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Warwick Farm Racing Tips: Wednesday, December 22nd

Billy Bestford is back to preview every race on the card at Warwick Farm.

WarwickFarmRacecourse

Midweek racing heads to Warwick Farm for a good seven race card. The track is currently rated a good 4 while the rail is in the true position.

Billy Bestford is back to preview all the day’s action and has found his best bets across the meeting.

Best Bet: Race 6 – (9) Quatenus

Best Value: Race 4 – (5) Astero

205486

Race 1

The Agency Real Estate Mdn Hcp (1000m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

Race 1

The Agency Real Estate Mdn Hcp (1000m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

1. Berry Berry Good (11) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: Jean Dubois
2. Captain Bond (1) J: James Innes Jnr (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
3. Man In The Mirror (2) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
2.352.452.4
4. Monastery (9) J: (58kg) T: David Payne
5. Mr Putin (12) J: Tyler Schiller (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
121312
6. Narnia (5) J: (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
7. Northumbria (8) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: James Cummings
4.64.64.35
8. Sensationabull (6) J: Rory Hutchings (58kg) T: J G Sargent
192120.5
9. D'arpano (7) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: T J Bartley
131313
10. Kobenhavn (3) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: P & P Snowden
101210.2
11. Paris Dior (4) J: Andrew Adkins (56kg) T: P & P Snowden
5.555.5
12. Proud Image (10) J: Regan Bayliss (56kg) T: J C Coyle
192121

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 2:22pm (AEDT)

Been waiting to see the debut of (3) Man In The Mirror who has looked pretty smart at two recent trials. Obviously the Neasham stable is one of the hottest in Sydney at the moment and they just seem to keep churning out winners. Tommy Berry was on board for the most recent trial win and he sticks today from a nice low draw. Think he looks an up and coming youngster and looks a good way to start the day at WF.

(7) Northrumbia has won only trial leading into today and looked good doing so. McDonald rides today and you’d expect him to give the horse every chance here.

(10) Kobenhavn has race experience on her side following a 3rd on debut last prep. Stable have taken their time with her and she can run well.

Tip: (3) Man In The Mirror - $3.60 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Man In The Mirror

205486

Race 2

Vinery Mdn Plate (1300m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Vinery Mdn Plate (1300m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

1. Arnold (2) J: Lee Magorrian (57kg) T: C J Waller
212122.5
2. Circling (12) J: James Innes Jnr (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
314138
3. Cote Des Bar (9) J: Jeff Penza (57kg) T: C J Waller
91101101
4. Dio (6) J: Koby Jennings (57kg) T: C J Waller
171615.8
5. Gulf Of Panama (13) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
6. Indifference (8) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: James Cummings
151615.2
7. Lucky Sun (11) J: Tom Sherry (57kg) T: Mark Newnham
121213
8. Mr Cheeky (18) J: Tyler Schiller (57kg) T: G D Hickman
719183
9. Pizarro (1) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: J A O'shea
2.052.052.05
10. Publicist (10) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
666.4
11. Regal Pom (4) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
131310.8
12. Rhythmboat (3) J: Glyn Schofield (57kg) T: C J Waller
515147
13. Spitfire (5) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: G Portelli
312629.5
14. Baden Road (15) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: J G Sargent
313135
15. Jawaani (17) J: (55kg) T: Chris Waller
16. No Nay Jubilee (7) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (55kg) T: C J Waller
181919.2
17. Donegal Lights (14) J: Keagan Latham (57kg) T: P & M Cave
313130
18. Commands Respect (16) J: Unknown (55kg) T: John Thompson

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 2:57pm (AEDT)

(9) Pizzaro looks ready to win following two 2nds to start his career. He’s been favourite on both occasions but has had excuses and has run well on both occasions. The inside draw means he can sit closer today and deserves another chance.

(10) Publicist will be up on speed and ran well last prep. Looked good at a couple of recent trials and the form around the two maidens he ran in is strong.

(5) Gulf Of Panama was good on debut, running 2nd to a more experienced horse. Will take a heap of improvement from that and can win here.

Tip: (9) Pizzaro - $2.90 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Pizzaro

205486

Race 3

Bowermans (Bm78) (2400m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Bowermans (Bm78) (2400m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

1. Oceanic Flash (1) J: Tom Sherry (59kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
7.58.57.5
2. Ladylovestogamble (7) J: Ms Rachel King (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
111210.4
3. Master Shuhood (3) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: Richard Litt
101011.2
4. Black Queen (6) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
3.63.73.6
5. Comme Bella Fille (2) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: J A O'shea
22.052
6. Summit Reach (4) J: Glyn Schofield (55kg) T: C J Waller
262121
7. Atonement (8) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: Matthew Smith
8. Marakopa (5) J: Tyler Schiller (54kg) T: Robert Quinn
263130

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 3:32pm (AEDT)

Some in from stayers go head to head here and I’ll side with (4) Black Queen who was heavily backed last start to win well again. Has now won three of last four and you would expect she sees every chance today in running. Looks on the up.

(5) Comme Bella Fille comes out of a strong form race behind a horse who has since come out and won again on Saturday. She looks suited back to the midweeks and rising to this trip for the first time will be a positive.

(1) Oceanic Flash just keeps managaing to find the line well and will be in search of a fourth straight win. If he handles 2400m he will take some running down yet again.

Tip: (4) Black Queen - $4.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Black Queen

205486

Race 4

Keeneland (Bm72) (1100m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Keeneland (Bm72) (1100m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

1. Hard Landing (4) J: Tom Sherry (60.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle
181919.2
2. He's Super Lucky (8) J: Tyler Schiller (60.5kg) T: Ms A Turner
9.599.9
3. Jailbreak (7) J: Chris Williams (60.5kg) T: Ms G Williams
171918.4
4. Rule Of Law (3) J: Jason Collett (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1.91.91.86
5. Astero (2) J: Jay Ford (58.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
111110.8
6. Damaged (1) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: Richard Litt
887.9
7. Warrior Hero (5) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
555
8. Secretively (9) J: Jeff Penza (56.5kg) T: A J Cummings
9. Moralist (6) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (55.5kg) T: Matthew Smith

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 4:07pm (AEDT)

Was keen on (4) Rule Of Law first up following a gelding operation and he bolted in following some smart trial form. Looks a completely different horse this prep and he might be finally putting it all together at the new stable. This looks a logical rise in grade and should be able to dictate out on front yet again from barrier 3.

(5) Astero looks a good value chance and can run a race fresh. Has a good first up record and won a trial leading into this. Is another who is lightly raced and can improve this prep.

Tip: (4) Rule Of Law - $2.90 at Bet365

Value: (5) Astero - $9.00 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Rule Of Law, 0.5u WIN Astero

205486

Race 5

Xxxx (Bm72) (1600m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Xxxx (Bm72) (1600m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

1. New King (4) J: Tyler Schiller (60.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
2. Miss Einstein (11) J: James Mcdonald (59.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3.74.24.05
3. Canyonero (6) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: Richard Litt
131413.2
4. Atlantic King (12) J: Regan Bayliss (58.5kg) T: M J Dunn
88.58.6
5. Jungle Book (9) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: Clare Cunningham
54.84.95
6. Sidereal (2) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: R & M Freedman
11109.5
7. Majella (8) J: Glyn Schofield (56kg) T: Matthew Smith
10109.9
8. Schoona The Better (13) J: (55kg) T: Allan Kehoe
9. Segrill (7) J: Tom Sherry (54kg) T: C E Conners
4.84.64.55
10. Departing Bullet (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54kg) T: P Niceforo
262621.5
11. Clear Blonde (5) J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg) T: J C Coyle
678171
12. Weekend Affair (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J C Coyle
13. King Ratel (3) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (54kg) T: Bryce Heys
121112.2

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 4:42pm (AEDT)

(5) Jungle Book will enjoy getting back to his favoured Warwick Farm track and also stepping up to a more suitable trip. Wasn’t terrible fresh over a much shorter trip and I think he’s good enough to win this.

(2) Miss Einstein started a short-priced favourite in a tougher race than this last start. There was some post race issues there and she looks the class in this field.

(9) Segrill just doesn’t know how to run a bad race lately, placing in five of last six runs. Can’t knock that consistency.

Tip: (5) Jungle Book - $7.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: No Bet

205486

Race 6

Ranvet (Bm72) (1100m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Ranvet (Bm72) (1100m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

1. Hibiscus Lady (16) J: Andrew Adkins (59.5kg) T: R J Quinton
2. Pick The Score (4) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (58.5kg) T: C E Conners
617173
3. Russbuss (12) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
343131
4. Authentic Jewel (5) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: Brad Widdup
87.58
5. Calescent (3) J: Ms Amy Mclucas (58kg) T: Matthew Dale
6. Miss Bosetti (11) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: P & P Snowden
7. Miss Jay Fox (10) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
8. Windsweep (13) J: Rory Hutchings (58kg) T: P & P Snowden
679167
9. Quatenus (1) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: James Cummings
2.82.82.95
10. Rubinocchi (6) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: Joseph Pride
98.58.9
11. Chervil (7) J: Ms Jess Taylor (56.5kg) T: J C Coyle
819177
12. Sneaky Paige (9) J: Tyler Schiller (56kg) T: Mark Newnham
6.56.56.4
13. Twitch (2) J: Tom Sherry (56kg) T: Mark Newnham
6.56.57.1
14. Atlantic Seas (14) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
6.56.55.6
15. Flash Point (8) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: John Thompson
191915.6
16. Mosht Up (15) J: (54kg) T: Stephen Schofield

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 5:17pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on (9) Quatenus who was beaten by the wide gate last start. Draws much nicer today Jmac takes over. She’s third up and looks ready to win again as she continues to build a very nice record. She looks ready to rise slightly in trip so the extra 100m should only be a positive.

(4) Authentic Jewel is airborne and beat home 9 and 10 last start. Does get up in the weights now however but should be forward in run and could get away with it.

(10) Rubinocchi has run 2nd on both occasions this prep and looks ready to peak now. Was a winner 3rd up last time in work and she will be thereabouts again.

 

 

Tip: (9) Quatenus - $3.20 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 2.5u WIN Quatenus

205486

Race 7

Tab (Bm72) (1300m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Tab (Bm72) (1300m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

1. O'mudgee (15) J: Jenny Duggan (62kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2. Zell (5) J: Jay Ford (62kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
314132
3. Mensa Missile (2) J: Regan Bayliss (61kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.85.55.1
4. Rubamos (6) J: James Mcdonald (60.5kg) T: C J Waller
3.63.53.4
5. Kutayha (20) J: Tyler Schiller (60kg) T: C J Waller
6. Mccormack (14) J: Glyn Schofield (60kg) T: T J Bartley
9171111
7. Vienna Rain (1) J: Koby Jennings (59kg) T: Nathan Doyle
212021
8. Construct (11) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
8.57.58.5
9. Deadly Impact (12) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: M J Dunn
343440
10. Briars Kingdom (13) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: P & P Snowden
191717.6
11. Loch Lomond (18) J: (58kg) T: Kris Lees
12. Time Raid (19) J: Rory Hutchings (58kg) T: C Karakatsanis
8181111
13. Rules Don't Apply (4) J: Lee Magorrian (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
817183
14. Bowery Breeze (16) J: Keagan Latham (57kg) T: P & M Cave
181717.8
15. Zoumist (7) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
191919.6
16. Tick Tock Boom (17) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Annabel Neasham
17. Too Much Lippy (3) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
4.84.84.7
18. Born A Warrior (10) J: Andrew Adkins (55.5kg) T: R J Quinton
313127
19. Marnix (8) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Richard Litt
212022
20. Chervil (9) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: J C Coyle

Odds Last Updated: December 22, 2021, 5:52pm (AEDT)

(17) Too Much Lippy is the query runner here and looks a horse who is well on the up. Has strung together two good wins, running decent time in both. She is rising in grade again but gets well down in the weights and I think she is good enough.

(4) Rubamos was hammered in betting last start and somehow was beaten in as close a photo finish as you’ll see. Should be hard fit now and will be suited stepping back in trip.

(3) Mensa Missile is unbeaten 2nd up and was very good fresh. Should come on from that and will take some running down.

Tip: (17) Too Much Lippy - $6.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Too Much Lippy

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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