Race 1
Ladbroke It Mdn Plate (1300m)
3:40pm (AEDT)
Race 1Ladbroke It Mdn Plate (1300m) |
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1. Silent Admirer
J: Unknown (59.5kg)
T: D M Noonan |
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2. Lucky Decision
J: Luke Nolen (58kg)
T: P G Moody |
6 | 6 | 5.8 | |||
3. Masterful
J: Damien Oliver (58kg)
T: Julius Sandhu |
4 | 4.2 | 4.3 | |||
4. Ocean Raider
J: Dean Yendall (58kg)
T: R Griffiths & M De Kock |
21 | 21 | 22.5 | |||
5. Palatial Prince
J: Damien Thornton (58kg)
T: Henry Dwyer |
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6. Peribaldo
J: Michael Dee (58kg)
T: Ben & J D Hayes |
7 | 7.5 | 7.2 | |||
7. Shootthelightsout
J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg)
T: G Eurell |
26 | 31 | 32 | |||
8. Buttercup Baby
J: Ben Allen (57.5kg)
T: E V Musgrove |
51 | 51 | 49 | |||
9. Endlessly
J: Jye Mcneil (57.5kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
2.25 | 2.35 | 2.25 | |||
10. Shez Steamin'
J: Fred Kersley (57.5kg)
T: Saab Hasan |
91 | 101 | 93 | |||
11. Yonce
J: John Allen (57.5kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
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12. Cassidy
J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg)
T: D T O'brien |
12 | 12 | 10 |
Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 3:42pm (AEDT)
(3) Masterful looks primed to break through at his 3rd career start. I think he comes out of the best last start race behind Squid Game and Treporti, the latter of which has won his maiden since. The wide draw is a bit sticky but with even luck early he looks the one to beat.
(9) Endlessly is another having his 3rd race start and does tie in with Masterful, having beaten home Indy Rose Warrior at The Valley, a horse that finished ahead of Masterful at his debut.
(2) Lucky Decision started hard in the market in a good race on debut last prep, failing behind Hunnam. He’s been gelded, given plenty of time and jumped out well.
(6) Peribaldo looks the pick of the debutants coming off two trial wins.
Tip: (3) Masterful- $3.60 at TAB
Betting Strategy: No Bet
Race 2
Ladbrokes Switch Mdn Plate (1400m)
4:15pm (AEDT)
Race 2Ladbrokes Switch Mdn Plate (1400m) |
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1. Bluejack
J: Jack Hill (58kg)
T: L & T Corstens |
34 | 41 | 36 | |||
2. Five Ounce
J: Randy Tan (58kg)
T: M W Ryan |
126 | 101 | 161 | |||
3. Foxhow
J: Jordan Childs (58kg)
T: C W Mcdonald |
34 | 34 | 35 | |||
4. Midnight Vagrant
J: (58kg)
T: Henry Dwyer |
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5. My Dog Diesel
J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg)
T: Nathan Dunn |
21 | 26 | 23.5 | |||
6. Oughton
J: Jye Mcneil (58kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
11 | 12 | 11.2 | |||
7. Port Louis
J: John Allen (58kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
1.24 | 1.26 | 1.23 | |||
8. Rakete
J: Ms Alana Kelly (58kg)
T: P L Caboche |
101 | 101 | 111 | |||
9. Shouri Lad
J: Daniel Moor (58kg)
T: Robert Hickmott |
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10. The Cassini
J: Damien Thornton (58kg)
T: R Griffiths & M De Kock |
17 | 18 | 17.6 | |||
11. The Economist
J: Ben Allen (58kg)
T: B R Fox |
10 | 11 | 9.5 | |||
12. Trump That
J: Michael Dee (58kg)
T: Ms C Alderson |
91 | 91 | 93 |
Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 4:17pm (AEDT)
(7) Port Louis drops back to a maiden after contesting much stronger races. He was okay in the Sandown Guineas at group 2 level last start and whilst that wasn’t the strongest group race, he should be taking care of these, but not a betting proposition at $1.24.
(6) Oughton can run a place after a solid showing on debut. He jumps straight to 1400m and draws well.
Tip: (7) Port Louis- $1.28 at TAB
Betting Strategy: No Bet
Race 3
Ladbrokes Same Race Multi (C1) (1600m)
4:50pm (AEDT)
Race 3Ladbrokes Same Race Multi (C1) (1600m) |
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1. Gate Crash
J: Michael Dee (59.5kg)
T: Patrick Payne |
3.8 | 3.6 | 3.95 | |||
2. Sold Tha Car
J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg)
T: Julie Scott |
6.5 | 6.5 | 6 | |||
3. Bunchan
J: Fred Kersley (59kg)
T: M D Hinton |
21 | 21 | 20 | |||
4. Notmyfirstrodeo
J: Josh Richards (58.5kg)
T: G M Begg |
61 | 51 | 49 | |||
5. High Torque
J: Michael Poy (57.5kg)
T: Dean Grass |
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6. Ima Dozer
J: Teodore Nugent (57.5kg)
T: Christine Sexton |
26 | 21 | 25 | |||
7. Love Takes Time
J: Damien Oliver (57.5kg)
T: A & S Freedman |
3.9 | 4.2 | 4 | |||
8. Defiant Diva
J: John Allen (57kg)
T: L & T Corstens |
3.5 | 3.4 | 3.25 | |||
9. Portobello Road
J: Ms Alana Kelly (56kg)
T: A Rosolini |
71 | 81 | 83 | |||
10. Needlework
J: Randy Tan (55kg)
T: S C Bottomley |
41 | 41 | 43 | |||
11. Ladymane
J: Dean Holland (54.5kg)
T: Saab Hasan |
41 | 41 | 45 | |||
12. Sarnia
J: Lewis German (54.5kg)
T: Cameron Templeton |
17 | 17 | 17.2 |
Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 4:52pm (AEDT)
(7) Love Takes Time was 6 weeks between runs and dropping 100m in distance last start, unable to sprint with them but kept working through the line. Her only win came at 1600m on debut and she finally gets back up in trip.
(8) Defiant Diva ran on well from the back, beating home Love Takes Time last start. She’s on trial at the mile but was good through the line last start. She may have to give away a start again but should be hard to beat.
(1) Gate Crash has a tricky map from barrier 1 given he’s gotten a long way back in both career starts last prep. His maiden win was very strong and he’s trialled well, he’ll just need luck from the inside.
Tip: (7) Love Takes Time- $3.80 at TopSport
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Love Takes Time
Race 4
Ladbrokes Blended Bets (Bm64) (1000m)
5:25pm (AEDT)
Race 4Ladbrokes Blended Bets (Bm64) (1000m) |
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1. Rock Artist
J: Craig Newitt (61kg)
T: K & K Keys |
8 | 9 | 8.6 | |||
2. Covert
J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg)
T: A & S Freedman |
9 | 8.5 | 7.8 | |||
3. Hokolesqua
J: Fred Kersley (59.5kg)
T: M, W & J Hawkes |
9 | 8.5 | 7.8 | |||
4. Abaddon
J: Matthew Cartwright (59kg)
T: J Warren & D Krongold |
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5. I Am War
J: Brett Prebble (59kg)
T: T J Andrews |
11 | 11 | 11.2 | |||
6. Runamigo
J: Zac Spain (59kg)
T: Jamie Edwards |
16 | 16 | 16.2 | |||
7. Spirit Of Pepin
J: Ms Alana Kelly (59kg)
T: R Griffiths & M De Kock |
7.5 | 7.5 | 7.7 | |||
8. Coeur De Paris
J: Ms Linda Meech (57kg)
T: G A Osborne |
26 | 26 | 26.5 | |||
9. Viviane
J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg)
T: M J Ellerton |
1.9 | 2.05 | 2 |
Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 5:27pm (AEDT)
(1) Rock Artist’s best runs have come at 1000m, having won his maiden and also beaten a couple of fast 2yo’s in Direct and Jigsaw at The Valley in a tough win. He’s got 61kg but has jumped out well enough and has the runs on the board.
(9) Viviane finally broke through for a deserved maiden win last start when ridden a touch quieter. She didn’t beat much and the time wasn’t great, so I think she’s short enough here at nearly even money.
(3) Hokolesqua was well backed on debut at Mornington and won in okay fashion after enjoying a nice run and getting into the clear at the 300m. No shock to see him improve and be competitive.
Tip: (1) Rock Artist- $6.50 at Bet365
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Rock Artist
Race 5
Ladbrokes Bet Ticker (Bm70) (1400m)
6:00pm (AEDT)
Race 5Ladbrokes Bet Ticker (Bm70) (1400m) |
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1. Arriva Diva
J: Teodore Nugent (62kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
14 | 15 | 13.8 | |||
2. Intellective
J: Jacob Opperman (62kg)
T: M J Williams |
6 | 5 | 5.5 | |||
3. Mariamia
J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg)
T: Shane Stockdale |
2.7 | 2.9 | 2.9 | |||
4. Bella Tiara
J: Dean Yendall (60kg)
T: M J Williams |
4.6 | 4.6 | 4.85 | |||
5. Dee Keepa
J: Matthew Cartwright (59.5kg)
T: L Smith |
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6. Salt Bay
J: Ms Alana Kelly (58.5kg)
T: Amy Mcdonald |
41 | 41 | 39 | |||
7. Selfless
J: Jack Hill (57.5kg)
T: M Price & M Kent Jnr |
21 | 26 | 22.5 | |||
8. Spooning
J: Ms Jamie Kah (57.5kg)
T: M Price & M Kent Jnr |
6.5 | 7.5 | 5.8 | |||
9. Starring Role
J: Fred Kersley (56.5kg)
T: M D Hinton |
34 | 41 | 33 | |||
10. Surecan
J: John Allen (56kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
9 | 9 | 8.6 | |||
11. Pay The Deeler
J: Jye Mcneil (55kg)
T: P A Sweeney |
31 | 31 | 27.5 |
Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 6:02pm (AEDT)
The map horse is (3) Mariamia who was very good sitting outside the leader on Pakenham Cup Day, just no match for the swooper’s late in a stronger race. That leaves me with no issue at 1400m which she stays at now, and drawn barrier 1 she’s going to get every chance on speed.
(8) Spooning took on some decent races last prep, bolting in with her maiden on debut before a solid 3rd to Cherry Tortoni at listed level. She’s got tactical speed but first up at 1400m, my prediction is they’ll go back from the wide gate.
(1) Arriva Diva is in good form and did well to hold off Night Passage last start. She’s up in the weights but will go forward and be thereabouts.
Tip: (3) Mariamia- $3.40 at Ladbrokes
Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Mariamia
Race 6
Ladbrokes Easy Form (Bm64) (1300m)
6:30pm (AEDT)
Race 6Ladbrokes Easy Form (Bm64) (1300m) |
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1. South Parade
J: Matthew Cartwright (64kg)
T: J D Sadler |
10 | 11 | 9.8 | |||
2. Pal D'oro
J: John Allen (61kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
2.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | |||
3. Galactus
J: Ms Alana Kelly (60.5kg)
T: Simon Zahra |
7 | 8.5 | 8.6 | |||
4. Unfair Dismissal
J: Teodore Nugent (60.5kg)
T: D M Noonan |
61 | 61 | 57 | |||
5. Field Of Roses
J: Ben Allen (60kg)
T: P Stokes |
12 | 12 | 10.4 | |||
6. Grand Pope
J: Rhys Mcleod (60kg)
T: Nick Ryan |
10 | 10 | 9.6 | |||
7. Space Force
J: Michael Dee (60kg)
T: Ben & J D Hayes |
10 | 10 | 10.2 | |||
8. Classy Banner
J: Daniel Stackhouse (59.5kg)
T: Logan Mcgill |
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9. Ellis Park
J: Ms Jamie Kah (59.5kg)
T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh |
17 | 17 | 14.8 | |||
10. Gottaluvjimmy
J: Ms Linda Meech (59kg)
T: Mark Pegus |
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11. No Quarantine
J: Jamie Mott (59kg)
T: G Eurell |
9.5 | 10 | 9.5 | |||
12. Obi
J: Lachlan Neindorf (59kg)
T: E Jusufovic |
11 | 10 | 9.8 | |||
13. Kurnell
J: Randy Tan (57.5kg)
T: T J Andrews |
201 | 151 | 201 | |||
14. Killarney Kiss
J: Luke Nolen (57kg)
T: P G Moody |
18 | 18 | 18.2 |
Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 6:32pm (AEDT)
(2) Pal D’oro resumed gelded with a comprehensive victory, sitting on speed and winning comfortably eased down. He maps for a similar run on speed and can progress again.
(3) Galactus generally gets back in his races but charged to the line first up at Geelong and some of his form last prep, including a 2nd to Faretti and a 0.2L 3rd to Good And Proper reads well for this.
(7) Space Force is only lightly raced but was solid in a similar race last start.
(6) Grand Pope ran well for a long 3rd to Sixbysixtythree first up at Pakenham. He’ll get back but has a big finish on his day.
Tip: (2) Pal D’oro- $4.20 at Ladbrokes
Also Backing: (3) Galactus- $9.00 at TopSport
Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Pal D’oro, 0.5 units WIN Galactus
Race 7
Ladbrokes Cash In (Bm64) (1500m)
7:00pm (AEDT)
Race 7Ladbrokes Cash In (Bm64) (1500m) |
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1. Seeingisbelieving
J: Campbell Rawiller (65.5kg)
T: Paul & Tracey Templeton |
101 | 101 | 111 | |||
2. Irish Playboy
J: Ms Alana Kelly (63.5kg)
T: Henry Dwyer |
19 | 18 | 19.8 | |||
3. Kamien
J: Matthew Cartwright (62kg)
T: Peter Gelagotis |
21 | 21 | 25 | |||
4. This Skilled Cat
J: Lewis German (62kg)
T: D J O'prey |
51 | 51 | 53 | |||
5. Comanche Brave
J: Craig Newitt (61kg)
T: Julius Sandhu |
19 | 21 | 18 | |||
6. Gracias Amigo
J: Ms Jamie Kah (61kg)
T: G M Begg |
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.2 | |||
7. Unanimous
J: John Allen (61kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
2.7 | 2.6 | 2.75 | |||
8. Galactic Express
J: Josh Richards (60.5kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
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9. One Man Band
J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg)
T: Darryl Blackshaw |
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10. Night Passage
J: Ms Madison Lloyd (60kg)
T: T & C Mcevoy |
4.4 | 4.4 | 4.45 | |||
11. Atomic Selfie
J: Jacob Opperman (59.5kg)
T: Ben Brisbourne |
20 | 19 | 17.6 | |||
12. Magnossiva
J: Dean Yendall (59.5kg)
T: R Griffiths & M De Kock |
14 | 12 | 13.6 | |||
13. Laybuy
J: Daniel Stackhouse (59kg)
T: M D Moroney |
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14. Wisaka
J: Jamie Mott (59kg)
T: M D Moroney |
12 | 12 | 10.2 | |||
15. Better Tomorrow
J: Michael Poy (58.5kg)
T: Henry Dwyer |
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16. Bookman
J: Teodore Nugent (57.5kg)
T: C Little & M Lindsay |
34 | 41 | 35 | |||
17. Meltdown
J: Brett Prebble (56kg)
T: P Stokes |
21 | 21 | 23.5 |
Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 7:02pm (AEDT)
(10) Night Passage has been up a while but is racing well. She was no match for impressive winner Typhoon Harmony last start but was close to the other placegetters and this is easier. Blinkers on, a nice draw, she should go close.
(2) Irish Playboy will get back but his best form would go close in this. Two preps ago he won first up at 1400m in bm70 grade before a big 2nd in the Country Final behind Fontein Diamond. He didn’t seem to come up last prep after a gut buster first up and could show up here.
(17) Meltdown doesn’t win often but off his SP profile the price about him looks overs. He drops in distance which I don’t love but has never started over $10 and is as much as $31 here. Something very small on him.
(7) Unanimous is the current favourite and an obvious chance, but generally gets back in the field and I thought she was under the odds.
Tip: (10) Night Passage- $5.00 at Sportsbet
Also Backing: (2) Irish Playboy- $18.00/5.00 at TAB
Value: (17) Meltdown- $31.00/8.00 at TAB
Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Night Passage, 0.25 units E/W Irish Playboy, 0.25 units E/W Meltdown
Race 8
Ladbrokes Blended Multis-Bm64 (1800m)
7:30pm (AEDT)
Race 8Ladbrokes Blended Multis-Bm64 (1800m) |
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1. Convict Sam
J: Josh Richards (61.5kg)
T: Archie Alexander |
4.2 | 3.8 | 4.35 | |||
2. Pearlman
J: Will Gordon (60kg)
T: Amy Mcdonald |
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3. Unconquered Sun
J: Lewis German (60kg)
T: B & J Purcell |
41 | 41 | 27.5 | |||
4. Vintage Diesel
J: Jacob Opperman (60kg)
T: Ben Brisbourne |
61 | 61 | 67 | |||
5. Who's Your Papy
J: Teodore Nugent (60kg)
T: C Maher & D Eustace |
5.5 | 5.5 | 5 | |||
6. Flying Pierro
J: Ms Alana Kelly (59kg)
T: A Rosolini |
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7. So He Rules
J: Jamie Mott (59kg)
T: Peter Gelagotis |
26 | 26 | 21.5 | |||
8. Abreed
J: John Allen (58.5kg)
T: Andrew Noblet |
20 | 21 | 17.6 | |||
9. Obedience
J: Dean Yendall (58.5kg)
T: Matthew Cumani |
11 | 11 | 12.2 | |||
10. Our Chevalier
J: Lachlan King (58.5kg)
T: R Griffiths & M De Kock |
26 | 21 | 22.5 | |||
11. Decker
J: Jye Mcneil (57.5kg)
T: P A Sweeney |
9.5 | 9 | 9.5 | |||
12. My Delight
J: Brett Prebble (57.5kg)
T: C J Waller |
4.6 | 4.8 | 4.45 | |||
13. Glamdam
J: Craig Newitt (57kg)
T: T Busuttin & N Young |
14 | 15 | 15 | |||
14. Inari
J: Fred Kersley (57kg)
T: Matthew Cumani |
9.5 | 10 | 8.6 | |||
15. Lady Kermadec
J: Michael Dee (57kg)
T: D J O'prey |
31 | 31 | 32 | |||
16. Red Cracker
J: Teodore Nugent (56kg)
T: R F Donat |
Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 7:32pm (AEDT)
Very open, and a fairly low race to end. Going to spec something at huge odds in the form of (15) Lady Kermadec who is consistent at least and racing well. She won two in a row before a solid showing on a bottomless track last start. She does have a $2.60 SP and 2nd placing to So You Assume when racing in Melbourne earlier this year which reads well.
(1) Convict Sam looks the one to beat 3rd up out to 1800m. He was too good last start over a mile and will appreciate the extra trip and even further.
(12) My Delight drops in trip from 2040m but her run prior over a mile in mare’s grade was good at The Valley.
Tip: (15) Lady Kermadec- $34.00/8.50 at Bet365
Betting Strategy: 0.25 units E/W Lady Kermadec