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Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, November 28th

The Festival and Starlight Stakes headline a juicy card at Rosehill this Saturday and Joshua Reed has assessed each race below.

RosehillRaceCourse

Saturday racing returns to Rosehill this week, with a Group 3 and a Listed race headlining a juicy nine race card.

The track is rated a Good 4 and will remain that way with high temperatures predicted. The rail is in the True position and fair racing is expected.

Joshua Reed has a pair of best bets below for you to feast your eyes on.

Best Bet: Race 3 – (5) Another One $2.50 Sportsbetting

Best Value: Race 9 – (12) On The White Turf $17.00 TAB E/W

Sportsbetting

0

Race 1

De Bortoli Wines Hcp (1100m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

De Bortoli Wines Hcp (1100m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

1. Conexy (10) J: Unknown (58kg) T: C J Waller
2. Alfano (8) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: A J Cummings
3. Coastwatch (14) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller
10109.511
4. El Parmy (5) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
111110.211
5. Hunnam (12) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
555.15
6. Sliders (3) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: James Cummings
55.55.65
7. Wizard Of Oz (11) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: C J Waller
8. Hodgson (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: Gary & John Moore
111111.211
9. Super Hot (13) J: Koby Jennings (56.5kg) T: P M Farrell
273127.526
10. Seething Seb (1) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55.5kg) T: Ms K Owen
201151221201
11. Centro Storico (6) J: Glyn Schofield (55kg) T: Richard Litt
6.56.56.66.5
12. Hide Your Heart (4) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
776.87
13. Princess Spice (9) J: Robbie Dolan (55kg) T: Tash Burleigh
101110.49.5
14. Robodira (2) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: J A O'shea
191916.819

Odds Last Updated: November 29, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

Going with the first starter in (12) Hide Your Heart here. I just loved the lead-up trials, and she looks to have a bit of ability. Both trials she chased horses and accelerated nicely when asked and I like the booking of Tim Clark. She is drawn ideally for her first race start and I expect her to be no worse than midfield. She is a nice each-way price to find out how good she is.

(6) Sliders has the race day experience and won nicely at Newcastle. She will be good when the penny drops but still good enough to win this one.

(5) Hunnam is a forgive after his first run and gets the blinkers on which will help him.

(11) Centro Storico next best.

Tip: (12) Hide Your Heart $8.00 Bet365

0

Race 2

Bisley Workwear (Bm78) (2400m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Bisley Workwear (Bm78) (2400m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

1. He Runs Away (2) J: Thomas Stockdale (62kg) T: C J Waller
877.47
2. Almania (4) J: Hugh Bowman (61kg) T: K A Lees
2.72.82.952.7
3. Rider In The Snow (5) J: James Mcdonald (60.5kg) T: K A Lees
20212023
4. Stockman (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (60.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
5.54.85.55
5. Shakespear'sgalley (3) J: Brenton Avdulla (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
212120.526
6. Bobby Dee (1) J: Tom Sherry (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
7. Relucent (6) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: C J Waller
3.943.54
8. Sound Of Cannons (8) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: J A O'shea
9. Unamerican (7) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: R & M Freedman
10. Windermere (10) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: Edward O'rourke
7.59.58.68
11. Satin Rain (9) J: Robbie Dolan (52kg) T: A J Cummings

Odds Last Updated: November 29, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

Playing two horses in this race, one more so than the other. (2) Almania is the best horse in this race by a country mile and does have to carry the 61kg like he did in his Australian debut at Flemington during the spring carnival. Bowman sticks and he gets to a distance more suitable here after 3 weeks off. I am expecting a peach from the favourable draw.

(5) Shakespear’sgalley is the other international at massive odds. Gets back on top of the ground here and looks to get an easy lead. At $41, he won’t be going around without some of my money.

(1) He Runs Away is drawn to be effective and gets a 2kg claim. Another who will love the good going.

(7) Relucent next best.

Tip: (2) Almania $2.60 TAB

Also playing: (5) Shakespear’sgalley $41 Unitbet E/W

0

Race 3

Tab Highway Hcp (C2) (1200m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tab Highway Hcp (C2) (1200m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

1. Cock Match (11) J: Ms Louise Day (61.5kg) T: D A Williams
161716.817
2. Art Cadeau (12) J: Tommy Berry (61kg) T: T J Robinson
3.53.43.453.3
3. Midsummer Rain (20) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett
4. Dreaming For More (17) J: Unknown (58kg) T: P N Mills
5. Another One (13) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: G J Colvin
3.13.13.252.9
6. Danebrook (19) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: Ms S Grills
7. Bad Boy For Love (15) J: Grant Buckley (57kg) T: Ms G Williams
8. Clearly Regal (7) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: Kurt Goldman
10119.512
9. Crackerjack Kenny (6) J: Brock Ryan (56.5kg) T: K T Dixon
121312.613
10. Kattegat (16) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: Natalie Jarvis
121313.413
11. Warrah Flash (10) J: Nash Rawiller (56.5kg) T: S C Jones
161815.818
12. Cecilia (5) J: Aaron Bullock (56kg) T: Aleacia Bennett
13. Vibrant Knight (4) J: Tom Sherry (56kg) T: D A Williams
232120.523
14. Alfstar (21) J: Koby Jennings (55kg) T: W A Hudd
41514341
15. Fox Spirit (8) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: Cameron Crockett
16. Dancing Dollar (22) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: Sam Kavanagh
17. Talihina (14) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: D A Williams
151201171201
18. Taldora Miss (2) J: Ms Stacey Metcalfe (54kg) T: J A Berry
151101151151
19. Fat Gecko (1) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: Danielle Seib
181815.819
20. Loose Wire (18) J: Unknown (54kg) T: W A Mathie
21. Missile Rain (3) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Brett Thompson
23262626
22. Who's Shout (9) J: Unknown (54kg) T: N F Gardner

Odds Last Updated: February 28, 2021, 9:56am (AEDT)

(5) Another One looks like he will do just that to his win column here. The Super One gelding was extremely impressive at Wagga, making light work of his opposition by 3.5 lengths in nice time. His form is immaculate, narrowly going down to Lion’s Roar on debut before winning the Lamont Classic. He is the one to beat here and should get into a nice position from a better barrier after these scratchings are removed. Not often that I am this confident on a highway race.

(11) Warrah Flash gets Nash Rawiller on which is ideal an gets to a much more suitable distance now. Good each way chance.

(9) Crackerjack Kenny has been consistent and will love the better draw.

(2) Art Cadeau next best.

Tip: (5) Another One $2.50 Sportsbetting

0

Race 4

Quincy Seltzer (Bm78) (1300m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Quincy Seltzer (Bm78) (1300m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

1. Segalas (9) J: Tom Sherry (61kg) T: James Cummings
7.57.57.57
2. Americana Magic (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (59.5kg) T: Grant Allard
141313.413
3. Irukandji (4) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
232626.521
4. Sausedge (10) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Matthew Dale
5. Promotions (8) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: James Cummings
3.43.43.43.4
6. Write Your Name (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: Archie Alexander
777.37
7. Starla (2) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: C J Waller
9.5109.510
8. Darleb (5) J: Nash Rawiller (56kg) T: K A Lees
5.55.55.75.5
9. He's A Hotshot (7) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
55.55.15.5
10. Ambleve (6) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker

Odds Last Updated: December 6, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

If you want to see a horse absolutely flying but then has no where to go over the final 100m, check out (8) Darleb in his last start run. Although the form will read as a seventh, he would have fought out the win had he got clear running over the final 100m. He ended up going down by 1.7 lengths which isn’t bad, especially considering he had to come from near last. Nash retains the ride and is drawn much better here to get into a nice spot throughout. I look forward to seeing him over the 1300m again on the projected good surface.        

(9) He’s A Hotshot was scratched from Canterbury for this and although the draw looks awkward, he is ready for this distance.

(5) Promotions will have to go forward from that barrier to even get into a nice spot. Should be there in the finish.

(7) Starla next best.

Tip: (8) Darleb $6.00 PlayUp

PlayUp

0

Race 5

Iron Jack (Bm78) (1100m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Iron Jack (Bm78) (1100m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

1. Oakfield Twilight (3) J: Chris Williams (61.5kg) T: D Lane
41414341
2. Rare Episode (9) J: Tom Sherry (61.5kg) T: Brad Widdup
181917.419
3. Spring Charlie (7) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: William Freedman
4. Jay Jay D'ar (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
10119.310
5. Threeood (11) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: Joseph Pride
161616.815
6. Perigord (13) J: Unknown (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
7. Plaquette (6) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: James Cummings
2.82.72.82.7
8. General Soho (10) J: Aaron Bullock (56.5kg) T: P M Perry
35344126
9. Lord Zoulander (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55.5kg) T: G Portelli
671018181
10. Miss Fox (4) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: Adam Duggan
101110.610
11. Monte Ditto (8) J: Jason Collett (54.5kg) T: David Pfieffer
27342631
12. Lady Banff (2) J: James Mcdonald (54kg) T: M J Dunn
3.63.83.73.8
13. Valdostana (12) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
998.39.5

Odds Last Updated: January 17, 2021, 9:36am (AEDT)

(12) Lady Banff is who I want to be with after a soft trial in the lead up to this. She started off last preparation with a win on the heavy going before not doing so well second-up on exactly the same ground. Forget her last run at Rosehill where she took no further part in the race after the rider became unbalanced passing the 300m mark. I love the addition of James McDonald and she is drawn to be handy throughout without leading or being outside the lead. Her best form comes on top of the ground, where she has comfortably beat home Anders and The Drinks Cart. This is the lowest weight she has carried since her first start, and I will be disappointed if she isn’t going close to winning this race.

(7) Plaquette is the main rival and one to beat. Coming back to Sydney after a good run up the Flemington straight. Deserved favourite.

(4) Jay Jay D’ar is nice odds especially if the track is playing fair.

(8) General Soho next best.

Tip: (12) Lady Banff $4.80 Sportsbet

0

Race 6

Atc Cup (2000m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Atc Cup (2000m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

1. Wolfe (5) J: Tim Clark (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
9108.89
2. Mantastic (3) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: C J Waller
776.77
3. Costello (8) J: Jay Ford (57.5kg) T: David Payne
211819.619
4. Black On Gold (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: C J Waller
9999.5
5. Savacool (7) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
141613.413
6. Greysful Glamour (9) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
9.51010.210
7. Morton's Fork (2) J: Tom Sherry (54kg) T: Richard Litt
272627.526
8. Tumultuous (11) J: Sam Clipperton (54kg) T: C J Waller
9. Laure Me In (10) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: David Pfieffer
4.64.64.755
10. Bonvicini (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
555.55.5
11. Rocha Clock (6) J: Robbie Dolan (53kg) T: J A O'shea
7.57.57.67

Odds Last Updated: November 29, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

Not a big fan of this race from a form or betting perspective and have landed with (6) Greysful Glamour on top. She has had a pretty mixed preparation and in her last start she finished a fair way back in the TAB Matriarch. This is a very winnable race for her as there appears to be little speed to contest against her and will stroll across with little weight. She has been racing in much better company and this is a step back. With the addition of Rachel King who knows her well, I expect a well timed ride on her preferred ground and for her to be well around the money.

(11) Rocha Clock is coming off a nice win at Flemington in the Inglis Bracelet and will tackle the 2000m for the first time. She gives the indication she will get it and with no weight will be flying late.

(9) Laure Me In is in good form and I expect that to continue.

(10) Bonvicini next best.

Tip: (6) Greysful Glamour $7.10 Sportsbetting

0

Race 7

Fujitsu General Festival Stks (1500m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Fujitsu General Festival Stks (1500m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Gaulois (4) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: James Cummings
201618.416
2. Ranier (7) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: James Cummings
878.17.5
3. Miss Siska (3) J: Tim Clark (57.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
41514751
4. Irithea (6) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
41415151
5. A Shin Rook (16) J: Tom Sherry (54.5kg) T: William Freedman
91151111101
6. Phaistos (2) J: Brenton Avdulla (54.5kg) T: James Cummings
554.95.5
7. Military Zone (5) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
232624.526
8. Noble Boy (15) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: Clare Cunningham
262624.526
9. Sambro (11) J: James Mcdonald (54kg) T: C J Waller
161813.616
10. Outrageous (9) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
4.254.24.2
11. Royal Celebration (13) J: Sam Clipperton (54kg) T: R J Quinton
191817.819
12. Mr Marathon Man (8) J: Glyn Schofield (54kg) T: Richard Litt
201151241251
13. Mushaireb (1) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: R & M Freedman
41514351
14. Evalina (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: K A Lees
191719.621
15. Through The Cracks (14) J: Robbie Dolan (53kg) T: Angela Davies
4.544.654
16. Primitivo (12) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: John Thompson
126101121151

Odds Last Updated: November 29, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

(15) Through The Cracks is my pick for this race and I will be hoping the track is playing nice and fair. He was amazing at Newcastle, reeling in the field with ease to win by just under a length. 1500m looks ideal for him and although he is drawn wide, he gets no weight with Robbie Dolan aboard. He should sit a touch worse than midfield and all Robbie has to do is give him space as the enter the straight, and I believe the horse will do the rest. Starting to find it’s right price now.

(10) Outrageous was brilliant first-up at Flemington and with Tommy Berry to ride, he looks the danger.

(6) Phaistos has drawn ideally and will appreciate being back on top of the ground.

(13) Mushaireb next best.

Tip: (15) Through The Cracks $6.60 Sportsbetting

0

Race 8

Schweppes Starlight Stks (1100m)
5:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Schweppes Starlight Stks (1100m)
5:40pm (AEDT)

1. Viridine (9) J: Hugh Bowman (61kg) T: James Cummings
65.55.65.5
2. Easy Eddie (15) J: Robbie Dolan (58.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
41513941
3. Tactical Advantage (13) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: K A Lees
4. Snitz (2) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: M J Dunn
3.43.53.553.5
5. Passage Of Time (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (56kg) T: Joseph Pride
41514551
6. Glenall (3) J: Glyn Schofield (54kg) T: John W Ramsey
34413941
7. Plague Stone (5) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: David Pfieffer
8. Blazing Miss (14) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Mark Newnham
9. Single Bullet (10) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: G Portelli
10. Poetic Charmer (12) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
11. Villami (11) J: Tim Clark (53.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
12. Invictus Salute (1) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: Mark Newnham
6.576.27
13. Inanup (4) J: Brock Ryan (53kg) T: J M Austin
6.586.96.5
14. Varda (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: James Cummings
4.244.13.9
15. Spaceboy (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53kg) T: G Portelli
111112.211

Odds Last Updated: November 29, 2020, 12:53am (AEDT)

This is a race where I will be playing two horses. (14) Varda will be my default on topper after her nice run in the Century Stakes. Before she went down for that race, she had won all four of her races in Sydney and showed she had some nice talent. She will sit just behind the speed here and even without Villami and Blazing Miss, there still looks to be some solid speed on paper. I expect McEvoy to stalk the speed before producing her 300m out. She should be hard to hold out.

(4) Snitz is the other one I want to have money on. His first-up record is good, trialled up nicely and gets a strong rider in Nash Rawiller aboard. He is going to love being back on a firmer surface and he could out fight his opposition if provoked into a speed battle.

(10) Poetic Charmer is massive odds and I wouldn’t be leaving him out of your exotics or quaddies with a nice first-up record like his.

(1) Viridine next best.

Tip: (14) Varda $4.20 Sportsbet

Also Playing: (4) Snitz $4.20 Bet365

0

Race 9

Rosehill Bowling Club (Bm78) (1500m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Rosehill Bowling Club (Bm78) (1500m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Decroux (12) J: Tim Clark (61kg) T: J C Deamer
201301321251
2. Two Big Fari (4) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (61kg) T: T S Howlett
7.578.17
3. New Arrangement (6) J: James Mcdonald (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
10119.411
4. Betcha Flying (5) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: C J Waller
554.855.5
5. Oakfield Missile (15) J: Aaron Bullock (58kg) T: D Lane
71718171
6. Savigne (16) J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg) T: C J Waller
7. Bigboyroy (17) J: Unknown (58kg) T: C J Waller
8. Super (1) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: M S Minervini
10109.89.5
9. Fulmina (14) J: Tom Sherry (57.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
121212.210
10. Picaro (7) J: Robbie Dolan (57.5kg) T: G Portelli
101151151151
11. Great News (2) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: Ms K Waugh
2.82.92.92.9
12. On The White Turf (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
232621.526
13. Criminal Code (13) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: C J Waller
14. Miss Einstein (8) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
10101010
15. Star Karen (10) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: C J Waller
16. Domed (3) J: Grant Buckley (53kg) T: J N Englebrecht
81919381
17. Bluff 'N' Bluster (11) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52.5kg) T: J C Coyle
61615761

Odds Last Updated: January 17, 2021, 9:36am (AEDT)

(12) On The White Turf does look massive overs in the get-out stakes here. He flew home at Canterbury last start in nice fashion beating home Bob’s Your Uncle who won last night and Criminal Code who was third in that same race. He is definitely going to like staying at 1500m and is drawn to sit in a similar position to last start. Kerrin McEvoy going on shows intent that the horse is going well and he has shown he can mix it with good horses in the past. Just think the price is too good to refuse each-way.

(11) Great News is the logical danger after a nice win at Newcastle.

(14) Miss Einstein was scratched from Canterbury for this race, she will be flying late.

(4) Betcha Flying next best.

Tip: (12) On The White Turf $17.00 TAB E/W

TAB

Josh has been a racing fan for over 12 years and was down the local as soon as he was legal, blackbooking runners and having a punt most Saturdays. Since taking his racing more seriously, he has gone on to make his name known with goals of one day being apart of the game full-time. All of Josh’s work is proudly Powered by ratings2win.com.au

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