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Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Friday, December 17th

Racing at The Valley on Friday night and Trent Crebbin has previewed every race below.

Moonee Valley tips

Racing continues at Moonee Valley on Friday night with hot conditions expected.

Trent Crebbin has done the form and his best bet comes up in Race 6.

The track is a good 4 but will likely be upgraded to a good 3 and could be firmer, with the rail true. Expect on pace horses to be suited.

Best Bet- Race 6 (9) Poppy Joan

Best Value- Race 5 (2) Pravro

TAB Sky Racing

205109

Race 1

Front Runner Membership Mdn (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Front Runner Membership Mdn (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Django Express (4) J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
3.23.43.05
2. Holy Smokescreen (9) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (59.5kg) T: S V Brown
9181101
3. Palani (10) J: John Allen (58kg) T: D T O'brien
76.56.6
4. Shouri Lad (7) J: Luke Currie (58kg) T: Robert Hickmott
262125
5. Tricology (8) J: Luke Nolen (58kg) T: P G Moody
6. Van Roy (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: D R Brideoake
4.244.2
7. Ultra Instinct (6) J: Teodore Nugent (57.5kg) T: M & L Cerchi
8. Wicked Missile (12) J: Ms Samantha Noble (57.5kg) T: S G Noble
676183
9. Brillant Sapphire (13) J: Jarrod Fry (56kg) T: John Moloney
10. Indy Rose Warrior (1) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
3.23.33.3
11. Serene Moon (3) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (56kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
109.510.8
12. Sweet Bella (11) J: Josh Richards (56kg) T: C J Davis
7110187
13. Cranky Sheriff (2) J: Joe Bowditch (57.5kg) T: Nathan Hobson
101151161

Odds Last Updated: December 17, 2021, 6:17pm (AEDT)

(10) Indy Rose Warrior has run well at her last two at this T/D. She was a touch weak last start but went quite slowly in front and was in the worse ground. She’ll lead from barrier 1 and take some running down, but this is D-Day.

(5) Tricology was good on debut at Mornington, getting back and sustaining a long run to just miss the leader. They put a good gap on 3rd there and with even luck from a tricky barrier he’ll be coming over the top of them.

(1) Django Express ran well in two career starts last prep and maps well from barrier 4. This is his first time on a dry track and he might improve.

Tip: (10) Indy Rose Warrior- $5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Indy Rose Warrior

205109

Race 2

Dynamic Print Group (Bm64) (1200m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Dynamic Print Group (Bm64) (1200m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Danny's St Darci (2) J: Josh Richards (60.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
3.43.43.2
2. Destiny Diamond (8) J: Joe Bowditch (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
3. Dueastar (4) J: Dean Yendall (59.5kg) T: M J Williams
4. Lady Adelaide (7) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
4.44.24.6
5. Throntari (5) J: Damien Thornton (59.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
9.59.510.2
6. For Real Life (6) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: L & T Corstens
554.7
7. Moon And Back (1) J: Luke Currie (59kg) T: Andrew Noblet
161715.2
8. Moon Over Alice (10) J: Alana Kelly (59kg) T: Daniel Bowman
9. Rioyuki (9) J: John Allen (59kg) T: M J Williams
55.55.4
10. Shame For Fame (3) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
10119.9

Odds Last Updated: December 17, 2021, 6:47pm (AEDT)

(6) For Real Life wasn’t given much hope here last start, sitting 3 wide no cover on speed. She was there until the 150m mark and faded to be beaten 6L but given the run she had it wasn’t a bad effort. There’s precious little speed here and Olly going on is a huge positive- she should be able to sit outside the leader and control the race.

(1) Danny’s St Darci was held up at a crucial stage in the same race before sneaking up the inside and finishing well for 2nd. She wouldn’t have beaten the winner but still beat For Real Life home by a few lengths and has to be respected from a soft gate.

(9) Rioyuki has won a jumpout since her last run behind Espiona at Flemington, beaten a long way but not disgraced by a potential superstar.

(7) Moon And Back will lead from barrier 1 but would need bias in her favour because 1200m is a big query.

Tip: (6) For Real Life- $7.00 at Sportsbet

Also Backing: (1) Danny’s St Darci- $4.60 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN For Real Life, 0.5 units WIN Danny’s St Darci

205109

Race 3

Happy 50Th Travis Pitt (Bm70) (3000m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Happy 50Th Travis Pitt (Bm70) (3000m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

1. Monmouth (9) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (61kg) T: Ms A Bennett
181819.2
2. Into Rio (6) J: Ben Allen (59kg) T: C F Hyland
111111.2
3. Ourkhani (1) J: Ms Alana Kelly (59kg) T: R & C Jolly
4.54.64.3
4. Guns Ablazing (4) J: Damien Oliver (58.5kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi
66.56.3
5. Saving (8) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: Andrea Leek
2.52.52.4
6. Aberlady (10) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56kg) T: Andrew Homann
101011.2
7. Lindelani (3) J: Daniel Moor (55kg) T: Michael Trotter
181919.2
8. Royelle (2) J: Josh Richards (55kg) T: M C Kent
121112
9. I Arize (7) J: Tatum Bull (55kg) T: Steven Pateman
10. Sivar (5) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (55kg) T: Peter Lafferty
514163

Odds Last Updated: December 17, 2021, 7:18pm (AEDT)

Looks a fairly simple two horse play in the 3000m race. (5) Saving bolted in here over 2500m two back before being taken on at Sandown last start, setting a strong tempo in front which set it up for Tigertiger to swoop. Back to The Valley and with Kah on board, he’ll be hard to run down.

(6) Aberlady clearly comes out of the best race, beaten 2.8L in the Sandown Cup over 3200m. She was good prior here over 2500m, albeit in a much slower run race than Saving’s win. She’s proven at the longer trip and this is a much more suitable race.

(3) Ourkhani has been going well in SA without winning, the latest over 2500m at Morphettville. He hasn’t won in 70 weeks is the main query.

 

Tip: (5) Saving- $2.80 at Ladbrokes

Also Backing: (6) Aberlady- $7.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Saving, 0.5 units WIN Aberlady

205109

Race 4

Opus Group (Bm64) (1600m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Opus Group (Bm64) (1600m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

1. Humble Pie (3) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (64kg) T: Symon Wilde
5.55.55.6
2. Dubai Dominion (1) J: Logan Mcneil (62.5kg) T: Andrew Bobbin
212118.6
3. Westbrook Park (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (62.5kg) T: Joshua Julius
99.58.1
4. Spanish Snitzel (7) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (62kg) T: C V Kelly
2.93.23.25
5. Yanacocha (2) J: John Allen (62kg) T: Robert Hickmott
6. Fontein Diamond (12) J: Ms Alana Kelly (61kg) T: Ben Brisbourne
7. Spanish Tides (5) J: Josh Richards (61kg) T: Luke Oliver
444.05
8. Just Stellar (10) J: Teodore Nugent (57.5kg) T: C J Davis
343135
9. Toffee Doll (9) J: Ethan Brown (57.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
11129.4
10. Judge Jeanine (8) J: Lachlan King (57kg) T: S V Brown
141513.2
11. Red Cracker (11) J: Ms Tatum Bull (56kg) T: R F Donat
212123.5
12. Benjamery (6) J: Dean Holland (55kg) T: Sylvia Thompson
313428

Odds Last Updated: December 17, 2021, 7:47pm (AEDT)

Tricky race. (4) Spanish Snitzel is the $3 favourite which looks too short. He’s ready to win 3rd up but gets back in the field with the 3kg claimer on.

(6) Fontein Diamond was solid on speed at this T/D last start and will look to cross and lead again. She went quite slowly in front there in a messy race so perhaps the wide gate and Kelly replacing Lloyd will ensure she puts the pressure on.

(1) Humble Pie was good first up and suited up in trip, but may need 2000m and one more to be ready.

Tip: (6) Fontein Diamond- $6.00 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Fontein Diamond

205109

Race 5

Ladbrokes 55 Second Chall-Bm64 (955m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ladbrokes 55 Second Chall-Bm64 (955m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Heavenly Bridges (9) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (62.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
131514.8
2. Pravro (16) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (62.5kg) T: Ms G Johnstone
202121.5
3. Ashtrain (8) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (62kg) T: D J Mccarthy
262632
4. Sweetzou (13) J: Matthew Cartwright (62kg) T: J D Sadler
3.73.63.7
5. The Commoner (4) J: Josh Richards (61.5kg) T: M D Moroney
171616.2
6. El Salto (2) J: Luke Currie (61kg) T: Brent Stanley
131211.2
7. Big Day Out (15) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60.5kg) T: Craig Weeding
8. Passing Time (1) J: Daniel Stackhouse (60kg) T: Ms L Enright
111111.8
9. Francine (5) J: Daniel Moor (59kg) T: Aaron Purcell
111011.2
10. Raven's Blaze (7) J: Jake Noonan (59kg) T: A W Noonan
262123
11. Quality Diamond (12) J: Ben Allen (58.5kg) T: Ms N M Burke
12. Translation (11) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: James Cummings
554.85
13. Reward With Return (3) J: Craig Robertson (60.5kg) T: Nathan Hobson
313128
14. Zoutons (10) J: (60kg) T: Brendon Hearps
15. Ideas Man (14) J: Jamie Kah (59.5kg) T: David Jolly
16. Titans (6) J: Damien Thornton (57.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
665.4

Odds Last Updated: December 17, 2021, 8:17pm (AEDT)

Have to follow up with (2) Pravro at the price he is, despite Lloyd staying on, who gave him an awfully negative ride first up when smashed in betting. She had every opportunity to follow the 3 wide line before the turn but chose to stay in and ease off heels late, flashing into 2nd. The horse has a good 2nd up record and the market support first up was telling.

(4) Sweetzou was too good for Kev’s Girl first up, who has won one of these since. Small query with her is in most of her preps she’s won first up then spelled. She ran 2nd up last prep and was solid over 1100m so it’ll be interesting to see how she goes 2nd up staying at the 955m.

(1) Heavenly Bridges is a handy mare who has run well in stronger grade. She’s a winner over this course and could show up fresh.

Tip: (2) Pravro- $16.00/5.00 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Pravro

205109

Race 6

Pta Landscapes (Bm64) (2040m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Pta Landscapes (Bm64) (2040m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Mangione (12) J: Logan Mcneil (60.5kg) T: Andrew Bobbin
514149
2. Eaton (13) J: Teodore Nugent (60kg) T: M & L Cerchi
212022
3. Mystery Bad Guy (1) J: Michael Dee (60kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi
515157
4. Pissaro (2) J: Josh Richards (60kg) T: M C Kent
171716.6
5. Curly Burgin (14) J: Lewis German (59.5kg) T: D J Bourne
181618
6. Helmiton (6) J: Ms Alana Kelly (59.5kg) T: M J Ellerton
161814.2
7. Kiptanui (15) J: Craig Newitt (59.5kg) T: Ms W Kelly
8. Sacred Lass (7) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (59kg) T: P Stokes
3.33.33.45
9. Poppy Joan (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.42.52.45
10. Diamonds And Rust (9) J: Joe Bowditch (56.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
11. Hard Squeeze (3) J: Lachlan King (56.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
101010.2
12. Secret Sheema (10) J: Dean Holland (56.5kg) T: Ben Brisbourne
13. Inthelapofthegods (11) J: Lachlan Neindorf (58.5kg) T: Nathan Dunn
14. Hereforagoodtime (8) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
111110.6
15. Pentire's Spirit (5) J: Declan Bates (58kg) T: L Smith
262125.5

Odds Last Updated: December 17, 2021, 8:47pm (AEDT)

(9) Poppy Joan is ready to peak 3rd up after an unlucky run last start. She’s got upside and gets Kah on from a good gate to stalk the speed. In a race where most have met their mark, she’s the one that appeals.

I’m sick of (8) Sacred Lass who has run a 0.1L 2nd at this T/D her last two. Madi Lloyd stays on and I think she should’ve made the most of her claim and easy lead last start to take off early. She’s becoming very hard to back.

Tip: (9) Poppy Joan- $3.30 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Poppy Joan

205109

Race 7

Byerley Xmas Party (Bm64) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Byerley Xmas Party (Bm64) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

1. Demando (7) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (61.5kg) T: Andrew Noblet
887.3
2. Merle The Pearl (5) J: Josh Richards (61.5kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield
91111.2
3. Sweet Karolina (3) J: Damien Oliver (61.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
4.24.24.2
4. Gloves Are Off (10) J: Teodore Nugent (61kg) T: K Hann
5.55.55.6
5. Madam Superior (14) J: Jason Maskiell (61kg) T: M Cornish & Ms D Gaskin
6. Finesse Tess (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (60.5kg) T: K L Corstens
181815.2
7. Signorina (11) J: Ben Allen (60.5kg) T: D T O'brien
141413
8. Maddilyn Rose (12) J: Craig Newitt (60kg) T: Patrick Keane
212120.5
9. Queen Zyrah (2) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (60kg) T: Symon Wilde
141413
10. Sacred Legacy (1) J: Lachlan Neindorf (60kg) T: M M Laurie
101010
11. Apres La Mer (8) J: Jack Hill (59.5kg) T: D Binaisse
9.598.8
12. Roma's Wish (6) J: Ms Jade Darose (59.5kg) T: Leanne Doyle
676169
13. Escadora (13) J: Ms Jamie Kah (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
14. All's Fair (9) J: Ms Tatum Bull (58.5kg) T: S V Brown
141015.2

Odds Last Updated: December 17, 2021, 9:17pm (AEDT)

Tough race. (2) Merle The Pearl won two races last prep over 1400m and 1600m, the latter a good win in town. 1200m is the query.

(13) Escadora has upside with just the two runs last prep. She’s jumped out well and gets Kah on.

(4) Gloves Are Off was a surprise winner over this T/D last start but it was a tough win on speed. He draws wide here but will try hard again.

Not much interest betting here.

Tip: (4) Gloves Are Off- $5.00 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

205109

Race 8

Xtreme Freight (Bm64) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Xtreme Freight (Bm64) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Rathlin (2) J: Josh Richards (64kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
5.565.6
2. Brenlyn's Trooper (3) J: Ms Alana Kelly (63.5kg) T: Sylvia Thompson
9.59.59.6
3. Overkill (15) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (63.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4. Smart Elissim (16) J: Logan Mcneil (63kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
5. Fudging (12) J: Ms Tatum Bull (62.5kg) T: Jerome Hunter
343435
6. Rock Tycoon (10) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (62.5kg) T: Nathan Hobson
171617.2
7. Wise Hero (6) J: Lachlan Neindorf (62.5kg) T: Geon Singh
414147
8. Black Opal (5) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (61kg) T: J F Moloney
141215.2
9. La Caresse (13) J: Jye Mcneil (61kg) T: M M Laurie
7.578
10. Fixated (9) J: Daniel Stackhouse (60.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
11. Kermy (7) J: Ben Allen (60.5kg) T: P Stokes
121111.4
12. Show Some Decorum (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (60.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
111310
13. Sebsilk (11) J: Unknown (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
415149
14. Rights Of Man (14) J: Ms Jamie Kah (60kg) T: D T O'brien
2.72.72.65
15. Filip's Star (8) J: Liam Riordan (60kg) T: P Koumis
212121.5
16. Expectant (1) J: Dean Yendall (59.5kg) T: S P Nichols

Odds Last Updated: December 17, 2021, 9:47pm (AEDT)

(9) La Caresse had absolutely no luck at this T/D behind Savannah Cloud last start. He got into an awful spot on the rails and only got out at the 150m, with Jye barely able to start riding him out. His effort to finish 3rd to a couple of smart horses was good.

(14) Rights Of Man was just fair over 1000m first up, going through the line well for 3rd but never looking a threat. I think he’s been priced on potential and jockey/trainer over what he’s done to date, and he’ll need to be good from the wide gate. He needs two runners to come out, and I hope he does so we get better prices.

(6) Rock Tycoon sat 3 wide no cover on speed in the same race as Rights Of Man and was only 1.3L off that horse. I think he’s better over 1200m than 1000m and his very narrow 2nd to Imperial Lad over this T/D last prep reads very well for this. The draw is sticky again but he always goes around good odds.

Tip: (9) La Caresse- $4.80 at TopSport

Value: (6) Rock Tycoon- $11.00 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN La Caresse, 0.5 units WIN Rock Tycoon

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

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