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Warrnambool Racing Tips: Tuesday, May 3rd

Tim Geers picks out his three best bets on the card on Day 1 of The Bool!

The Bool

It’s Day 1 of the famous Warrnambool Carnival on Tuesday, with the 10-race card headlined by the Brierly Chase!

We have a mix of jumps and flat racing today, and Tim Geers has picked out his three best bets on the card.

He’s betting in Race 4, Race 6 and Race 7.

Find his tips for Day 1 of The Bool below!

Moneyball

 

215372

Race 1

Lets Make It Grand Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
11:20am (AEDT)

Race 1

Lets Make It Grand Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
11:20am (AEDT)

1. Beachgoer (11) J: Ronan Short (69.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
5.55.55.1
2. Buffalo Bill (6) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
312630
3. Elope To Vegas (2) J: Richard O'donoghue (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
192120
4. Lord Pierro (9) J: Ms Megan Dunseath (69.5kg) T: P A Preusker
8.599.1
5. Periscope (5) J: Daniel Small (69.5kg) T: P F Ryan
8.58.58.3
6. Portland Jimmy (4) J: Aaron Kuru (69.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
2.152.22.05
7. Rocky Raccoon (12) J: Ross O'Sullivan (69.5kg) T: Thomas Carberry
8. The Beehive (7) J: Will Gordon (69.5kg) T: Ms K Durden
131313.2
9. Yulong Place (10) J: Braidon Small (69.5kg) T: Ms L Shand
414143
10. Zouy's Comet (8) J: Arron Lynch (69.5kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
101010
11. Flying Pierro (1) J: Chris Mccarthy (69.5kg) T: A Rosolini
345149
12. Road To Blue Sky (3) J: (69.5kg) T: Eric Musgrove
215372

Race 2

Cally Hotel Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
12:00pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Cally Hotel Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
12:00pm (AEDT)

1. Beefeater (3) J: Aaron Kuru (69.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
554.6
2. Count Zero (9) J: Will Gordon (69.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
2.452.42.3
3. Gravistas (7) J: Richard O'donoghue (69.5kg) T: M G Nolan
131312.6
4. Jeune Elvis (6) J: Braidon Small (69.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell
201917
5. Joshua Reynolds (8) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
101212.2
6. Mighty Oasis (4) J: Aaron Mitchell (69.5kg) T: Andrew Bobbin
555.1
7. Zedstar (5) J: Steven Pateman (69.5kg) T: Brett Scott
777.6
8. Zoffany Rocket (11) J: Chris Mccarthy (3) (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
151717.2
9. Hakuna Matata (1) J: Lee Horner (67.5kg) T: Paul Preusker
10. Rough Beauty (2) J: Ross O'sullivan (67.5kg) T: Nathan Newton
919177
11. Arlington Valley (10) J: Arron Lynch (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
919193

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 12:05pm (AEDT)

215372

Race 3

G Taylor Memorial Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

Race 3

G Taylor Memorial Mdn Hrdl (3200m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

1. Bow Thruster (4) J: Daniel Small (69.5kg) T: Q J Scott
313125.5
2. Dr Dependable (6) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (69.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
212123.5
3. Historic (7) J: Steven Pateman (69.5kg) T: Steven Pateman
171717.2
4. Killourney (5) J: Lee Horner (69.5kg) T: P A Preusker
1.51.451.44
5. Not Usual Dream (2) J: Will Gordon (69.5kg) T: Brett Scott
191919.2
6. Rider In The Snow (3) J: Aaron Kuru (69.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
4.84.64.8
7. Tolemac (11) J: Ronan Short (69.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
12119.9
8. Lady Fiorente (9) J: Selim Agbal (67.5kg) T: Emma Collins
515153
9. Onset (10) J: Richard O'donoghue (67.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
191920.5
10. Shilajit (1) J: Aaron Mitchell (67.5kg) T: Dan O'sullivan
191917.8
11. Hey Happy (8) J: Aaron Kuru (69.5kg) T: Patrick Payne

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 12:44pm (AEDT)

215372

Race 4

R&M Security Mdn Plate (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

R&M Security Mdn Plate (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

1. Ahhhh Yes (5) J: Ms Melissa Julius (59.5kg) T: Ms J Baker
818183
2. Coastal Town (15) J: Joe Bowditch (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
131214.2
3. Dawn County (12) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: Clayton Douglas
3.43.23
4. Galathilion (13) J: Thomas Stockdale (59.5kg) T: Shea Eden
5. Harbin (9) J: Ethan Brown (59.5kg) T: L Smith
5.55.55
6. Idon'tgetit (4) J: Jarrod Fry (59.5kg) T: P A Chow
131412.8
7. Metal Rock (11) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig
66.55.7
8. Mio Capo (7) J: Ms Linda Meech (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
6.56.56.6
9. Mister Businessman (8) J: Damien Thornton (59.5kg) T: P A Chow
9.5108.6
10. Novique (14) J: Ms Kate Walters (59.5kg) T: S R Fisher
151101151
11. Pontedera (2) J: Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: Michael Hickmott
12. Birthday Suit (6) J: Jake Noonan (57.5kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
76.57.1
13. Eloped (1) J: Harry Grace (57.5kg) T: Jack Laing
415153
14. Sedated Award (3) J: Ms Tatum Bull (57.5kg) T: David Prior
126101131
15. Wewanda (10) J: J Beriman (57.5kg) T: Jackie Beriman

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 1:15pm (AEDT)

(5) Harbin blew the start by 5L at Terang and was held up until about the 200m before working home strongly to be beaten 2.2L. If he doesn’t make a mess of the start, he wins that race. Likely to be back again but hopefully he jumps cleanly. Home deck for Lindsey Smith, should go very close.

(7) Metal Rock is on debut for Tom Dabernig who has a 28% strike rate at Warrnambool, and John Allen has a 42% strike rate when riding for him. Big watch on him to make a winning start here.

Tip: (5) Harbin $5.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (7) Metal Rock $6.50 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Harbin, 0.5 units WIN Metal Rock

215372

Race 5

Callaghan Motors Gold Strike (1000m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Callaghan Motors Gold Strike (1000m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

1. Over Shady (5) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: M M Laurie
888.1
2. Soju Session (2) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
111012.2
3. Capital Express (7) J: Billy Egan (57kg) T: Nick Ryan
65.56
4. Bubble Palace (12) J: Harry Coffey (57kg) T: Daniel Bowman
2.352.32.15
5. Bound For Home (8) J: Declan Bates (57kg) T: Archie Alexander
6. Carolina Sunrise (10) J: Dean Holland (57kg) T: J P Salanitri
9.5109.9
7. Colorado Cruz (4) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: L & T Corstens
7.587.1
8. Dusse (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
55.55.2
9. Geminga (3) J: Blaike Mcdougall (57kg) T: Amy Mcdonald
10. I'm Over Dancing (9) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: Alexander Rae
11. Naughty Nitemare (1) J: Joe Bowditch (57kg) T: Shane Nichols
12. Shines Bright (11) J: Thomas Stockdale (57kg) T: G Eurell
415137

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 1:49pm (AEDT)

215372

Race 6

Scotty Stewart Brierly Stpl (3450m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Scotty Stewart Brierly Stpl (3450m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

1. Bit Of A Lad (3) J: Steven Pateman (70kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
5.55.54.8
2. Police Camp (7) J: Darryl Horner (Jnr) (65kg) T: Simon Ryan
262627.5
3. Britannicus (6) J: Arron Lynch (65kg) T: Symon Wilde
4.84.85.1
4. Valac (4) J: Aaron Mitchell (65kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
2.82.82.45
5. Vanguard (5) J: Will Gordon (65kg) T: Symon Wilde
2.82.62.85
6. Magnanimous Man (1) J: Aaron Kuru (65kg) T: P F Ryan
141414.8
7. My King's Counsel (8) J: Ronan Short (65kg) T: Ms K Durden
818183
8. Once Were Lost (2) J: Lee Horner (65kg) T: Amy Mcdonald

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 2:25pm (AEDT)

The Brierly Chase. (4) Valac could ahve bolted in first up at Pakenham over the jumps but Aaron Mitchell eased him up about 50m from the line and it nearly ended in disaster. If he didn’t ease him up, he probably wins that by a big margin. Think he shapes as the horse to beat here.

Tip: (4) Valac $2.90 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Valac

215372

Race 7

Mercedes-Benz (Bm70) (2350m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Mercedes-Benz (Bm70) (2350m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

1. Rudimental (14) J: Jamie Mott (62.5kg) T: Simon Zahra
2. Bakela (5) J: Harry Coffey (61kg) T: Dan O'sullivan
677165
3. Prince Ziggy (1) J: Ms Maddi Price (61kg) T: Jamie Edwards
344133
4. Irish Butterfly (9) J: Damien Thornton (60kg) T: Henry Dwyer
5. Fine Weather (16) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
98.58.8
6. Sign Seal Deliver (2) J: Declan Bates (59kg) T: Matthew Cumani
171713
7. Auf Weidersehen (18) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: Shea Eden
8. Boyszee (17) J: John Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.62.52.4
9. Cadbury Castle (3) J: Ethan Brown (56kg) T: L Smith
3.63.63.55
10. Obedience (11) J: Will Price (56kg) T: Matthew Cumani
181917.6
11. Young Hostess (7) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: Jamie Edwards
171817.2
12. Rising Archie (8) J: Joe Bowditch (55kg) T: P A Preusker
343432
13. Adaleene (4) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: Matthew Cumani
998.4
14. Mevius (15) J: Neil Farley (54kg) T: Thomas Carberry
262627.5
15. Astral Knight (12) J: Harry Grace (54kg) T: Simon Ryan
262627.5
16. Miss Charlee Lyn (10) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: Ms K Dufty
212121.5
17. Olifoet (6) J: Kate Walters (54kg) T: Bob & Kane Post
18. Magicain (13) J: Ben Price (54kg) T: M W Greig
151101161

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 2:59pm (AEDT)

(9) Cadbury Castle worked home strongly first up over 1850m at Terang before absolutely destroying his rivals at Geelong on the Heavy 10 last start when stepping up to 2400m. He’s a genuine stayer and obviously loves the wet ground. The margin may have been exaggerated because of the bog track but I think he’s a pretty good horse and on his home track over a similar distance here, I think he’ll be very hard to beat.

Tip: (9) Cadbury Castle $3.50 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Cadbury Castle

215372

Race 8

Magic Millions Nat. Sale Hcp (1700m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Magic Millions Nat. Sale Hcp (1700m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

1. Heart Of Puissance (4) J: John Allen (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.92.452.75
2. Bermadez (2) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: M D Moroney
443.75
3. Adelaide Ace (10) J: Patrick Moloney (58.5kg) T: L Smith
4.24.24.3
4. Think 'N' Fly (1) J: Josh Richards (56.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig
4.84.84.4
5. Guizot (9) J: Ms Linda Meech (55kg) T: Aaron Purcell
181815.4
6. The Big Buzz (11) J: Chad Schofield (54.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
213124
7. Indiana Lilly (6) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: Shea Eden
414143
8. Strategic Phil (8) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: D R Brideoake
343427.5
9. The Regiment (5) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: John Moloney
10. Sir Davy (3) J: Jamie Kah (54kg) T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
11. Saracen Knight (7) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: D T O'brien
262626.5

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 3:34pm (AEDT)

215372

Race 9

Choices Flooring Wbool (Bm70) (1200m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Choices Flooring Wbool (Bm70) (1200m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

1. Easy Beast (4) J: Dean Holland (63kg) T: Richard Laming
262126.5
2. The General (9) J: Thomas Stockdale (62.5kg) T: Richard Laming
3. Shotmaker (12) J: Hugh Bowman (62kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
7.576.4
4. Magnajet (1) J: Ben Price (61.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
9.59.59.5
5. Alsvin (3) J: Ms Kiran Quilty (60.5kg) T: Shea Eden
414143
6. Barcelona Rock (17) J: Ms Melissa Julius (60.5kg) T: Daniel Bowman
121210
7. Stripped Back (6) J: Ethan Brown (60.5kg) T: L Smith
3.232.8
8. As I Please (8) J: Ms Linda Meech (60kg) T: Symon Wilde
109.58.6
9. Boots Tarrington (10) J: Neil Farley (60kg) T: Ms M Cunningham
414133
10. Exceed Expect (18) J: Craig Newitt (60kg) T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
11. Branders Rule (13) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
262126.5
12. Energy Within (2) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig
898.9
13. Hinto Blue (5) J: Harry Coffey (59kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
161517.2
14. Minyinga (16) J: Jordan Childs (58.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards
414143
15. Millennial Girl (14) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: S R Fisher
16. Star Spirit (11) J: Declan Bates (57.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
666.6
17. Tydeus (7) J: Jarrod Fry (58.5kg) T: Reece Goodwin
212021.5
18. Mister Me (15) J: (56kg) T: Maddie Raymond

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 4:01pm (AEDT)

215372

Race 10

Tbred Club Of Australia-Bm64 (1100m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Tbred Club Of Australia-Bm64 (1100m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Condo's Express (5) J: Ms Kiran Quilty (64.5kg) T: Richard Laming
262627.5
2. Finance Choice (6) J: Damien Oliver (61.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig
3. Francine (4) J: Ms Linda Meech (61.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell
161717.2
4. Nerone (8) J: Dean Holland (61.5kg) T: Richard Laming
121113.2
5. A Good Yarn (3) J: Ms Mikaela Lawrence (60.5kg) T: M J Mckenzie
343435
6. Brazen Brando (2) J: Ms Tatum Bull (60.5kg) T: Dan O'sullivan
10191101
7. Hydro Star (10) J: Jamie Mott (60.5kg) T: John Mcardle
8. Moor Wanted (11) J: Ben Price (60.5kg) T: P A Chow
313123.5
9. Want To Bolt (15) J: Ms Maddi Price (60.5kg) T: K T Bourke
151101161
10. Home Rule (18) J: John Allen (60kg) T: Maddie Raymond
4.24.23.7
11. Archipeta Beach (7) J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg) T: John Mcardle
12. Little Miss Gutsaa (17) J: Daniel Moor (59kg) T: Jamie Edwards
111111
13. No Shame (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (58.5kg) T: Richard Laming
14. Sovereign Gold (12) J: Declan Bates (58.5kg) T: L Smith
262627.5
15. Lulu Darling (13) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: Michael Huglin
6.56.56.4
16. Sweet Mary (20) J: Jarrod Fry (58kg) T: Lindsey Smith
17. O'reilly Mcluke (14) J: Joe Bowditch (60kg) T: Symon Wilde
181716.4
18. Spinning (9) J: Blaike Mcdougall (57.5kg) T: Tom Dabernig
5.55.55.6
19. Rights Of Man (16) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: D T O'brien
44.23.55
20. Mask Up (19) J: H Coffey (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde

Odds Last Updated: May 3, 2022, 4:30pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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