Race Tracks

Warrnambool Racing Tips: Tuesday, May 3rd

Tim Geers picks out his three best bets on the card on Day 1 of The Bool!

by
Tim Geers
3 May 2022

It’s Day 1 of the famous Warrnambool Carnival on Tuesday, with the 10-race card headlined by the Brierly Chase!

We have a mix of jumps and flat racing today, and Tim Geers has picked out his three best bets on the card.

He’s betting in Race 4, Race 6 and Race 7.

Find his tips for Day 1 of The Bool below!

Race 1

Lets Make It Grand Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
11:20am (AEDT)

Race 1 Lets Make It Grand Mdn Hrdl (3200m) 11:20am (AEDT)
1. Beachgoer (11) J: Ronan Short (69.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	5.5	5.5	5.1
2. Buffalo Bill (6) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove	31	26	30
3. Elope To Vegas (2) J: Richard O'donoghue (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove	19	21	20
4. Lord Pierro (9) J: Ms Megan Dunseath (69.5kg) T: P A Preusker	8.5	9	9.1
5. Periscope (5) J: Daniel Small (69.5kg) T: P F Ryan	8.5	8.5	8.3
6. Portland Jimmy (4) J: Aaron Kuru (69.5kg) T: Patrick Payne	2.15	2.2	2.05
7. Rocky Raccoon (12) J: Ross O'Sullivan (69.5kg) T: Thomas Carberry
8. The Beehive (7) J: Will Gordon (69.5kg) T: Ms K Durden	13	13	13.2
9. Yulong Place (10) J: Braidon Small (69.5kg) T: Ms L Shand	41	41	43
10. Zouy's Comet (8) J: Arron Lynch (69.5kg) T: Shawn Mathrick	10	10	10
11. Flying Pierro (1) J: Chris Mccarthy (69.5kg) T: A Rosolini	34	51	49
12. Road To Blue Sky (3) J: (69.5kg) T: Eric Musgrove

Race 2

Cally Hotel Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
12:00pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Cally Hotel Mdn Hrdl (3200m) 12:00pm (AEDT)
1. Beefeater (3) J: Aaron Kuru (69.5kg) T: Patrick Payne	5	5	4.6
2. Count Zero (9) J: Will Gordon (69.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	2.45	2.4	2.3
3. Gravistas (7) J: Richard O'donoghue (69.5kg) T: M G Nolan	13	13	12.6
4. Jeune Elvis (6) J: Braidon Small (69.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell	20	19	17
5. Joshua Reynolds (8) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove	10	12	12.2
6. Mighty Oasis (4) J: Aaron Mitchell (69.5kg) T: Andrew Bobbin	5	5	5.1
7. Zedstar (5) J: Steven Pateman (69.5kg) T: Brett Scott	7	7	7.6
8. Zoffany Rocket (11) J: Chris Mccarthy (3) (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove	15	17	17.2
9. Hakuna Matata (1) J: Lee Horner (67.5kg) T: Paul Preusker
10. Rough Beauty (2) J: Ross O'sullivan (67.5kg) T: Nathan Newton	91	91	77
11. Arlington Valley (10) J: Arron Lynch (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove	91	91	93

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 12:05pm (AEDT)

Race 3

G Taylor Memorial Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

Race 3 G Taylor Memorial Mdn Hrdl (3200m) 12:40pm (AEDT)
1. Bow Thruster (4) J: Daniel Small (69.5kg) T: Q J Scott	31	31	25.5
2. Dr Dependable (6) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove	21	21	23.5
3. Historic (7) J: Steven Pateman (69.5kg) T: Steven Pateman	17	17	17.2
4. Killourney (5) J: Lee Horner (69.5kg) T: P A Preusker	1.5	1.45	1.44
5. Not Usual Dream (2) J: Will Gordon (69.5kg) T: Brett Scott	19	19	19.2
6. Rider In The Snow (3) J: Aaron Kuru (69.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	4.8	4.6	4.8
7. Tolemac (11) J: Ronan Short (69.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	12	11	9.9
8. Lady Fiorente (9) J: Selim Agbal (67.5kg) T: Emma Collins	51	51	53
9. Onset (10) J: Richard O'donoghue (67.5kg) T: E V Musgrove	19	19	20.5
10. Shilajit (1) J: Aaron Mitchell (67.5kg) T: Dan O'sullivan	19	19	17.8
11. Hey Happy (8) J: Aaron Kuru (69.5kg) T: Patrick Payne

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 12:44pm (AEDT)

Race 4

R&M Security Mdn Plate (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4 R&M Security Mdn Plate (1200m) 1:15pm (AEDT)
1. Ahhhh Yes (5) J: Ms Melissa Julius (59.5kg) T: Ms J Baker	81	81	83
2. Coastal Town (15) J: Joe Bowditch (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	13	12	14.2
3. Dawn County (12) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: Clayton Douglas	3.4	3.2	3
4. Galathilion (13) J: Thomas Stockdale (59.5kg) T: Shea Eden
5. Harbin (9) J: Ethan Brown (59.5kg) T: L Smith	5.5	5.5	5
6. Idon'tgetit (4) J: Jarrod Fry (59.5kg) T: P A Chow	13	14	12.8
7. Metal Rock (11) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig	6	6.5	5.7
8. Mio Capo (7) J: Ms Linda Meech (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde	6.5	6.5	6.6
9. Mister Businessman (8) J: Damien Thornton (59.5kg) T: P A Chow	9.5	10	8.6
10. Novique (14) J: Ms Kate Walters (59.5kg) T: S R Fisher	151	101	151
11. Pontedera (2) J: Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: Michael Hickmott
12. Birthday Suit (6) J: Jake Noonan (57.5kg) T: Mitchell Freedman	7	6.5	7.1
13. Eloped (1) J: Harry Grace (57.5kg) T: Jack Laing	41	51	53
14. Sedated Award (3) J: Ms Tatum Bull (57.5kg) T: David Prior	126	101	131
15. Wewanda (10) J: J Beriman (57.5kg) T: Jackie Beriman

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 1:15pm (AEDT)

(5) Harbin blew the start by 5L at Terang and was held up until about the 200m before working home strongly to be beaten 2.2L. If he doesn’t make a mess of the start, he wins that race. Likely to be back again but hopefully he jumps cleanly. Home deck for Lindsey Smith, should go very close.

(7) Metal Rock is on debut for Tom Dabernig who has a 28% strike rate at Warrnambool, and John Allen has a 42% strike rate when riding for him. Big watch on him to make a winning start here.

Tip: (5) Harbin $5.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (7) Metal Rock $6.50 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Harbin, 0.5 units WIN Metal Rock

Race 5

Callaghan Motors Gold Strike (1000m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Callaghan Motors Gold Strike (1000m) 1:45pm (AEDT)
1. Over Shady (5) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: M M Laurie	8	8	8.1
2. Soju Session (2) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	11	10	12.2
3. Capital Express (7) J: Billy Egan (57kg) T: Nick Ryan	6	5.5	6
4. Bubble Palace (12) J: Harry Coffey (57kg) T: Daniel Bowman	2.35	2.3	2.15
5. Bound For Home (8) J: Declan Bates (57kg) T: Archie Alexander
6. Carolina Sunrise (10) J: Dean Holland (57kg) T: J P Salanitri	9.5	10	9.9
7. Colorado Cruz (4) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: L & T Corstens	7.5	8	7.1
8. Dusse (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell	5	5.5	5.2
9. Geminga (3) J: Blaike Mcdougall (57kg) T: Amy Mcdonald
10. I'm Over Dancing (9) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: Alexander Rae
11. Naughty Nitemare (1) J: Joe Bowditch (57kg) T: Shane Nichols
12. Shines Bright (11) J: Thomas Stockdale (57kg) T: G Eurell	41	51	37

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 1:49pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Scotty Stewart Brierly Stpl (3450m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Scotty Stewart Brierly Stpl (3450m) 2:20pm (AEDT)
1. Bit Of A Lad (3) J: Steven Pateman (70kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	5.5	5.5	4.8
2. Police Camp (7) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (65kg) T: Simon Ryan	26	26	27.5
3. Britannicus (6) J: Arron Lynch (65kg) T: Symon Wilde	4.8	4.8	5.1
4. Valac (4) J: Aaron Mitchell (65kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes	2.8	2.8	2.45
5. Vanguard (5) J: Will Gordon (65kg) T: Symon Wilde	2.8	2.6	2.85
6. Magnanimous Man (1) J: Aaron Kuru (65kg) T: P F Ryan	14	14	14.8
7. My King's Counsel (8) J: Ronan Short (65kg) T: Ms K Durden	81	81	83
8. Once Were Lost (2) J: Lee Horner (65kg) T: Amy Mcdonald

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 2:25pm (AEDT)

The Brierly Chase. (4) Valac could ahve bolted in first up at Pakenham over the jumps but Aaron Mitchell eased him up about 50m from the line and it nearly ended in disaster. If he didn’t ease him up, he probably wins that by a big margin. Think he shapes as the horse to beat here.

Tip: (4) Valac $2.90 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Valac

Race 7

Mercedes-Benz (Bm70) (2350m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Mercedes-Benz (Bm70) (2350m) 2:55pm (AEDT)
1. Rudimental (14) J: Jamie Mott (62.5kg) T: Simon Zahra
2. Bakela (5) J: Harry Coffey (61kg) T: Dan O'sullivan	67	71	65
3. Prince Ziggy (1) J: Ms Maddi Price (61kg) T: Jamie Edwards	34	41	33
4. Irish Butterfly (9) J: Damien Thornton (60kg) T: Henry Dwyer
5. Fine Weather (16) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: Mitchell Freedman	9	8.5	8.8
6. Sign Seal Deliver (2) J: Declan Bates (59kg) T: Matthew Cumani	17	17	13
7. Auf Weidersehen (18) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: Shea Eden
8. Boyszee (17) J: John Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	2.6	2.5	2.4
9. Cadbury Castle (3) J: Ethan Brown (56kg) T: L Smith	3.6	3.6	3.55
10. Obedience (11) J: Will Price (56kg) T: Matthew Cumani	18	19	17.6
11. Young Hostess (7) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: Jamie Edwards	17	18	17.2
12. Rising Archie (8) J: Joe Bowditch (55kg) T: P A Preusker	34	34	32
13. Adaleene (4) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: Matthew Cumani	9	9	8.4
14. Mevius (15) J: Neil Farley (54kg) T: Thomas Carberry	26	26	27.5
15. Astral Knight (12) J: Harry Grace (54kg) T: Simon Ryan	26	26	27.5
16. Miss Charlee Lyn (10) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: Ms K Dufty	21	21	21.5
17. Olifoet (6) J: Kate Walters (54kg) T: Bob & Kane Post
18. Magicain (13) J: Ben Price (54kg) T: M W Greig	151	101	161

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 2:59pm (AEDT)

(9) Cadbury Castle worked home strongly first up over 1850m at Terang before absolutely destroying his rivals at Geelong on the Heavy 10 last start when stepping up to 2400m. He’s a genuine stayer and obviously loves the wet ground. The margin may have been exaggerated because of the bog track but I think he’s a pretty good horse and on his home track over a similar distance here, I think he’ll be very hard to beat.

Tip: (9) Cadbury Castle $3.50 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Cadbury Castle

Race 8

Magic Millions Nat. Sale Hcp (1700m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Magic Millions Nat. Sale Hcp (1700m) 3:30pm (AEDT)
1. Heart Of Puissance (4) J: John Allen (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	2.9	2.45	2.75
2. Bermadez (2) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: M D Moroney	4	4	3.75
3. Adelaide Ace (10) J: Patrick Moloney (58.5kg) T: L Smith	4.2	4.2	4.3
4. Think 'N' Fly (1) J: Josh Richards (56.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig	4.8	4.8	4.4
5. Guizot (9) J: Ms Linda Meech (55kg) T: Aaron Purcell	18	18	15.4
6. The Big Buzz (11) J: Chad Schofield (54.5kg) T: D R Brideoake	21	31	24
7. Indiana Lilly (6) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: Shea Eden	41	41	43
8. Strategic Phil (8) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: D R Brideoake	34	34	27.5
9. The Regiment (5) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: John Moloney
10. Sir Davy (3) J: Jamie Kah (54kg) T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
11. Saracen Knight (7) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: D T O'brien	26	26	26.5

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 3:34pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Choices Flooring Wbool (Bm70) (1200m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 9 Choices Flooring Wbool (Bm70) (1200m) 4:00pm (AEDT)
1. Easy Beast (4) J: Dean Holland (63kg) T: Richard Laming	26	21	26.5
2. The General (9) J: Thomas Stockdale (62.5kg) T: Richard Laming
3. Shotmaker (12) J: Hugh Bowman (62kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	7.5	7	6.4
4. Magnajet (1) J: Ben Price (61.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	9.5	9.5	9.5
5. Alsvin (3) J: Ms Kiran Quilty (60.5kg) T: Shea Eden	41	41	43
6. Barcelona Rock (17) J: Ms Melissa Julius (60.5kg) T: Daniel Bowman	12	12	10
7. Stripped Back (6) J: Ethan Brown (60.5kg) T: L Smith	3.2	3	2.8
8. As I Please (8) J: Ms Linda Meech (60kg) T: Symon Wilde	10	9.5	8.6
9. Boots Tarrington (10) J: Neil Farley (60kg) T: Ms M Cunningham	41	41	33
10. Exceed Expect (18) J: Craig Newitt (60kg) T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
11. Branders Rule (13) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer	26	21	26.5
12. Energy Within (2) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig	8	9	8.9
13. Hinto Blue (5) J: Harry Coffey (59kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes	16	15	17.2
14. Minyinga (16) J: Jordan Childs (58.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards	41	41	43
15. Millennial Girl (14) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: S R Fisher
16. Star Spirit (11) J: Declan Bates (57.5kg) T: Archie Alexander	6	6	6.6
17. Tydeus (7) J: Jarrod Fry (58.5kg) T: Reece Goodwin	21	20	21.5
18. Mister Me (15) J: (56kg) T: Maddie Raymond

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 4:01pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Tbred Club Of Australia-Bm64 (1100m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 10 Tbred Club Of Australia-Bm64 (1100m) 4:30pm (AEDT)
1. Condo's Express (5) J: Ms Kiran Quilty (64.5kg) T: Richard Laming	26	26	27.5
2. Finance Choice (6) J: Damien Oliver (61.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig
3. Francine (4) J: Ms Linda Meech (61.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell	16	17	17.2
4. Nerone (8) J: Dean Holland (61.5kg) T: Richard Laming	12	11	13.2
5. A Good Yarn (3) J: Ms Mikaela Lawrence (60.5kg) T: M J Mckenzie	34	34	35
6. Brazen Brando (2) J: Ms Tatum Bull (60.5kg) T: Dan O'sullivan	101	91	101
7. Hydro Star (10) J: Jamie Mott (60.5kg) T: John Mcardle
8. Moor Wanted (11) J: Ben Price (60.5kg) T: P A Chow	31	31	23.5
9. Want To Bolt (15) J: Ms Maddi Price (60.5kg) T: K T Bourke	151	101	161
10. Home Rule (18) J: John Allen (60kg) T: Maddie Raymond	4.2	4.2	3.7
11. Archipeta Beach (7) J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg) T: John Mcardle
12. Little Miss Gutsaa (17) J: Daniel Moor (59kg) T: Jamie Edwards	11	11	11
13. No Shame (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (58.5kg) T: Richard Laming
14. Sovereign Gold (12) J: Declan Bates (58.5kg) T: L Smith	26	26	27.5
15. Lulu Darling (13) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: Michael Huglin	6.5	6.5	6.4
16. Sweet Mary (20) J: Jarrod Fry (58kg) T: Lindsey Smith
17. O'reilly Mcluke (14) J: Joe Bowditch (60kg) T: Symon Wilde	18	17	16.4
18. Spinning (9) J: Blaike Mcdougall (57.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig	5.5	5.5	5.6
19. Rights Of Man (16) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: D T O'brien	4	4.2	3.55
20. Mask Up (19) J: H Coffey (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 4:30pm (AEDT)

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.