Warwick Farm Racing Tips: Wednesday, December 22nd

Race 1 The Agency Real Estate Mdn Hcp (1000m) 2:20pm (AEDT)
1. Berry Berry Good (11) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: Jean Dubois
2. Captain Bond (1) J: James Innes Jnr (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
3. Man In The Mirror (2) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham		2.35		2.45	2.4
4. Monastery (9) J: (58kg) T: David Payne
5. Mr Putin (12) J: Tyler Schiller (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou		12		13	12
6. Narnia (5) J: (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
7. Northumbria (8) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: James Cummings		4.6		4.6	4.35
8. Sensationabull (6) J: Rory Hutchings (58kg) T: J G Sargent		19		21	20.5
9. D'arpano (7) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: T J Bartley		13		13	13
10. Kobenhavn (3) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: P & P Snowden		10		12	10.2
11. Paris Dior (4) J: Andrew Adkins (56kg) T: P & P Snowden		5.5		5	5.5
12. Proud Image (10) J: Regan Bayliss (56kg) T: J C Coyle		19		21	21

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 2:22pm (AEDT)

Been waiting to see the debut of (3) Man In The Mirror who has looked pretty smart at two recent trials. Obviously the Neasham stable is one of the hottest in Sydney at the moment and they just seem to keep churning out winners. Tommy Berry was on board for the most recent trial win and he sticks today from a nice low draw. Think he looks an up and coming youngster and looks a good way to start the day at WF.

(7) Northrumbia has won only trial leading into today and looked good doing so. McDonald rides today and you’d expect him to give the horse every chance here.

(10) Kobenhavn has race experience on her side following a 3rd on debut last prep. Stable have taken their time with her and she can run well.

Tip: (3) Man In The Mirror - $3.60 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Man In The Mirror

Race 2 Vinery Mdn Plate (1300m) 2:55pm (AEDT)
1. Arnold (2) J: Lee Magorrian (57kg) T: C J Waller		21		21	22.5
2. Circling (12) J: James Innes Jnr (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou		31		41	38
3. Cote Des Bar (9) J: Jeff Penza (57kg) T: C J Waller		91		101	101
4. Dio (6) J: Koby Jennings (57kg) T: C J Waller		17		16	15.8
5. Gulf Of Panama (13) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
6. Indifference (8) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: James Cummings		15		16	15.2
7. Lucky Sun (11) J: Tom Sherry (57kg) T: Mark Newnham		12		12	13
8. Mr Cheeky (18) J: Tyler Schiller (57kg) T: G D Hickman		71		91	83
9. Pizarro (1) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: J A O'shea		2.05		2.05	2.05
10. Publicist (10) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott		6		6	6.4
11. Regal Pom (4) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham		13		13	10.8
12. Rhythmboat (3) J: Glyn Schofield (57kg) T: C J Waller		51		51	47
13. Spitfire (5) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: G Portelli		31		26	29.5
14. Baden Road (15) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: J G Sargent		31		31	35
15. Jawaani (17) J: (55kg) T: Chris Waller
16. No Nay Jubilee (7) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (55kg) T: C J Waller		18		19	19.2
17. Donegal Lights (14) J: Keagan Latham (57kg) T: P & M Cave		31		31	30
18. Commands Respect (16) J: Unknown (55kg) T: John Thompson

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 2:57pm (AEDT)

(9) Pizzaro looks ready to win following two 2nds to start his career. He’s been favourite on both occasions but has had excuses and has run well on both occasions. The inside draw means he can sit closer today and deserves another chance.

(10) Publicist will be up on speed and ran well last prep. Looked good at a couple of recent trials and the form around the two maidens he ran in is strong.

(5) Gulf Of Panama was good on debut, running 2nd to a more experienced horse. Will take a heap of improvement from that and can win here.

Tip: (9) Pizzaro - $2.90 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Pizzaro

Race 3 Bowermans (Bm78) (2400m) 3:30pm (AEDT)
1. Oceanic Flash (1) J: Tom Sherry (59kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou		7.5		8.5	7.5
2. Ladylovestogamble (7) J: Ms Rachel King (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker		11		12	10.4
3. Master Shuhood (3) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: Richard Litt		10		10	11.2
4. Black Queen (6) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: C J Waller		3.6		3.7	3.6
5. Comme Bella Fille (2) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: J A O'shea		2		2.05	2
6. Summit Reach (4) J: Glyn Schofield (55kg) T: C J Waller		26		21	21
7. Atonement (8) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: Matthew Smith
8. Marakopa (5) J: Tyler Schiller (54kg) T: Robert Quinn		26		31	30

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 3:32pm (AEDT)

Some in from stayers go head to head here and I’ll side with (4) Black Queen who was heavily backed last start to win well again. Has now won three of last four and you would expect she sees every chance today in running. Looks on the up.

(5) Comme Bella Fille comes out of a strong form race behind a horse who has since come out and won again on Saturday. She looks suited back to the midweeks and rising to this trip for the first time will be a positive.

(1) Oceanic Flash just keeps managaing to find the line well and will be in search of a fourth straight win. If he handles 2400m he will take some running down yet again.

Tip: (4) Black Queen - $4.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Black Queen

Race 4 Keeneland (Bm72) (1100m) 4:05pm (AEDT)
1. Hard Landing (4) J: Tom Sherry (60.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle		18		19	19.2
2. He's Super Lucky (8) J: Tyler Schiller (60.5kg) T: Ms A Turner		9.5		9	9.9
3. Jailbreak (7) J: Chris Williams (60.5kg) T: Ms G Williams		17		19	18.4
4. Rule Of Law (3) J: Jason Collett (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker		1.9		1.9	1.86
5. Astero (2) J: Jay Ford (58.5kg) T: Matthew Smith		11		11	10.8
6. Damaged (1) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: Richard Litt		8		8	7.9
7. Warrior Hero (5) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: R & M Freedman		5		5	5
8. Secretively (9) J: Jeff Penza (56.5kg) T: A J Cummings
9. Moralist (6) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (55.5kg) T: Matthew Smith

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 4:07pm (AEDT)

Was keen on (4) Rule Of Law first up following a gelding operation and he bolted in following some smart trial form. Looks a completely different horse this prep and he might be finally putting it all together at the new stable. This looks a logical rise in grade and should be able to dictate out on front yet again from barrier 3.

(5) Astero looks a good value chance and can run a race fresh. Has a good first up record and won a trial leading into this. Is another who is lightly raced and can improve this prep.

Tip: (4) Rule Of Law - $2.90 at Bet365

Value: (5) Astero - $9.00 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Rule Of Law, 0.5u WIN Astero

Race 5 Xxxx (Bm72) (1600m) 4:40pm (AEDT)
1. New King (4) J: Tyler Schiller (60.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
2. Miss Einstein (11) J: James Mcdonald (59.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker		3.7		4.2	4.05
3. Canyonero (6) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: Richard Litt		13		14	13.2
4. Atlantic King (12) J: Regan Bayliss (58.5kg) T: M J Dunn		8		8.5	8.6
5. Jungle Book (9) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: Clare Cunningham		5		4.8	4.95
6. Sidereal (2) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: R & M Freedman		11		10	9.5
7. Majella (8) J: Glyn Schofield (56kg) T: Matthew Smith		10		10	9.9
8. Schoona The Better (13) J: (55kg) T: Allan Kehoe
9. Segrill (7) J: Tom Sherry (54kg) T: C E Conners		4.8		4.6	4.55
10. Departing Bullet (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54kg) T: P Niceforo		26		26	21.5
11. Clear Blonde (5) J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg) T: J C Coyle		67		81	71
12. Weekend Affair (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J C Coyle
13. King Ratel (3) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (54kg) T: Bryce Heys		12		11	12.2

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 4:42pm (AEDT)

(5) Jungle Book will enjoy getting back to his favoured Warwick Farm track and also stepping up to a more suitable trip. Wasn’t terrible fresh over a much shorter trip and I think he’s good enough to win this.

(2) Miss Einstein started a short-priced favourite in a tougher race than this last start. There was some post race issues there and she looks the class in this field.

(9) Segrill just doesn’t know how to run a bad race lately, placing in five of last six runs. Can’t knock that consistency.

Tip: (5) Jungle Book - $7.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 6 Ranvet (Bm72) (1100m) 5:15pm (AEDT)
1. Hibiscus Lady (16) J: Andrew Adkins (59.5kg) T: R J Quinton
2. Pick The Score (4) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (58.5kg) T: C E Conners		61		71	73
3. Russbuss (12) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker		34		31	31
4. Authentic Jewel (5) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: Brad Widdup		8		7.5	8
5. Calescent (3) J: Ms Amy Mclucas (58kg) T: Matthew Dale
6. Miss Bosetti (11) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: P & P Snowden
7. Miss Jay Fox (10) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
8. Windsweep (13) J: Rory Hutchings (58kg) T: P & P Snowden		67		91	67
9. Quatenus (1) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: James Cummings		2.8		2.8	2.95
10. Rubinocchi (6) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: Joseph Pride		9		8.5	8.9
11. Chervil (7) J: Ms Jess Taylor (56.5kg) T: J C Coyle		81		91	77
12. Sneaky Paige (9) J: Tyler Schiller (56kg) T: Mark Newnham		6.5		6.5	6.4
13. Twitch (2) J: Tom Sherry (56kg) T: Mark Newnham		6.5		6.5	7.1
14. Atlantic Seas (14) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: C J Waller		6.5		6.5	5.6
15. Flash Point (8) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: John Thompson		19		19	15.6
16. Mosht Up (15) J: (54kg) T: Stephen Schofield

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 5:17pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on (9) Quatenus who was beaten by the wide gate last start. Draws much nicer today Jmac takes over. She’s third up and looks ready to win again as she continues to build a very nice record. She looks ready to rise slightly in trip so the extra 100m should only be a positive.

(4) Authentic Jewel is airborne and beat home 9 and 10 last start. Does get up in the weights now however but should be forward in run and could get away with it.

(10) Rubinocchi has run 2nd on both occasions this prep and looks ready to peak now. Was a winner 3rd up last time in work and she will be thereabouts again.

Tip: (9) Quatenus - $3.20 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 2.5u WIN Quatenus

Race 7 Tab (Bm72) (1300m) 5:50pm (AEDT)
1. O'mudgee (15) J: Jenny Duggan (62kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2. Zell (5) J: Jay Ford (62kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou		31		41	32
3. Mensa Missile (2) J: Regan Bayliss (61kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott		4.8		5.5	5.1
4. Rubamos (6) J: James Mcdonald (60.5kg) T: C J Waller		3.6		3.5	3.4
5. Kutayha (20) J: Tyler Schiller (60kg) T: C J Waller
6. Mccormack (14) J: Glyn Schofield (60kg) T: T J Bartley		91		71	111
7. Vienna Rain (1) J: Koby Jennings (59kg) T: Nathan Doyle		21		20	21
8. Construct (11) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden		8.5		7.5	8.5
9. Deadly Impact (12) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: M J Dunn		34		34	40
10. Briars Kingdom (13) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: P & P Snowden		19		17	17.6
11. Loch Lomond (18) J: (58kg) T: Kris Lees
12. Time Raid (19) J: Rory Hutchings (58kg) T: C Karakatsanis		81		81	111
13. Rules Don't Apply (4) J: Lee Magorrian (57.5kg) T: C J Waller		81		71	83
14. Bowery Breeze (16) J: Keagan Latham (57kg) T: P & M Cave		18		17	17.8
15. Zoumist (7) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman		19		19	19.6
16. Tick Tock Boom (17) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Annabel Neasham
17. Too Much Lippy (3) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou		4.8		4.8	4.7
18. Born A Warrior (10) J: Andrew Adkins (55.5kg) T: R J Quinton		31		31	27
19. Marnix (8) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Richard Litt		21		20	22
20. Chervil (9) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: J C Coyle

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 5:52pm (AEDT)

(17) Too Much Lippy is the query runner here and looks a horse who is well on the up. Has strung together two good wins, running decent time in both. She is rising in grade again but gets well down in the weights and I think she is good enough.

(4) Rubamos was hammered in betting last start and somehow was beaten in as close a photo finish as you’ll see. Should be hard fit now and will be suited stepping back in trip.

(3) Mensa Missile is unbeaten 2nd up and was very good fresh. Should come on from that and will take some running down.

Tip: (17) Too Much Lippy - $6.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Too Much Lippy