Racing comes back to Geelong where we find some low-rated races, but some quality runners keen to chalk-up their next win.
The Horse has found a few to follow in Race 1, Race 4 and Race 7.
Geelong Race 1
Pretty keen to have a throw at the stumps here on the unraced (12) Retrovailles. The Price/Kent runner went around at a Terang jumpout pretty stylishly against a reasonable field, and if she repeats the does here—which is not an overly strong maiden—she should be well in contention. Jye McNeil gets the ride which is a positive.
Another unraced runner (11) Pelorus Princess won a trial coming into this, so also every chance to improve and be in the mix. Unfortunately the market has found both new starters. (2) Gumnuts for the Godolphin stable cannot be ignored, while (8) In Hot Water looks to be the one at odds.
Geelong Race 4
(13) Mandible for the Freedman stable is second-up after a solid second place over 1200 metres at Mornington. Really liked the way she looked once she found some room, and was pretty unlucky not to have probably taken out that race. Positively, she has presumably come on since that first run, and Damien Thornton sticks on. The query is the nasty wide draw (gate 15) which might see her drop right back conceding significant ground.
Outside the top pick, (2) Zoudini could go on with it today, who similarly ran well to place second in his first start. Likewise, the wide gate could prove the fly in the ointment. It is tough to split the two. Ethan Brown takes the ride on Zoudini instead of another runner which he placed second on last start (9) Quarterback Zac. Despite this lead, if there is one at odds, than Zac could be it. Currently around $31, he was around ninth in the run but closed out well to beat all-but one. From there, it is a complete dart-job.
Tip: (13) Mandible $3.40 (Sportsbet) SCRATCHED
Geelong Race 7
This is a pretty good race for a CL1 on a Tuesday. (2) Fiery Red is back following a 199 day spell, where the Waterhouse/Bott gelding out of Pierro ran third to Big Parade. We all saw what Big Parade did on the weekend! She has also ran unsuccessfully in Group 2 and Group 3 company at previous preparations, so if she is anywhere near stable expectations, she is going to give a great site. Especially jumping from the inside gate where she will get an easy lead. She could simply run them into the ground. She won a jumpout coming into this race, and has won first-up.
(10) Awapuni Princess could be something quite special—winning her only start by 2.5 lengths. The market has already found her in betting. (8) Galactus broke the maiden after nine starts, and can easily make the jump after quite a number of consistent performances in the lower grade. (6) Aeecee Diamond has been racing well without winning, while (4) Realexa has shown plenty of ability too.
The sectionals speak to Awapuni Princess as a leading contender, while the race sets-up nicely for Fiery Red. Looks like a good race to hedge some bets.
Also backing: (2) Fiery Red $9.00 (TAB)
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