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Pakenham Racing Tips: Thursday January 21st

Twilight racing at Pakenham for those looking to get an early start to the weekend. The Horse has taken a look at the card to find a few winners.

pakenham racing tips

Twilight racing at Pakenham for those looking to get an early start to the weekend. The Horse has taken a look at the card to find a few winners. He has profiled Race 2, Race 3, Race 4, Race 5 and Race 8.

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Race 1

Red Gem Packers & Growers Mdn (1000m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Red Gem Packers & Growers Mdn (1000m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Bay Wave (6) J: Arron Lynch (59.5kg) T: Andrew Homann
182121.523
2. Bolocco Bob (2) J: Ms Emily Brown (59.5kg) T: R K Beecroft
77.57.57
3. Hassett (7) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: Brian Mcgrath
2.52.72.652.7
4. Headquarters (8) J: Liam Riordan (58kg) T: Ms M Wells
5. Hell Of A Boy (4) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: Jerome Hunter
262624.521
6. The Trance Factor (1) J: Michael Dee (57.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
81818371
7. Avenue Of Pleasure (3) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: G M Begg
3.433.32.9
8. Halvoya (5) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
4.44.444.6

Odds Last Updated: January 22, 2021, 12:41pm (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

1. Colossal Star (3) J: Brian Higgins (59.5kg) T: J W Bridgman
11121211
2. Dunvegan (5) J: Damian Lane (59.5kg) T: M M Laurie
1.141.141.121.15
3. Lochend Rocky Roy (8) J: Dean Holland (59.5kg) T: Paul Worthington
151151261151
4. Prince Heartford (7) J: Clayton Douglas (59.5kg) T: M Croston & G Gilmour
81101131126
5. Free To Act (9) J: Arron Lynch (58kg) T: N J Harnett
67101101101
6. Gusto Magic (11) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: Jerome Hunter
7. Hoiana Shores (1) J: Patrick Moloney (58kg) T: C W Little
17201719
8. Old Fashioned (4) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: Brian Mcgrath
41515341
9. Likiliku (2) J: Zac Spain (57.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
35345731
10. Elidi (10) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (56kg) T: P Stokes
21202119
11. Olivia's Game (6) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: G M Begg
34213623

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

(2) Dunvegan looks ready to win after a two solid second places. He finds a very winnable race after competing in what looks a weaker race than that he comes out of. Unfortunately, the price is under the odds and really unbackable at this point. Still goes on top. The competition is thin, and it’s difficult to assess the rest. The top pick is one for the multiples.

Tip: (2) Dunvegan $1.35 Unibet

0

Race 3

Tasmanian M. M. Voucher Mdn (1400m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tasmanian M. M. Voucher Mdn (1400m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

1. Every Hanza Winner (7) J: Will Gordon (59.5kg) T: Darryl Horner
151151281151
2. The Duke Of Hazard (6) J: Damien Thornton (59.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
111011.29
3. Victory Colours (8) J: Michael Walker (59.5kg) T: Ms L Shand
8887.5
4. Anthemic (10) J: Fred W Kersley (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
11109.811
5. Mariinsky (3) J: Dean Holland (58kg) T: A & S Freedman
1012912
6. Techno Awards (2) J: Michael Poy (58kg) T: K & K Keys
81101121101
7. Disco Queen (12) J: Lachlan King (57.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
8. Fuzz Buzz (11) J: Billy Egan (57.5kg) T: Luke Oliver
2.62.72.82.8
9. Northern Reign (14) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
4.854.74.6
10. Speed Cube (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (57.5kg) T: Ms J E Taylor
46515961
11. Bella Cavalla (9) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
212621.523
12. Share The Rhythm (13) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
9.58.59.18.5
13. Scrambler (5) J: Arron Lynch (59.5kg) T: K L Corstens
101101131126
14. Vinrose (1) J: Patrick Moloney (57.5kg) T: Peter Gelagotis

Odds Last Updated: January 22, 2021, 12:41pm (AEDT)

Hard not to be interested in backing the Luke Oliver runner (8) Fuzz Buzz after a couple of decent runs at Cranbourne. Two starts for two third places, she was well and truly beaten in her last start, although she did close off nicely from eighth in running. She will get-back and reel them in, so the additional 200 metres tonight is a positive. The gate is not the best, but it should not interfere with her race map.

Outside the Fuzz Buzz (9) Northern Reign can improve, and (12) Share The Rhythm can bounce back.

Tip: (8) Fuzz Buzz $3.15 Sportsbet

0

Race 4

Obrien Real Estate Mdn Plate (1600m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Obrien Real Estate Mdn Plate (1600m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

1. Cracking Night (7) J: Zac Spain (58kg) T: S P Nichols
21262421
2. Fool's Overture (6) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
41675151
3. Metung Marvin (1) J: Brian Higgins (58kg) T: Ms C Alderson
61618751
4. Overruled (3) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
77.56.47
5. The Admiral (5) J: Fred W Kersley (58kg) T: M D Moroney
1111119.5
6. All Day Chardonnay (8) J: Lachlan King (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
101101181126
7. Butter Chicken (9) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: G M Begg
2.452.352.52.4
8. Kalliopi Poppy (2) J: Jason Benbow (56kg) T: Jackson Pallot
9. Queen Adele (4) J: Michael Walker (56kg) T: Ms C Alderson
10. Russian Blaze (12) J: Patrick Moloney (56kg) T: Matthew Lindsay
126151201151
11. So You Assume (13) J: Liam Riordan (56kg) T: S P Nichols
161817.616
12. Write The Score (10) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
2.62.52.552.7
13. Jem Jem (11) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: T Rogers

Odds Last Updated: January 22, 2021, 12:41pm (AEDT)

Pretty interested in (technically) taking on the favourite (7) Butter Chicken despite a close 0.1 length defeat in her first race start. There is no doubt she has every chance here, and the slight jump in distance with her assumed increased fitness, is a positive. The Price/Kent runner (12) Write The Score continues to improve each run, and last time she closed stylishly to arrive second behind Liquero at Mornington. She draws one gate outside the favourite and has the pace to cut across and sit off-the-pace.  

For those not wanting to exclude the favourite, a quinella may be the smart play – as the race looks really between the top two.

Tip: (12) Write The Score $3.00 Sportsbet

Also backing: Quinella (12) Write The Score & (7) Butter Chicken

0

Race 5

Iron Jack Australian Lagers-C1 (1600m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Iron Jack Australian Lagers-C1 (1600m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

1. Biggus (6) J: Billy Egan (59.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
3.53.53.63.4
2. Crafty Effort (4) J: Brian Park (58.5kg) T: M Croston & G Gilmour
27313226
3. Hostile Takeover (9) J: Rhys Mcleod (58.5kg) T: John Eady
4. Warlist (2) J: Michael Carson (58.5kg) T: G M Carson
35516331
5. Shame Shame Shame (8) J: Damien Thornton (57.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
12131211
6. Gracias Amigo (10) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: G M Begg
151813.416
7. Maui (11) J: Ben Allen (57kg) T: P Stokes
2.052.11.982.15
8. Pepper's Ghost (1) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
55.55.55
9. Victory Approach (5) J: Ms Michelle Payne (56kg) T: Michelle Payne
10. Isola Comacina (3) J: Michael Walker (55kg) T: Andrew Noblet
11. Chloe's Day (7) J: Unknown (55kg) T: P G Carey

Odds Last Updated: January 22, 2021, 12:41pm (AEDT)

It took (8) Pepper’s Ghost 6 starts to register the maiden win, but there is nothing to suggest that the gelding can’t win again. He registered that win comfortably by over a length. The inside draw will allow Damian Lane to drop in behind the leader (one back along the inside) and present at the right time. Pepper’s Ghost was a slightly more convincing win, in my view, than that of the race favourite (1) Biggus who ran on to claim victory first up. But there is very little between them, so the Damian Lane factor is enough to swing the decision.

Tip: (8) Pepper’s Ghost $4.05 Sportsbetting

0

Race 6

Gg Engineering (Bm64) (1600m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Gg Engineering (Bm64) (1600m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

1. Rocking Eagle (7) J: Jordan Childs (61kg) T: M D Moroney
151513.815
2. Deelbraka (12) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (60kg) T: David & Coral Feek
3. The Great One (3) J: Jamie Mott (60kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
655.96
4. El Guerrouj (4) J: Michael Walker (59.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
776.66
5. Lucques (6) J: Will Gordon (59kg) T: E V Musgrove
201151261151
6. Big Darryl (5) J: Arron Lynch (58.5kg) T: Andrew Homann
27342934
7. Black Beau Tie (10) J: Jake Noonan (58.5kg) T: G F Wheeler
151913.816
8. Ameliaranne (1) J: Matthew Cartwright (58kg) T: N J Harnett
7.57.57.47
9. Regal Riffle (8) J: Michael Dee (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
161716.817
10. Youl Dash For Cash (11) J: Lachlan King (58kg) T: E V Musgrove
151151261151
11. Leveraged (9) J: Billy Egan (57.5kg) T: Luke Oliver
2.452.42.552.5
12. Queen Of Tarts (2) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
111211.612

Odds Last Updated: January 22, 2021, 12:41pm (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Evergreen Turf (Bm64) (1400m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Evergreen Turf (Bm64) (1400m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

1. Rossman (8) J: Ben Allen (61kg) T: D R Brideoake
31413134
2. Blue Ocean (9) J: Jamie Mott (60.5kg) T: P Stokes
12131212
3. Gina Lola (12) J: Damian Lane (60kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
5.55.55.45.5
4. Office Jim (10) J: Dean Holland (60kg) T: A & S Freedman
766.65.5
5. He's A Balter (11) J: Jordan Childs (59kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
2.62.62.62.6
6. Big Sur (2) J: Patrick Moloney (58.5kg) T: C W Little
71101101126
7. Honour Me (4) J: Zac Spain (58.5kg) T: G Eurell
71101101126
8. Maazle (5) J: Arron Lynch (58.5kg) T: Andrew Homann
171917.419
9. Trench Warfare (3) J: Fred W Kersley (58.5kg) T: Matthew Cumani
7.586.98
10. No New Tricks (7) J: Michael Poy (58kg) T: B & J Purcell
11. Reactor (6) J: Jason Benbow (58kg) T: Mark Sues
51717371
12. Moeen (1) J: Luke Nolen (57.5kg) T: P Stokes
8.57.59.17.5

Odds Last Updated: January 22, 2021, 12:41pm (AEDT)

0

Race 8

Sportsbet Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Sportsbet Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

1. Falls (8) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (63kg) T: M C Kent
121412.213
2. Sophia's Choice (14) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (62kg) T: Robert Kingston
8.58.58.67.5
3. Magnetism (2) J: Jamie Mott (61.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
20142115
4. Irish Butterfly (12) J: Damien Thornton (60.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
5. Milord (9) J: Clayton Douglas (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
61818381
6. Burning The Clock (7) J: Neil Farley (60kg) T: Mark Dennehy
141615.215
7. Ping Ping (11) J: Ms Sally Wynne (59.5kg) T: Sally Wynne
263126.523
8. Gottaluvjimmy (3) J: Rhys Mcleod (59kg) T: Mark Pegus
9. Mosscon (1) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: D R Brideoake
88.57.68
10. Brazen Princess (13) J: Jake Noonan (56.5kg) T: J & C Meagher
212121.521
11. She's 'N' Effort (4) J: Michael Poy (56kg) T: G Eurell
41345531
12. Safe Passage (5) J: Damian Lane (55kg) T: D T O'brien
221.962.1
13. My Prince Charming (10) J: Arron Lynch (57.5kg) T: Andrew Homann
9119.310
14. Mischievous Lad (6) J: Jason Benbow (56.5kg) T: G B Andrews

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

The best bet on the program is not favourite and is offering more than any of my other selections. (2) Sophia’s Choice. She has already tasted success at this grade, and has been racing in much tougher company around the metro tracks. She placed second last start at Mornington and drops back in grade, but carries the same weight after a nice little claim of 3kgs. The jockey booking is a query, and hope that it represents the importance of a claim, rather than a ‘trial’. But when you consider how close she went last start, the stable must believe she is ready to win.

(9) Mosscon continues to improve while (7) Ping Ping can run well at good odds. (13) My Prince Charming looks like he could be ready to fire.

Tip: (2) Sophia’s Choice $6.10 Sportsbetting

The Horse found the thought of placing bets and drinking beers much more appealing once he was married, and that led to an interest in the many intricacies of The Great Game. He enjoys the challenge of predicting what will happen in any given race, but also loves horses themselves, none more so than the mighty mudlark Jungle Edge. His focus lies on metropolitan racing in Victoria and NSW, however isn’t afraid to find one out wide. Away from racing, The Horse is an avid drummer – quite a difficult task with a set of hooves.

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