind. The in-form Christian Reith stays aboard and I expect them to hold the rail and wait for the cutaway before making his move.

Tip: (3) Frontline $4.05 Sportsbetting

Also Tipping: (5) Commando Hunt $4.45 Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Frontline B3TSP, 1 unit WIN Commando Hunt B3TSP

Race 8

Merchant Navy Yearlings (C1) (1280m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Merchant Navy Yearlings (C1) (1280m) 4:55pm (AEDT)
1. Land Of Valens (9) J: Christian Reith (60kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	3.8	3.7	3.8	3.8
2. Fire Dragon (3) J: Chad Lever (59.5kg) T: T & P Vigouroux	9.5	9	9.6	8.5
3. Dynamic Impact (7) J: Mitchell Bell (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker	2.7	2.8	2.6	2.6
4. Imsouane (10) J: Dylan Gibbons (58kg) T: Cody Morgan	12	14	14.2	14
5. Canford Mick (13) J: Grant Buckley (56.5kg) T: Grant Allard	14	15	11.4	15
6. General Soleil (14) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
7. Tinka's Lad (6) J: Serg Lisnyy (56.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
8. Showtime Lady (16) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Brad Widdup
9. Oakfield Romance (12) J: Darryl Mclellan (55.5kg) T: D Lane	9	9	10	9.5
10. Aisle Six (4) J: Billy Cray (55kg) T: Ms K Simpkins	41	41	43	41
11. Classic Gown (15) J: Andrew Gibbons (55kg) T: Adam Duggan	11	11	11.2	10
12. La Trioli (5) J: Adrian Layt (55kg) T: Cameron Crockett	15	14	16.2	16
13. Missile Rain (11) J: Reece Jones (55kg) T: Brett Thompson	17	20	21.5	18
14. Santa Margherita (2) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: Cameron Crockett	21	21	20	23
15. Shaye's Trust (8) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55kg) T: Leigh Desreaux
16. Lucky Siren (1) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Ms J Shapter

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Race 9

M.M. G. Goast Yearling Sale-C2 (1000m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

Race 9 M.M. G. Goast Yearling Sale-C2 (1000m) 5:30pm (AEDT)
1. Eighth Immortal (15) J: Chad Lever (61kg) T: Claire Lever	17	14	15	18
2. Iron Dome (19) J: Ms Rachael Murray (60.5kg) T: Cody Morgan	13	12	18.2	17
3. Coco Cuber (16) J: Unknown (60kg) T: P & P Snowden
4. Two Up (17) J: Unknown (59kg) T: D I Atkins	34	26	38	41
5. Mandirigma (10) J: Ms Alysha Collett (58.5kg) T: M D Griffith	21	21	32	26
6. Rocketing By (11) J: Mitchell Bell (58.5kg) T: David Pfieffer	2.5	2.45	2.75	2.5
7. Expellable (1) J: Christian Reith (58kg) T: Cameron Crockett	12	6.5	12.6	15
8. Katgully Red (3) J: Ashley Morgan (58kg) T: Ms J Butler	23	26	24.5	34
9. Stralex (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: Cameron Crockett	41	51	59	51
10. Pee Dee (5) J: Darryl Mclellan (56.5kg) T: P M Farrell	16	13	16.2	18
11. Snitzari (12) J: Brenton Avdulla (56.5kg) T: K A Lees	4.8	3.6	4.8	5
12. Mischief Managed (4) J: Dylan Gibbons (56kg) T: Cody Morgan	5.5	5	6.6	5
13. Fox Spirit (13) J: Reece Jones (55.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett	15	15	17	18
14. Miss Eporetto (8) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55.5kg) T: Tim Mcintosh	34	31	30	41
15. Makana (9) J: Andrew Gibbons (55kg) T: T S Howlett
16. Ranuncula (7) J: Grant Buckley (55kg) T: S C Jones
17. Sniper Excels (14) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Brett Thompson
18. Trojan Angel (20) J: Serg Lisnyy (55kg) T: Ms K Waugh
19. Avid General (2) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Grant Allard
20. Upside (18) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Justin Bowen

Odds Last Updated: January 8, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Joshua Reed

Josh has been a racing fan for over 12 years and was down the local as soon as he was legal, blackbooking runners and having a punt most Saturdays. Since taking his racing more seriously, he has gone on to make his name known with goals of one day being apart of the game full-time. All of Josh’s work is proudly Powered by ratings2win.com.au